Just throwing another article out here that strongly applies to many
on this list especially involving global warming and evolution.:
http://arstechnica.com/science/news/2010/05/when-science-clashes-with-belief-make-science-impotent.ars

When science clashes with beliefs? Make science impotent
By John Timmer

It's hardly a secret that large segments of the population choose not
to accept scientific data because it conflicts with their predefined
beliefs: economic, political, religious, or otherwise. But many
studies have indicated that these same people aren't happy with
viewing themselves as anti-science, which can create a state of
cognitive dissonance. That has left psychologists pondering the
methods that these people use to rationalize the conflict.

A study published in the Journal of Applied Social Psychology takes a
look at one of these methods, which the authors term "scientific
impotence"-the decision that science can't actually address the issue
at hand properly. It finds evidence that not only supports the
scientific impotence model, but suggests that it could be contagious.
Once a subject has decided that a given topic is off limits to
science, they tend to start applying the same logic to other issues.

The paper is worth reading for the introduction alone, which sets up
the problem of science acceptance within the context of persuasive
arguments and belief systems. There's a significant amount of
literature that considers how people resist persuasion, and at least
seven different strategies have been identified. But the author,
Towson University's Geoffrey Munro, attempts to carve out an
exceptional place for scientific information. "Belief-contradicting
scientific information may elicit different resistance processes than
belief-contradicting information of a nonscientific nature," he
argues. "Source derogation, for example, might be less effective in
response to scientific than nonscientific information."

It might be, but many of the arguments against mainstream science make
it clear that it's not. Evolution doubters present science as an
atheistic conspiracy; antivaccination advocates consider the
biomedical research community to be hopelessly corrupted by the
pharmaceutical industry; and climatologists have been accused of being
in it to foster everything from their own funding to global
governance. Clearly, source derogation is very much on the table.

If that method of handling things is dismissed a bit abruptly, Munro
makes a better case for not addressing an alternative way of
dismissing scientific data: identifying perceived methodological
flaws. This definitely occurs, as indicated by references cited in the
paper, but it's not an option for everyone. Many people reject
scientific information without having access to the methodology that
produced it or the ability to understand it if they did. So, although
selective attacks on methodology take place, they're not necessarily
available to everyone who chooses to dismiss scientific findings.

What Munro examines here is an alternative approach: the decision
that, regardless of the methodological details, a topic is just not
accessible to scientific analysis. This approach also has a prominent
place among those who disregard scientific information, ranging from
the very narrow-people who argue that the climate is simply too
complicated to understand-to the extremely broad, such as those among
the creationist movement who argue that the only valid science takes
place in the controlled environs of a lab, and thereby dismiss not
only evolution, but geology, astronomy, etc.

To get at this issue, Munro polled a set of college students about
their feelings about homosexuality, and then exposed them to a series
of generic scientific abstracts that presented evidence that it was or
wasn't a mental illness (a control group read the same abstracts with
nonsense terms in place of sexual identities). By chance, these either
challenged or confirmed the students' preconceptions. The subjects
were then given the chance to state whether they accepted the
information in the abstracts and, if not, why not.

Regardless of whether the information presented confirmed or
contradicted the students' existing beliefs, all of them came away
from the reading with their beliefs strengthened. As expected, a
number of the subjects that had their beliefs challenged chose to
indicate that the subject was beyond the ability of science to
properly examine. This group then showed a weak tendency to extend
that same logic to other areas, like scientific data on astrology and
herbal remedies.

A second group went through the same initial abstract-reading process,
but were then given an issue to research (the effectiveness of the
death penalty as a deterrent to violent crime), and offered various
sources of information on the issue. The group that chose to discount
scientific information on the human behavior issue were more likely
than their peers to evaluate nonscientific material when it came to
making a decision about the death penalty.

There are a number of issues with the study: the sample size was
small, college students are probably atypical in that they're
constantly being exposed to challenging information, and there was no
attempt to determine the students' scientific literacy on the topic
going in. That last point seems rather significant, since the students
were recruited from a psychology course, and majors in that field
might be expected to already know the state of the field. So, this
study would seem to fall in the large category of those that are
intriguing, but in need of a more rigorous replication.

It's probably worth making the effort, however, because it might
explain why doubts about mainstream science seem to travel in packs.
For example, the Discovery Institute, famed for hosting a petition
that questions our understanding of evolution, has recently taken up
climate change as an additional issue (they don't believe the
scientific community on that topic, either). The Oregon Institute of
Science and Medicine is best known for hosting a petition that
questions the scientific consensus on climate change, but the people
who run it also promote creationism and question the link between HIV
and AIDS.

Within the scientific community, there has been substantial debate
over how best to deal with the public's refusal to accept basic
scientific findings, with different camps arguing for increasing
scientific literacy, challenging beliefs, or emphasizing the
compatibility between belief and science. Confirming that the
scientific impotence phenomenon is real might induce the scientific
community to consider whether any of the public engagement models
they're currently arguing over would actually be effective at
addressing this issue.

Journal of Applied Social Psychology, 2010. DOI:
10.1111/j.1559-1816.2010.00588.x (About DOIs).

-- 
Larry C. Lyons
web: http://www.lyonsmorris.com/lyons
LinkedIn: http://www.linkedin.com/in/larryclyons
--
The real problem is not whether machines think but whether men do.
 - B. F. Skinner -

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