> Nick wrote: > When you have your own guys, plus other countries all agreeing that they > have them, then the risk factor seems within the bounds. >
Here's why you're wrong: let's say I tell you that Winnebago stock is about to triple and you should put your life savings into it. You talk to some friends who invest and they say, "Well, we've been hearing a lot about this stock, so ... yeah I wouldn't doubt it." Is that enough for you to commit your life savings? Probably not. Why? Because despite the fact that you have multiple sources agreeing with my assessment, $1 in hand is safer than $2 with Bush. The point is: you know what you *know* and what's a guess. You also know what somebody else knows and what's a guess. In the Iraq case no other countries said they knew for a fact that Iraq had WMD, they only said they thought he did. That is, it was a reasoned guess based on second hand information. So the question is, when you've got second hand information does someone else's second hand information convince you to risk your life's savings? Not unless you're an idiot. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~| Message: http://www.houseoffusion.com/lists.cfm/link=i:5:200381 Archives: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/threads.cfm/5 Subscription: http://www.houseoffusion.com/lists.cfm/link=s:5 Unsubscribe: http://www.houseoffusion.com/cf_lists/unsubscribe.cfm?user=89.70.5 Donations & Support: http://www.houseoffusion.com/tiny.cfm/54
