Silver is about the only analyst with such an in depth knowledge of statistical 
polling. I do not like all of his conclusions but I cannot fault his 
methodological rigour.

Sent from my iPhone

On Nov 5, 2012, at 6:39 PM, "Eric Roberts" <[email protected]> 
wrote:

> 
> Yes he does...Nate is a statistical genius...
> 
> ------------------------------------
> Three Ravens Consulting
> Eric Roberts
> Owner/Developer
> [email protected]
> tel: 630-486-5255
> fax: 630-310-8531
> http://www.threeravensconsulting.com
> ------------------------------------
> 
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Judah McAuley [mailto:[email protected]] 
> Sent: Monday, November 05, 2012 3:52 PM
> To: cf-community
> Subject: Re: it's over
> 
> 
> If you notice, the image says "16% in" albeit faintly. They are obviously
> running tests of the system that is going to get hammered tonight. Somehow
> those tests ended up public. Oops. Probably happened to those of us here
> before, however.
> 
> As for polling and analysis, I like FiveThirtyEight. Nate Silver does
> statistics very very well.
> 
> http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
> 
> Cheers,
> Judah
> 
> 
> On Mon, Nov 5, 2012 at 1:42 PM, GMoney <[email protected]> wrote:
> 
>> 
>> That's pretty messed up. Bush had 500,000 K more popular votes, but if 
>> this map is to be believed, Romney will get almost 4, 000,000 more 
>> popular votes, and yet lose...that seems unbelievable.
>> 
>> Also, this shows about 36,000,000 Americans casting a vote for 
>> President.....is that accurate??? I knew our voting numbers sucked as 
>> a democracy, but out of 300,000,000 of us, only 36 million are going 
>> to vote??????? REALLY?
>> 
>> 
>> On Mon, Nov 5, 2012 at 3:28 PM, Casey Dougall - Uber Website Solutions 
>> < [email protected]> wrote:
>> 
>>> 
>>> On Mon, Nov 5, 2012 at 3:20 PM, Sam <[email protected]> wrote:
>>> 
>> http://www.politico.com/blogs/media/2012/11/early-election-results-via
>> -msnbc-148500.html
>>> 
>>> 
>>> I like how this pans out... Maybe will go back to popular vote and 
>>> squash these swing state campaigns and all the stupid news that goes 
>>> along with
>> it
>>> once and for all...
>>> 
>>> For the record...
>>> 
>>> Democrats have won the popular vote in four out of the last five 
>>> presidential elections - including the 2000 race in which Al Gore 
>>> got
>>> 500,000 more votes than George W. Bush nationally but wound up 
>>> losing the electoral vote by two votes. (Worth noting: The last time 
>>> one party had such a long run of popular vote victories was when 
>>> Republicans won the popular vote in five of the six presidential 
>>> elections between 1968 and
>>> 1992.)
> 
> 
> 
> 

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