--- In [EMAIL PROTECTED], Doug Pensinger <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> > As for the connection of Katrina to global warming, I think that
> > advocates of doing something about global warming do themselves no
> > favors by making such arguments. After all, these arguments
connecting
> > specific weather incidents to climate change are very vulnerable to
> > being counterpointed by the next unseasonable cold snap or
snowstorm.
> > For example, we're having a very quiet hurricane season so far this
year
> > - if this trend holds up, will that be any sort of argument that
global
> > warming is under control? And if not, then the same must be said for
> > Katrina....
>
> The effect warming has is on the intensity of the storms, not their
> frequency. While it can be argued that the recent pattern of intense
> storms is not a result of warming; that it is part of a natural cycle,
the
> facts are that 1) warming increases ocean temperatures and 2)
hurricanes
> are fueled by warm water. It really isn't much of a stretch to assume
> that warming _will_ cause higher intensity storms.

I guess that I don't understand why it is invalid to also assume that
warming will increase ocean temperatures, and so increase the number of
storms.


JDG





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