Independent journalist and broadcaster Gwynne Dyer premiered a new idea
in front of a two-thirds capacity crowd at the Humanities Theatre
Wednesday. The talk, titled Climate Wars, predicted that the wars of
the future would not be fought over oil or to punish rogue states, but
that they would be fought over food.

He addressed the crowd in a comfortable leather jacket, jeans and
sneakers while predicting that the world was going to be something
different. As a well-known freelance journalist with contacts around
the world, Dyer keeps his ear close to the ground.

On the question of Cuba? "Castro's finished. They don't want him back."

The issue of climate wars first occurred to him when he was in Britain
shortly after the British government announced that they were going to
replace their current fleet of nuclear submarines, set to be mothballed
by 2020, with a new generation fit for service through 2050. The
British defence minister went on record to say, "Well, you never know
what might turn up."
Confused, Dyer discussed the issue with several of his British
contacts. "It's about climate change," they said, "Lifeboat Britain."

That didn't help Dyer at all, so he had to do some more digging.

"They're not worried about the ice caps melting or polar bears
drowning, though someone might set up a fund to buy polar bear life
jackets, or rising seas. They're worried about food supply."
The British theory goes that should climate change continue at the rate
that it will, Britain will be able to sustain approximately 60 million
people on agriculture. This normally wouldn't be a problem, except that
the British planners predict that continental Europe will suffer an
agricultural collapse, where a hungry population might look to a
well-fed Britain with envy.

Dyer had some final thoughts for his audience after spending more than
an hour on dire prognostications. "Cheer up, it could be worse, but I
can't just remember how. Nobody's to blame. As soon as we began mass
civilization, we were bound to end up at this point. And now we have to
deal with it."

[If this seems unlikely or far-fetched, try a Google search on the term
'climate wars' and see how many hits turn up. Here's on of the more
interesting articles: http://ipsnews.net/interna.asp?idnews=22410 ]


      
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