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Europe could face hundreds of Iran missiles, says Gates


Published Date: June 19, 2010 

WASHINGTON: US intelligence showing Iran likely would have the capability to 
attack Europe with "scores or even hundreds" of missiles factored into the 
Obama administration's decision to overhaul missile defenses, Defense Secretary 
Robert Gates said on Thursday. Citing the growing Iranian missile threat, the 
United States announced plans last September to integrate sea- and land-based 
missile defenses in and around its NATO allies in Europe, referred to as the 
"phased adaptive approach.

One of the elements of the intelligence that contributed to the decision on the 
phased adaptive array (approach) was the realization that if Iran were actually 
to launch a missile attack on Europe, it wouldn't be just one or two missiles, 
or a handful," Gates said at a congressional hearing. "It would more likely be 
a salvo kind of attack, where you would be dealing potentially with scores or 
even hundreds of missiles.

Gates voiced confidence that upgraded missile interceptors in development 
"would give us the ability to protect our troops, our bases, our facilities and 
our allies in Europe." Gates said having those interceptor systems in place by 
around 2020 was critical not only because of the missile threat from Iran and 
North Korea, but also because "I think by 2020 we may well see it from other 
states, especially if we're unsuccessful in stopping Iran from building nuclear 
weapons.

US officials and experts have at times sent mixed messages about the new 
system's capabilities. At the hearing Gates sought to allay concerns in Moscow 
about the new US approach by playing down its capabilities against the 
large-scale arsenal possessed by Russia.

Our missile defenses do not have the capability to defend against the Russian 
Federation's large, advanced arsenal. Consequently, US missile defenses do not 
and will not affect Russia's strategic deterrent," Gates said. "The Russians 
know that our missile defenses are designed to intercept a limited number of 
ballistic missiles launched by a country such as Iran or North Korea," he said.

The Obama administration has held out the possibility that Moscow could take 
part in the missile defense system in partnership with the United States. But 
Gates said: "There is no meeting of the minds on missile defense. The Russians 
hate it. They've hated it since the late 1960s. They will always hate it, 
mostly because we'll build it and they won't.

US intelligence agencies have long warned about Iran's growing missile threat 
and officials say anti-ballistic missile systems should cover all of Europe by 
2018. "We are clearly dealing with a country that has made no secret of its 
desire to develop a robust, plentiful, increasingly capable missile arsenal," 
Pentagon press secretary Geoff Morrell told a news conference.

But he said US intelligence on the Iranian missile program was "an imperfect 
science." "We have been proven wrong before. We have had to make adjustments," 
Morrell said. He said the administration's approach to missile defense "will 
allow us the flexibility so that as intelligence changes, as the situation 
changes in these rogue states developing long-range and medium-range missile 
capabilities, we will have the wherewithal to adjust our defenses.

The multibillion-dollar effort is designed to defend against Iranian missiles 
that could be tipped with chemical, biological or nuclear warheads, officials 
say. According to US estimates, Iran could produce enough bomb-grade fuel for a 
nuclear weapon in as little as one year but would probably need three to five 
years to deploy a "usable" one. --- Reuters

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