NETWORK WORLD KEITH SHAW'S SOHO LIFE
10/13/04
Today's focus:  Home network predictions

Dear [EMAIL PROTECTED],

In this issue:

* New IDC report defines the nuts and bolts of the connected 
��home
* Links related to SOHO Life
* Featured reader resource
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Today's focus:  Home network predictions

By Keith Shaw

Before, home networks kept a low profile, enabling us to share 
broadband, a printer, maybe transfer a file. But now that 
digital features are being added to just about every consumer 
electronics device, the network is fast becoming an integral 
part of our lives. 

In its new report, "Worldwide Home Networking 2004-2008 Forecast 
and Analysis," IDC expects home network households to grow 25% 
to 111 million by 2008. Other key findings include:

* Wireless LANs emerge as the carrier for streaming video. 
��Upcoming improvements in QoS and throughput make wireless a good 
��choice, even though wired technologies will continue to be more 
��reliable and easier to implement. The report didn't break out 
��wireless by 802.11a and 802.11g, but it's likely dual-band a/g 
��networks will dominate.

* Home networks increase overseas. Today, the U.S. has 37% of 
��home network households worldwide. IDC predicts that number will 
��drop to 33% as the technology matures in other regions, namely 
��Asia/Pacific.

* Broadband service providers offer modems with integrated 
��routers. Integrating the router will help service providers keep 
��subscribers, reduce customer service costs and increase revenue 
��by offering new services.

* Power-line networks take off in Europe. Structural issues in 
��Europe can impair wireless systems, making power line more 
��attractive there than in the U.S. Faster versions of the 
��HomePlug specification will support media streaming. U.S. 
��adoption will remain limited in most regions, although as in 
��Europe, power line will make progress where wireless isn't 
��feasible.

* Multimedia over Coax (MoCA) emerges in the U.S. in 2005. Also 
��called cable home networking, this technology offers secure and 
��fast connections for entertainment networks. It will do well in 
��the U.S. because of its high number of cable connections 
��compared to other parts of the world.

Looking to the future, IDC envisions three specific types of 
networks emerging:

1. The PC network, which describes today's network, enabling PCs 
to share files, printers and a broadband connection.

2. The multimedia network, which includes a PC for storing 
multimedia files (music, photos and video) and transmits them to 
TVs, stereos and other networked devices. These networks will 
also include dedicated storage or server devices.

3. The entertainment network, which will use a set top box (no 
PC) and connect to a personal video recorder (PVR such as Replay 
TV or TiVo) to stream video. These systems will likely use 
standards-based and Internet protocols, and be part of a system 
delivered by a cable or satellite service provider.

Here are some forecast numbers:

* U.S. households with a network, 2004: 13.5 million. 
* U.S. households with a network, 2008: 36.6 million. 
* U.S. wireless access points, gateways or routers, 2004: 10.1 
��million. 
* U.S. wireless access points, gateways or routers, 2008: 35.1 
��million.
_______________________________________________________________
To contact: Keith Shaw

Keith Shaw is Senior Reviews Editor at Network World. In 
addition, he writes the " Cool Tools 
<http://www.nwfusion.com/columnists/cooltools.html> " column, 
which looks at gizmos, gadgets and other mobile computing 
devices.

You can reach Keith at <mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]>.
_______________________________________________________________
This newsletter is sponsored by Veritas 
Meta Group Whitepaper 
Database Infrastructure Performance Challenges: Approaches to 
Better Manage Application Database and Storage Subsystem 
Performance 

Corporate relational databases now manage the majority of 
business-critical data within the enterprise. IT organizations 
face continuing challenges in managing increasingly complex, 
data-driven application environments. Read this white paper to 
discover several factors which will converge to challenge the IT 
organization's ability to manage its database software 
infrastructure. 
http://www.fattail.com/redir/redirect.asp?CID=84698
_______________________________________________________________
ARCHIVE LINKS

Archive of the SOHO Life newsletter:
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Breaking telework and SMB news:
http://www.nwfusion.com/net.worker/
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FEATURED READER RESOURCE

THE NEW DATA CENTER

Today's top companies are accelerating toward Web-based 
computing. That means building the new data center -- where 
grids, virtualization, autonomic computing and other big changes 
shatter the traditional boundaries on applications and 
information, and bring the extended enterprise to life. Learn 
about The New Data Center on NW Fusion's Research Center at:

<http://www.nwfusion.com/topics/datacenter.html>
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