"The reduction in violence has had more to do with the Iraqis than the
Americans. First, senior American leaders began paying our former
enemies -- non-al-Qaida Sunni insurgents -- large amounts of money to
become U.S. allies in fighting al-Qaida. Second, the Shiite militia
leader Moqtada al-Sadr announced a six-month cease-fire and stood down
his attacks against Iraqi Sunnis and coalition forces; recently, he
extended the cease-fire for another six months. Absent those two
necessary conditions, there would have been no let up in the level of
violence despite the surge."

In his writings, Lt. Col. Gian Gentile, a history professor at West
Point and a combat veteran, argues that the counterinsurgency strategy
Gen. David Petraeus is pursuing in Iraq by isn't primarily responsible
for reducing violence there and that the U.S. military's focus on such
tactics is eroding its ability to wage large-scale conventional wars:

http://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/article.aspx?id=1715

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