At 01:00 PM 1/13/2009, "Dan M"  wrote:

>I agree, but bioengineered fuels are not ethanol.  There are algae that
>exist right now that produce aviation fuel with 1000x the efficiency of
>ethanol.

I have a hard time with this statement.  Corn comes fairly close to 
3% sunlight to fixed carbon.  If you lose 2/3rd of it in the process 
of making ethanol, then it's still 1% efficient.  1000x would mean 
you are getting ten times as much energy out as is going into the 
process.  That's against the law.  I suppose over a year corn could 
be less than 0.1% efficient, but you would still be talking about 
100% efficient conversion of sunlight to fuel.

snip

>No, there are breakthroughs in many fields that are never mass marketed.
>What I am saying is that we don't know until we know.  In my own career,
>there have been many times, before I ran an experiment, I was pretty sure I
>knew how something would work, but it didn't, and I had to scramble.  Take
>for example, scaling up the recent Stanford breakthrough of increasing the
>Li-I battery capacity 10x.

Is that possible from an energy standpoint?  Lithium Ion batteries 
currently are 25 times worse than gasoline.  So a 10x improvement 
would be 2.5 times less energy than gasoline.  But gasoline gets 65% 
of the mass that goes into tapping it for energy from the air.  Thus 
a Li-I battery with this kind of performance would be darn near as 
energetic as a tank full of gasoline and oxygen.  Have a URL for this report?

Keith Henson

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