No way Hillary even gets the Democratic nomination the way she is running to
the middle. I believe the entire Democratic nomination process boils down to
who supported the Iraq War and who opposed it. The Republican nomination is
a little murkier, but at this point I am calling it for McCain because of
his run to the right to placate the base.

The country remains very evenly divided, and many small battles will
ultimately determine the outcome of the race. My pick is at this point is
Gore v. McCain, with Gore's inability to resist the populist rhetoric and a
late run back to the middle by McCain giving McCain the edge.

Lots of things can happen between now and then, though. The single biggest X
factor remains, just as it has in the last four presidential elections, the
possible entry of a popular third-party candidate in the race. Ross Perot
effectively elected Bill Clinton by siphoning center-right support from Bush
and Dole. Ralph Nader returned the favor by siphoning center-left support
from Gore and then Kerry.



On 6/7/06, James  wrote:
>
> Just having a political discussion here in the office about what a
> complete
> arse your current president is and we got on to the subject of your next
> one.  My co-worker says Jeb Bush, I say Hilary Clinton.  We then decided
> to
> look up the current betting odds and they make for some interesting
> reading...
>
> HYPERLINK
> "http://www.willhill.com/iibs/EN/buildcoupon.asp";
> http://www.willhill.com/iib
> s/EN/buildcoupon.asp
>
> how do these compare with your american odds?
>


-- 
---------------
Robert Munn
www.funkymojo.com


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