David :
Can you, like, maybe, re-set your computer ?  The text of  your e-mail 
bleeds to the right
about 8 times as wide as the e-mail window. From what I can read  you make 
good sense,
but to read the other 80% I'd need a 54 inch wide monitor.
 
Billy
 
 
 
In a message dated 4/20/2010 8:53:04 P.M. Pacific Daylight Time,  
[email protected] writes:

Dear Billy and Ernie, 



"And contrary to the libertarian dreams, we can't really freeze development 
at a certain stage.  We can and should make regulation smarter and leaner, 
but we can't go back to the pre-New-Deal America, unless we execute a 
dramatically non-libertarian edict to simultaneously shrink all companies, 
social 
organizations, and even educational institutions back to their previous tiny 
size. Otherwise, whatever modern-scale institutions left would end up 
filling the void. Like it or not, we live in a complex world, and complex 
governance (for all its flaws) is the only thing that can handle it."



Majoring in overstatement just a bit?? 



No libertarian that I have read has suggested going back to pre-New Deal 
America. None have suggested that we shrink all companies, social 
organizations or educational institutions. And for heaven's sake, no suggestion 
has been 
made to freeze development at a certain stage, particularly economic 
development. 



Nice straw man you've got there, hate to see anything happen to it.  :-) 



What ARE we going to do about Social Security and Medicare, now bankrupt, 
with the impending fiscal disaster of Obamacare waiting in the wings? I have 
some sympathy with the idea that "too big to fail" should be "too big to 
exist." Particularly if the taxpayers are on the hook for it all, and we are. 



We would like some diversity of thought in the educational institutions, 
which now seem little more than breeding grounds for Marxist propagandists. 
That has a lot to do with my daughter NOT wanting her doctorate degree any 
more. You are rewarded (and punished) for your politics, even if you make the 
highest grades around. Don't regurgitate leftist dogma? You get the most 
liberal professor to grade for, and you will be corrected for grading too 
"conservatively" in their classes. So you chunk that job and get a job in the 
Financial Aid office, where you help fellow students navigate the maze of 
financial aid available. At least she had a choice. 



Don't want to shrink all companies, just the monstrosities like GM, Bank of 
America/MBNA/NationsBank/Countrywide, JP Morgan/Chase/WAMU, Wells 
Fargo/Wachovia, Halliburton/Brown and Root/Schlumberger/Hughes Tool. Where are 
the 
"Trust Busters" of old? 



But please, don't take me seriously if you don't want to. 



David

  
"Anyone  who thinks he has a better idea of what's good for people than 
people do is a  swine."--P.  J. O’Rourke 


On 4/20/2010 4:26 PM,  Dr. Ernie Prabhakar wrote:  
HI Billy,



On Apr 20, 2010, at 2:04 PM, [email protected]_ (mailto:[email protected])  
wrote:

  

I will say it again, which I think you agree with, that when it comes

to free speech, libertarians are the gold standard.  But when it comes to

rationality in politics, they simply can't be taken seriously. Or, more 
clinically,

simply can't be taken seriously except in specific cases where we have

rational markets and social costs are controlled for.

    

What's worrisome to me is that not that the libertarians are wrong 
(everyone is, sometimes :-), but that nobody else may be *right*.



The most sobering insight of systems theory is that systems become more 
adaptable by becoming *less* energetically stable.  For example, a human being 
needs a very specific environment to survive compared to a bacteria.  
Similarly, societies built only on subsistence farming can last unchanged for 
thousands of years, whereas civilizations typically only endure for hundreds. 



In other words, the very complexity that helps us to do more makes us more 
complex, and thus vulnerable to a whole different class of problems.



This is the terrifying thought: markets may well be irrational, but they 
are probably the least irrational thing we can create, and anything we create 
to supervise them will ultimately become more irrational.



In other words, we have two choices:



a) Live with a system of periodic boom and bust as the market system 
naturally destroys and recreates itself (which, correct me if I'm wrong, 
happened 
periodically with great severity in all industrial economies up to and 
including the Great Depression).



b) Create ancillary systems that "dampen out" those cycles, but which 
*themselves* are susceptible to larger (and ultimately more devastating) cycles.



There is no third option.



That is, even if we are sufficiently brilliant to create an optimal 
philosophical scheme that is designed to keep the market and politics from 
destroying each other, all we are doing is setting up a new system that when 
*it* 
fails (as it eventually will), will lead to an ultimately even more 
devastating outcome.



But, what are we to do?  You can't really go backwards; no sane human (at 
least one with a family) really wants to make ourselves more susceptible to 
random external events by living in more primitive circumstances.  Even the 
Amish don't shun modern medicine.  



And contrary to the libertarian dreams, we can't really freeze development 
at a certain stage.  We can and should make regulation smarter and leaner, 
but we can't go back to the pre-New-Deal America, unless we execute a 
dramatically non-libertarian edict to simultaneously shrink all companies, 
social 
organizations, and even educational institutions back to their previous tiny 
size. Otherwise, whatever modern-scale institutions left would end up 
filling the void. Like it or not, we live in a complex world, and complex 
governance (for all its flaws) is the only thing that can handle it.



So the only choice left is to go forward, as wisely as we can, yet knowing 
that our successes will ultimately become our own downfall.



Frankly, the Amish may be the best role models -- by being extremely picky 
about how much complexity they adopt, they can at least minimize the 
negative impact on their own human capacity; and they'd probably be the most 
viable 
communities if the whole modern economy up and died!



-- Ernie P.



P.S. Thinking Chris may have made a wise choice in moving to Montana...



P.P.S. Sorry for the depressing email on a Tuesday, but if we're going to 
chastise others for the failure of their systems, we should at least be 
honest about the fate of our own

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