> Jim wrote:
> But by the same token do you think that Hillary or Obama has a chance with
> America?
>

Not only do I think they could win, but win by a landslide.  To do so,
both need independent to break heavily for them - if so then they win.

Think of how close the last elections were.  If Dems vote for the dem
candidate and Repubs vote for the Rep candidate then important votes
are, in order of necessity:

1.) Independents
2.) voting groups that don't usually vote: (students/youth, religious,
women, etc)

If independents split, as they have for the last 2 elections, then
it'll come down to groups in #2 above which is how Bush has won to
elections: by mobilizing religious votes; especially those who don't
usually vote.

My guess is that both Hillary and Barak have the power to swing
independents heavily in their favor making groups in #2 irrelevant.

I don't think Richardson can, mostly because he looks Mexican and many
Democrats and independents are worrying about Mexicans taking their
jobs - so they're certainly not going to put one in the Whitehouse.

In NM, Richardson plays well maybe, but in the heartland and in the
south he'll get destroyed.

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