Robert Munn <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>> Nope, nobody knows.  If they did know then we could predict, maybe
>> even control, the weather.  We can't.  QED.
>
> yes we can.
>

Actually we can't.  We attempt extrapolations of observed activity,
but we can't predict with quality or accuracy.

Even just to model our observations would require more computer time
(on the fastest computers in the World) to process than it elapses in
real time.  Interestingly that's how we know we can't predict it: even
those models turn out wrong.

Of course the problem is we don't even understand all of variables of
weather much less the mechanisms and physics.

Another simple example is lightening; nobody understands how it works
or why.  We know about stepped leaders, pooling, etc but we have no
idea how it discharges and really everything we hypothesize about it
is unproven and usually turns out wrong.  Not to mention things like
sprites and blue jets; things we didn't even know existed until a few
years ago.

So, no, we can't predict the weather.  We can't even predict how a
single lightening bolt will discharge after we see it happen in front
of our ey

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