Windup Santa and a cat eh ;-)

Ahh that brings me back to a university business course where we got into
teams and had a stock pick competition.  There was a bunch of gals that
picked stocks with the pretty names....guess what...they won!! ;-)

Bryan Stevenson B.Comm.
VP & Director of E-Commerce Development
Electric Edge Systems Group Inc.
t. 250.920.8830
e. [EMAIL PROTECTED]

---------------------------------------------------------
Macromedia Associate Partner
www.macromedia.com
---------------------------------------------------------
Vancouver Island ColdFusion Users Group
Founder & Director
www.cfug-vancouverisland.com
----- Original Message -----
From: "Thane Sherrington" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
To: "CF-Talk" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
Sent: Tuesday, August 13, 2002 10:55 AM
Subject: Re: Ill informed was RE: Article: A Wealth of Woe at Macromedia


> At 10:25 AM 8/13/02 -0700, Mike Brunt wrote:
> >What blows my mind off the planet was the authors total lack of knowledge
of
> >our business, what he obviously has no idea of is the pace of legacy
> >application to web application development going on.  Obviously this in
> >mostly behind closed doors as most are Intranet type apps.
>
> Even more obvious is the author's total lack of knowledge about his own
> business - to quote:
>
> "The stock market has been going down for three years. Heck, we're in a
> bear market -- especially for technology companies. So why, after massive
> declines had already taken place, did I downgrade the shares of
> Web-development software company Macromedia to 1 STAR, or sell? It had
> already fallen a staggering 63% year to date through August 7, the date I
> cut its rating. "
>
> So what he's saying is that somehow it took him a year to notice that tech
> stocks are in decline and if you're in for the fast buck, they aren't the
> things to buy?  What a moron.  Macromedia is putting out good products
> (that are beyond his comprehension) but like many tech companies, its
stock
> price was probably over pumped by the bubble and is now over depressed
> because of the deflation of that bubble.
>
> He's a real genius to notice.  Glad it only took him a year.  If only I
> used him as my stock consultant, I'd sell my shares *after* they lost 67%
> of their value.  The really funny thing is that this only hurts those who
> bought high when the bubble was rising.  In late 98 and early 99,
> Macromedia was at virtually the same price it is now - so people who
bought
> then (remember the phrase "buy low"?) aren't in any trouble - only those
> people taken in buy people like this guy who bought at the top of the
curve.
>
> No offense to any stockbroker/stock analyst types out there, but one could
> hire a monkey to do a better job - in fact, a windup Santa outpeformed six
> out of ten analysts recently in the Globe and Mail.  They year before
that,
> a cat did better the majority for they year.
>
> The sad thing is that articles like this will have the same effect that
the
> overly positive articles written during the bubble did (and I'm sure he
> wrote some of those too) - sway the simple minded to do things that aren't
> going to help them in the long run.
>
> And the downside of that is it might hurt Macromedia.  We should get this
> guy's e-mail address and contact him about the column.
>
> T
>
> 
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