Your reports are are excellent and the information well presented and very 
interesting to us non-meteorologists. Thanks so much and would love to see 
them continue! 
Robert Raker
Lakewood, CO

On Monday, April 20, 2020 at 9:56:31 PM UTC-6, Bryan Guarente wrote:
>
> COBirders,
> Looks like tomorrow should be a good day for migrational turnover.  Expect 
> that birds from farther south will have a chance to migrate through the 
> area on stronger southerly winds (FROM the south) originating from OK/TX.  
> Unfortunately, there isn't a strong convergence zone that would help 
> condense the birds into certain locations. You can expect convergence of 
> birds nearer the foothills than farther east as the mountains act as a 
> natural convergence area when southeast winds are dominant.  This doesn't 
> preclude the fact that good habitat attracts birds better than bad 
> habitat.  So it can always be worthwhile to check your patch multiple times 
> on a day like tomorrow (4/21)
>
> Yesterday (4/19) and today (4/20), the winds aloft have been very weak 
> promoting more soaring-bird migration but still allowing direct flight 
> migrations as well with less wind support to cover ground.  Tonight and 
> into most of tomorrow (4/21), expect the winds to be stronger aloft and 
> from the south for most of the day making for a stronger possibility of 
> turnover of birds.  
>
>
> https://earth.nullschool.net/#2020/04/21/1200Z/wind/isobaric/850hPa/orthographic=-105.00,40,1897/loc=-105.00,40
>  (The 
> green circle is on Boulder for reference only)
>
> I hope you can get a chance to get out (I know it is a work-day) for at 
> least a walk in your local patch.  You should have a nice opportunity for 
> some new birds (First-Of-Year/First-Of-Season), but they may not stick 
> around for long with continued south winds throughout the day into the 
> night unless your patch has good habitat and food.  
>
> May the meteorology bless you tomorrow with birds.  Remember positive and 
> negative data are both useful to help us understand the overall meshing 
> between bird migration and weather patterns, so let us know what happens 
> for you tomorrow.  Best of luck.  
>
> Bryan
>
> Bryan Guarente
> Meteorologist/Instructional Designer
> UCAR/The COMET Program
> Boulder, CO
>

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