As with all audacious predictions, these scientists will look like geniuses if they're right, and will be forgotten if they're wrong. It's always good to go big when doing predictions. Afterall, nearly all of us will be forgotten anyway at some not too distant point in the future. But if your prediction is right? You'll probably be forgotten anyway.
73 JP K5JPP From: BVARC <[email protected]> On Behalf Of Allen Brier via BVARC Sent: Monday, July 6, 2020 11:51 AM To: 'tdxs' <[email protected]>; 'BRAZOS VALLEY AMATEUR RADIO CLUB' <[email protected]>; [email protected] Cc: [email protected] Subject: [BVARC] FW: [PVRC] Forecasting Sunspot Cycle 25 Amplitude Copied from the DFWContest reflector: FW: [PVRC] Forecasting Sunspot Cycle 25 Amplitude From: K5RT - Paul <mailto:[email protected]?subject=Re:%20FW%3A%20%5BPVRC%5D%20Forecasting%20Su nspot%20Cycle%2025%20Amplitude> Date: Fri, 03 Jul 2020 16:06:23 CDT Well, maybe there is hope for cycle 25. Five scientists associated with National Center for Atmospheric Research, Centre for Fusion, Space and Astrophysics, University of Maryland Department of Astronomy, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Centre for the Analysis of Time Series, London School of Economics and Political Science, School of Engineering and Innovation are making a bold prediction about Solar Cycle 25. In the document titled "Overlapping Magnetic Activity Cycles and the Sunspot Number: Forecasting Sunspot Cycle 25 Amplitude" they write: "Given this relationship and our prediction of a terminator event in 2020, we deduce that sunspot cycle 25 will have a magnitude that rivals the top few since records began. This outcome would be in stark contrast to the community consensus estimate of sunspot cycle 25 magnitude." If you want to read how they came about making this prediction, you can check out the details at: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2006.15263.pdf If they are correct in their prediction, those who have never experienced F2 skip on 50 MHz will be in for a real treat. 73, Rich - K1HTV Allen R. Brier N5XZ 1515 Windloch Lane Richmond, TX 77406 713-705-4801 <http://www.avg.com/email-signature?utm_medium=email&utm_source=link&utm_cam paign=sig-email&utm_content=emailclient> Virus-free. <http://www.avg.com/email-signature?utm_medium=email&utm_source=link&utm_cam paign=sig-email&utm_content=emailclient> www.avg.com
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