> Paul Kosinski wrote:
> > In December 2006, we were running ClamAV 0.88.7, and there were still
> > a fair number of "real" viruses being detected in inbound email. Now
> > running 0.91.2 and 0.92, there seem to be only phishing attempts, and
> > not even very many of them. In fact it seems that our log file shows
> > almost as many (hourly) signature update messages as phish detections
> > (much less "real" virus detections).
> > 
> > Have other ClamAV users experienced a similar decline in email
> > attacks?

Yes. We (xs4all, a mid-sized european ISP) actually keep online graphs 
of the number of viruses and spam detected. Note that we do not count
phishes as a virus (phishes detected by clamav count as a score in SA).
See:

http://www.xs4all.nl/uk/veiligheid/statistieken.php

As you can see in the yearly graphs, there have been a few outbreaks
of viruses causing a temporary raise in the number of email viruses
detected. The number of 'real' viruses we see now is typically less
than 0.1%. Of course, more than 95% of the rest is spam...

Note that even that 'outbreak' in January was rather weak, topping at 
18 viruses/second. We used to see virus outbreaks with over 60 virus
delivery (attempts) per second back in 2005.

The going theory is that classical email viruses have basically become
almost extinct. Congratulations. The email virus scanners won. The
bad guys smartened up and moved to infected webpages (hi, Alicia Keys!),
p2p fakes and malware (WoWarcraftPingAccelerator.exe.torrent ?), and IM
threats.

Also, if a virus ever does spread by email, it is usually extremely
targetted and quite rare, and it doesn't generate a huge outgoing flood
because it doesn't want to be detected. So it is not uncommon for "0-day
malwarez" to be detected by less than 20% of the scanners available.

Currently, the only solution is for end users to have really up to date
virus scanners on the desktop, and a healthy dose of scepticism before
clicking on anything. Wait, is that a pig flying by my window?

So while the battle on email viruses might be won, the war certainly
isn't over. If end users continue to be too ignorant to get their
security straight, then ISPs will have to run all of their connections
through some sort of transparent proxy/virusscanner, at some point,
to keep the users secure. And at the moment the NSA (or your local
favorite TLA secret agency) hears that that is possible, ISPs will get a
request for some more functionality in the transparent proxy, and your
privacy will be completely hosed.

-- 
Jan-Pieter Cornet <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
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