Original Message:
-----------------
From: hkhenson [email protected]
Date: Tue, 13 Jan 2009 20:17:41 -0700
To: [email protected]
Subject: Re: biofuels and Li Batteries.


At 01:00 PM 1/13/2009, "Dan M"  wrote:

>>I agree, but bioengineered fuels are not ethanol.  There are algae that
>>exist right now that produce aviation fuel with 1000x the efficiency of
>>ethanol.

>I have a hard time with this statement.  Corn comes fairly close to 
>3% sunlight to fixed carbon.  

Well, let's look at the official ethanol numbers.  If you assume only 5
hours of
the solar flux per day, there is about 3.6e7 MJ/acre available per acre of
land per year.   

Corn yields about 150 bushels/acre and we produce 2.7 gallons of ethanol
per gallon. With 89 MJ per gallon of ethanol, that gives about 3.6e4
MJ/acre for the ethanol.

That's a factor of 1000, and would require that the algae be perfect, which
I wouldn't expect.  But if you put in 2/3rds of the energy available in
ethanol in the process of making ethanol (which is not a bad estimate, it
use to be worse....>100% of the output energy was lost in process), then
the algae would have to be 33% efficient.  

Plus, I'm guessing that the lab conditions they worked  under were pretty
ideal, and that they assumed that the algea farms would be at lower
lattitudes than Iowa...so they upped the values from 5 hours to 6 or 7.  

The factor of 1000 is probably a streach.  When I wrote it, I wasn't
thinking of a big time production reaching it.  But, let's look at what
just a factor of 100 would do (which puts the algae at 3% efficiency with 5
hours.

We need all of the acres devoted to corn switched used for ethanol to get
about 12% of the moter fuel.  With a factor of 100, we're talking about 8%
of the corn acreage as algae ponds.  Since algae can grow in sea water,
they can be set up using ocean water, removing the demand on fresh water
resources for fuel.

I'm not saying we can get there en mass.  I'm saying, with bioengineering
costs going down, it is possible that we can get there, and that we have
gotten there under lab 

>No, there are breakthroughs in many fields that are never mass marketed.
>What I am saying is that we don't know until we know.  In my own career,
>there have been many times, before I ran an experiment, I was pretty sure I
>knew how something would work, but it didn't, and I had to scramble.  Take
>for example, scaling up the recent Stanford breakthrough of increasing the
>Li-I battery capacity 10x.

>Is that possible from an energy standpoint?  

Yea, I know of no fundamental physical laws that prohibit 100x or 1000x the
energy densities. Now, there may be an upper limit to chemical storage, but
fundamental QED doesn't limit it. If I understand correctly, they have
increased the surface area by nanotech.  That sounds logical to me.  The
references given by Rob discuss this work, so I'll leave my contribution to
this bit.

Dan M. 

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