On Wed, Dec 3, 2008 at 12:05 PM, Deborah Harrell

> We still can't explain all of the effects of aspirin, after all.  (Although 
> that's more due to not understanding everthing about inflammation, as the 
> body's regulatory responses are discovered to be ever more complex with 
> increased research.)  And look at the recent pull of cold and cough preps for 
> toddlers, after being on the shelf for decades.
> There is no certain or 100% safe thing in the practice of medicine - nor in 
> life;

You are giving economists way too much credit. I'm not asking for
100%, or even 90%. But 50% would be nice. But economists can rarely
manage 10%.

Surely you would not take a drug if the doctor only had a 10% chance
of predicting the major effects?
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