That's a pretty audacious prediction (233 max)! As with the run on toilet
paper for the current crisis, better get your 6 meter antenna and rig, acquired
and configured now, before there's a shortage...
73MarkK5MGJ
On Monday, July 6, 2020, 11:51:42 AM CDT, Allen Brier via BVARC
<[email protected]> wrote:
Copied from the DFWContest reflector:
FW: [PVRC] Forecasting Sunspot Cycle 25 Amplitude
From: K5RT - Paul
Date: Fri, 03 Jul 2020 16:06:23 CDT
Well, maybe there is hope for cycle 25…
Five scientists associated with National Center for Atmospheric Research,
Centre for Fusion, Space and Astrophysics, University of Maryland Department of
Astronomy, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Centre for the Analysis of Time
Series, London School of Economics and Political Science, School of Engineering
and Innovation are making a bold prediction about Solar Cycle 25.
In the document titled “Overlapping Magnetic Activity Cycles and the Sunspot
Number: Forecasting Sunspot Cycle 25 Amplitude” they write:
“Given this relationship and our prediction of a terminator event in 2020, we
deduce that sunspot cycle 25 will have a magnitude that rivals the top few
since records began. This outcome would be in stark contrast to the community
consensus estimate of sunspot cycle 25 magnitude.”
If you want to read how they came about making this prediction, you can check
out the details at:
https://arxiv.org/pdf/2006.15263.pdf
If they are correct in their prediction, those who have never experienced F2
skip on 50 MHz will be in for a real treat.
73,
Rich – K1HTV
Allen R. Brier N5XZ
1515 Windloch Lane
Richmond, TX 77406
713-705-4801
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