numbers please or are you just making it up again. For best effect
follow the Young and Varner methodology. The data are publicly
available.

On Tue, Mar 6, 2012 at 2:49 PM, Sam <[email protected]> wrote:
>
> Look at CA
>
> .
>
> On Tue, Mar 6, 2012 at 2:41 PM, Larry C. Lyons <[email protected]> wrote:
>>
>> Not necessarily so:
>>
>> An paper by Cristobal Young and Charles Varner found that while some
>> $500,000-plus earners left the state, their rates of out-migration
>> were broadly in line with the rates for the rest of the population,
>> who were not subject to the tax.
>> http://blogs.wsj.com/wealth/2011/04/20/millionaire-tax-didnt-chase-the-rich-from-new-jersey-study-says/
>>
>> Young and Varner, estimated the migration effect of New Jersey’s 2004
>> tax increase on filers with incomes exceeding $500,000.  They found
>> that while the net out-migration rate of this income group accelerated
>> after the tax increase went into effect, so did the net outmigration
>> rate of filers with incomes between $200,000 and $500,000, and by
>> virtually the same amount.
>>
>> At most, the authors estimated, 70 filers earning more than $500,000
>> might have left New Jersey between 2004 and 2007 because of the tax
>> increase, costing the state an estimated $16.4 million in tax revenue.
>>  The revenue gain from the tax increase over those years was an
>> estimated $3.77 billion, meaning that out-migration — if there was any
>> at all — reduced the estimated revenue gain by a mere 0.4 percent.
>> http://www.cbpp.org/files/8-4-11sfp.p
>
> 

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