Refleksi : Di NKRI, mungkin dalam waktu tak lama lagi harimau Sumatera, 
bergitupun gajah, orang utang akan punah seperti juga burung Kakatua di pulau 
Ceram [Maluku], belum lagi dihitung jenis tumbuh-tumbuhan yang sangat berguna, 
misalnya untuk kebutuhan hidup sehari-hari pendudk pedesaan dan pengobatan. Hal 
in  bisa terjadi karena diadakan perusakan hutan untuk mengejar keuntungan bagi 
segelintir kaum berkuasa dan konco-konco mereka dalam dan luarnegeri.

http://www.theage.com.au/world/experts-warn-species-loss-is-unnatural-20100308-psre.html


Experts warn species loss is unnatural 
JULIETTE JOWIT, LONDON 
March 9, 2010 
FOR the first time since the dinosaurs disappeared, animals and plants are 
being driven to extinction faster than new species can evolve, an expert on 
biodiversity has warned.

Conservation experts have already signalled that the world is in the grip of 
the ''sixth great extinction'' of species, driven by the destruction of natural 
habitats, hunting, the spread of alien predators and disease, and climate 
change. However, until recently it had been hoped that the rate at which new 
species were evolving could keep pace with the loss of diversity.

But that point had almost certainly been crossed, said Simon Stuart, chairman 
of the Species Survival Commission for the International Union for the 
Conservation of Nature - the body that officially declares species threatened 
or extinct.

''Measuring the rate at which new species evolve is difficult, but there's no 
question that the current extinction rates are faster than that; I think it's 
inevitable,'' Dr Stuart said.

He was speaking before the release of two reports this week on the state of 
wildlife in Britain and Europe.

The conservation union created shockwaves with an assessment of the world's 
biodiversity in 2004 that calculated the rate of extinction had reached 100 to 
1000 times that suggested by fossil records before humans. No formal 
calculations have been published since, but conservationists agree the rate of 
loss has increased.

Dr Stuart said it was possible dramatic predictions of experts such as Harvard 
biologist E. O. Wilson that in two decades the rate of loss could reach 10,000 
times the background rate - which is 10 species in every million per year - 
could be right.

''All the evidence is he's right,'' Dr Stuart said. ''Some people claim it 
already is that . things can only have deteriorated because the drivers of the 
losses, such as habitat loss and climate change, are all getting worse. But we 
haven't measured extinction rates again since 2004, and because our current 
estimates contain a tenfold range, there has to be a very big deterioration or 
improvement to pick up a change.''

Extinction is part of the evolution of life, and only 2-4 per cent of the 
species that have ever lived on Earth are thought to be alive today. However, 
fossil records suggest that for most of the planet's 3.5-billion-year history, 
the rate of loss may have been about one in every million species each year.

Only 869 extinctions have been formally recorded since 1500, because scientists 
have described fewer than 2 million of an estimated 5-30 million species around 
the world, and have assessed the conservation status of only 3 per cent of 
those. The global extinction rate is extrapolated from the rate among known 
species. In this way, the conservation union calculated in 2004 that the loss 
had risen to 100-1000 per million species each year, a situation comparable to 
the five previous mass extinctions - the last of which was when the dinosaurs 
were wiped out about 65 million years ago.

Critics, including the author of The Skeptical Environmentalist, Bjorn Lomborg, 
argue that because such figures rely on so many estimates, the margins of error 
make them unreliable.

Dr Stuart said the union's figure was likely to be an underestimate of the 
problem, because scientists are reluctant to declare species extinct even when 
they have sometimes not been seen for decades, and because few of the world's 
plants, fungi and invertebrates have been formally recorded and assessed.

Swedish scientists had already warned that anything over 10 times the 
background rate of extinction was above the limit if the world was to be safe 
for humans, Dr Stuart said. ''No one's claiming it's as small as 10 times. The 
only thing we're certain about is the extent is way beyond what's natural and 
it's getting worse.''

Many more species are discovered every year than are recorded extinct, but 
these ''new'' plants and animals are existing species found by humans for the 
first time.

The union has also listed 208 species as ''possibly extinct''. Nearly 17,300 
species are considered under threat. These include one in five mammals 
assessed, one in eight birds, one in three amphibians, and one in four corals. 
Later this year, the Convention on Biological Diversity is expected to formally 
declare that a pledge by world leaders in 2002 to reduce the rate of 
biodiversity loss by 2010 has not been met, and to agree on new, stronger 
targets. 

GUARDIAN

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