Thank God. I thought I was the only one who was seeing this.

Chuck wrote:

>in the case of a number of the CLEC's, part of the problem was the old telco
>monopoly that they had to fight.
>
>companies like COVAD, Northpoint, Concentric ( now part of XO ) to name a
>few, were there firstest with the mostest while the telco's dragged their
>feet on bringing DSL to their customer base. All the time racking up
>revenues through their local loop charges.
>
>Now the telcos are in the market full tilt boogie, steamrolling the CLEC's
>by taking advantage of their existing base, and more importantly, their
>existing infrastructure.
>
>I've had DSL through Concentric/XO, and before that with Flashcom. In both
>cases, new wire had to be used for me to get my line. The telco racked up
>the installation charges, and the local loop revenue.
>
>Now, the telco is offering to come in, and throw DSL on my existing dial
>tone line, something the CLEC's couldn't do. The result is that the telco
>can charge slightly less for DSL, and they don't have any additional costs
>in terms of wiring.
>
>the pure economics of it is that the telcos continue to have the distinct
>advantage. They sat back, let the CLEC's do all the initial work, let the
>CLEC's do all the initial marketing, and then they blew in and blew the
>CLEC's out of business.
>
>Chuck
>
>""Steven A. Ridder""  wrote in message
>[EMAIL PROTECTED]">news:[EMAIL PROTECTED]...
>
>>That article taked about 1 problem, the problem almost every company had -
>>grabing too much land and equipment with no customers or sustainable
>>revenue.  But that's also the problem every dot-bomb had.  Thankfully the
>>buble burst, the madness ended and took out the garbage.  No company would
>>stay in business that way.  This dosen't mean that their services weren't
>>wanted.  Most every home who has a dial-up, most buisinesses that don't
>>
>have
>
>>DSL in their area are still waiting for the right company/technology to
>>
>come
>
>>by and at the right price.  There's still a pretty large demand for
>>high-speed internet.  Now we just have to wait for the right technology to
>>come by and offer good service at a good price.
>>
>>There is also another problem that was just as bad - the market was
>>
>flooded
>
>>with service providers.  There was WAY too much supply and only moderatre
>>demand.
>>
>>I still see plenty of growth in this industry, even excluding the service
>>provider market.
>>""nrf""  wrote in message
>>[EMAIL PROTECTED]">news:[EMAIL PROTECTED]...
>>
>>>For example, here is just one study from today:
>>>
>>>http://news.com.com/2009-1033-839335.html
>>>
>>>
>>>""nrf""  wrote in message
>>>[EMAIL PROTECTED]">news:[EMAIL PROTECTED]...
>>>
>>>>Most indications seem to be that the networking industry, and the
>>>>telco/provider segment in particular will greatly lag any general
>>>>
>>economic
>>
>>>>recovery.  Nobody is predicting a serious telecom recovery this year,
>>>>
>>and
>>
>>>>many economists don't even predict one next year.  Many big names have
>>>>already gone down - Exodus, Excite@home, GlobalCrossing - and others
>>>>
>are
>
>>>>playing serious defense - Level3, MCIWorldcom, AT&T, Qwest.   Huge
>>>>
>debt
>
>>>>payments continue to hang over the industry, and that problem won't be
>>>>cleared up anytime soon.
>>>>
>>>>One dirty little secret of the provider industry is that very few
>>>>
>>>providers
>>>
>>>>actually make consistent profit on a true cash-flow basis. Just like
>>>>
>the
>
>>>>dotcoms, the providers can't figure out how to wring a decent amount
>>>>
>of
>
>>>>profit out from the Internet either.     Sure, many providers will
>>>>
>claim
>
>>>>pro-forma profits, but after the Enron catastrophe, nobody wants to
>>>>
>see
>
>>>>pro-forma numbers, correctly preferring real cash-flow numbers.
>>>>
>>>>But all this talk might be a case of fiddling while Rome burns.  All
>>>>
>>this
>>
>>>>talk of a future recovery  in the long run doesn't really help anybody
>>>>
>>>right
>>>
>>>>now.  Like the macro-economist John Maynard Keynes once said: "In the
>>>>
>>long
>>
>>>>run, we're all dead".  Specifically, discussion of decent job
>>>>
>prospects
>
>>in
>>
>>>>the future doesn't exactly help a guy who needs to pay the bills now.
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>""Steven A. Ridder""  wrote in message
>>>>[EMAIL PROTECTED]">news:[EMAIL PROTECTED]...
>>>>
>>>>>It's the economy.  When it picks up, so will the jobs.
>>>>>""saktown""  wrote in message
>>>>>[EMAIL PROTECTED]">news:[EMAIL PROTECTED]...
>>>>>
>>>>>>I don't know if this is going to make you feel better or not
>>>>>>
>>(probably
>>
>>>>>not),
>>>>>
>>>>>>but anyways it is not strictly true that there are all these
>>>>>>
>>networks
>>
>>>>that
>>>>
>>>>>>need to be maintained.  A lot of people have wondered how the
>>>>>>
>>industry
>>
>>>>can
>>>>
>>>>>>be laying all these people off if there are a constant number of
>>>>>>
>>>complex
>>>
>>>>>>networks to maintain.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>The fallacy in that logic is that  in reality the number of
>>>>>>
>>networks,
>>
>>>>and
>>>>
>>>>>>their complexity, has indeed gone down in absolute terms.   While
>>>>>>
>>the
>>
>>>>>>enterprise space still continues to maintain lukewarm demand, the
>>>>>>telco/provider segment  is nothing less than a disaster of epic
>>>>>>
>>>>>proportions.
>>>>>
>>>>>>I would contend that for every new box requisitioned by an
>>>>>>
>>enterprise,
>>
>>>>>>another 2 or 3 have been decommissioned by a dying provider.
>>>>>>
>Check
>
>>>out
>>>
>>>>>the
>>>>>
>>>>>>latest auction of Cisco gear from Excite@Home as a poignant
>>>>>>
>example.
>
>>>>>>Furthermore, much of the growth in the enterprise space requires
>>>>>>
>>very
>>
>>>>>little
>>>>>
>>>>>>skill to set up (i.e. install a single router to connect to an
>>>>>>
>ISP),
>
>>>>>whereas
>>>>>
>>>>>>provider networks tend to be tremendously complicated, therefore
>>>>>>
>>>>requiring
>>>>
>>>>>>great expertise to maintain, but of course now there is no more
>>>>>>
>>>provider
>>>
>>>>>>network to maintain.  Hence, you have lots of highly skilled
>>>>>>
>network
>
>>>>dudes
>>>>
>>>>>>who got laid off from providers who are now competing for jobs
>>>>>>
>>running
>>
>>>>>>networks for enterprises.
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>>----- Original Message -----
>>>>>>>From: "John Green"
>>>>>>>To:
>>>>>>>Sent: Saturday, February 16, 2002 11:16 AM
>>>>>>>Subject: what is wrong with the job market ? [7:35611]
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>seems all jobs have just vanished. well then who runs
>>>>>>>>the networks and equipment ? it's real bad out there
>>>>>>>>in the job market.
>>>>>>>>any web sites to put the resume ? seems dice, monster,
>>>>>>>>headhunter are not producing any results.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>how long is this goind to last ?
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>__________________________________________________
>>>>>>>>Do You Yahoo!?
>>>>>>>>Yahoo! Sports - Coverage of the 2002 Olympic Games
>>>>>>>>http://sports.yahoo.com
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