Just because *you* don't know what these things mean doesn't mean that
others don't. Please stop that, thanks.

Judah

On Fri, Jun 17, 2011 at 7:16 AM, Gruss Gott <[email protected]> wrote:
>
> Jerry Barnes <[email protected]> wrote:
>>
>> "Or the magnetic poles shift which leads to super volcanoes irrupting and
>> bringing with it the next ice ag"
>>
>> In that case, the argument over global warming and cooling becomes very
>> trivial.
>>
>
> Although they may be the same thing or both happening at the same
> time.  I've always been baffled by the it-must-be-or-it-must-not-be
> argument for x reasons:
>
> (1.) If the Earth is absorbing an increasing about of energy ("global
> warming"), we have no idea what the effect would be.  It could mean
> higher land-level temperatures, it could mean lower temperatures or an
> ice age, could mean more frequent and larger storms ... who knows?
>
> (2.) If the Earth is absorbing more energy, we have no idea what
> secondary effects this might have: changes in ocean currents,
> earthquakes, whatever.  Who knows?
>
> (3.) Since we agree that we don't know #1 or #2 why would anyone waste
> time debating it?
>
> The facts are that we know ice caps are melting amongst other things
> and we don't know why.  Never will.  But we should take steps to
> compensate for multiple risks, prioritizing them by probability even
> if the uncertainty around those probabilities is large.
>
> 

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