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________________________________________________________________
Jaime Forero
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
281-244-8779
NASA VITT
Siempre adelante !!

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> 
> Global Intelligence Update
> Red Alert
> March 10, 1999
> 
> Venezuela Challenges Verdict in Murder of Americans in Colombia
> 
> Summary:
> 
> Venezuela's foreign minister has questioned assertions that the 
> FARC was responsible for the kidnapping and murder of three 
> Americans.  Reason suggests the case may deserve a second look.
> 
> Analysis:
> 
> Venezuela's Foreign Minister Jose Vicente Rangel speculated on 
> March 8, 1999 that Colombian right-wing paramilitary groups may 
> have been responsible for the kidnapping and murder of three 
> American citizens in Colombia on February 25, 1999.  In a 
> televised report on the incident, Rangel said that, "It could 
> have been the paramilitary groups because of the brutal nature of 
> the murders....  The [FARC] have denied they were the 
> masterminds.  Let's see what the paramilitary groups have to say. 
> It is an evident act of provocation."  
> 
> The three Americans, who had been working with the indigenous 
> U'wa tribe to build schools, were kidnapped in the Arauca 
> Department of Colombia.  One of the individuals, Terence Freitas, 
> age 24, had been involved with the U'wa cause for more than two 
> years.  A week after the abduction, their bodies were found 
> across the border in Venezuela.  The bodies were found 100 feet 
> from the Arauca River, which separates Colombia and Venezuela.  
> All three had been blindfolded with their hands bound, and the 
> two women had been shot 4 times each, while the man had been shot 
> 6 times.  These facts are generally agreed upon by all of the 
> parties involved.  From this point, however, the facts of the 
> case vary according to the informant. 
> 
> Rangel's allegation contradicts the conclusion of Colombian and 
> U.S. officials, who cite eyewitness accounts and electronic 
> intelligence in laying the blame on Colombia's largest leftist 
> insurgent group, the  Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia 
> (FARC).  First, the U'wa maintain that FARC guerrillas kidnapped 
> the Americans.  Second, Colombian military and police officers 
> lay the blame on the 45th Front of the FARC, based on information 
> gathered from intercepted cellular telephone conversations.  
> Colombian intelligence officers reported that the Colombian 
> National Police had intercepted cellular telephone conversations 
> between members of the 45th Front, the leader of the 45th Front -
> - German "Grannobles" Briceno  and a top FARC military strategist 
> -- German's brother, Jorge "Mono Jojoy" Briceno.  According to 
> Colombian police sources, they have transcripts of Briceno 
> ordering his troops to "take them over to the other side of the 
> river [to Venezuela] and burn them."  According to police Colonel 
> Luis Eduardo Tafur, "Mono Jojoy and Grannobles ordered the deaths 
> of the North Americans but asked that it be done on the other 
> side of the border to avoid problems."
> 
> The FARC, for its part, denied involvement in the killing of the 
> Americans, and promised to open an investigation of its own.  
> Raul Reyes, one of the top leaders of the FARC, released a 
> statement over the weekend in which he denied FARC involvement 
> and expressed the insurgent group's condolences.  "At this point, 
> we're sure," Reyes said, "that the 15,000-member group had not 
> responsibility [in the deaths]."  Reyes also claimed that those 
> responsible are "enemies of the peace", though he did not 
> elaborate further on who they might be.   
> 
> Rangel, apparently, does not place much faith in Colombian 
> intelligence reports.  We have no way of confirming or denying 
> the Colombian army's reports at this time, forcing us to look at 
> both arguments with an open mind.  While the Venezuelan 
> government may simply be covering for the FARC, in hopes of 
> rescuing the peace process and ensuring a mediating role for 
> Venezuela, Rangel is almost certainly correct in his portrayal of 
> the kidnappings and murders as being intentional provocative 
> acts.  It is unlikely that the FARC, or any other possible 
> culprit, singled out and executed three Americans in Colombia 
> without having some idea of the potential repercussions. 
> 
> According to a March 7 article appearing in the Washington Post 
> Foreign Service, U.S. and Colombian officials originally thought 
> paramilitary groups or drug traffickers were behind the 
> kidnappings.  If it was the paramilitaries as Rangel suggested, 
> and as the U.S. and Colombia originally suspected, the motivation 
> is clear.  While the peace talks between the rebels and the 
> Colombian government are technically stalled, the government 
> recently filed an indictment against Carlos Castano, leader of 
> Colombia's paramilitary groups.  Additionally, the Colombian Army 
> launched an operation to find Castano and bring him to justice.  
> This can be seen as an effort on the part of the government to 
> appease the guerrillas and bring them back to the bargaining 
> table.
> 
> It is conceivable that Castano could have used this incident to 
> head off any effort to repair relations between the government 
> and the guerrillas.  Castano would have to know that the murder 
> of three Americans, allegedly by the FARC, would certainly wreak 
> havoc with the peace process.  Interestingly enough, a friend of 
> Freitas told reporters that Freitas claimed to have been followed 
> last year by paramilitaries.  Freitas also told a friend that he 
> had received anonymous phone calls telling him to "back off or 
> die."  
> 
> If the murders were an effort to scuttle the peace process, they 
> are appearing to be successful.  Referring to the murders, 
> Colombian officials said earlier this week that the peace process 
> was close to being canceled.  One official labeled the murders, 
> "not only brutal, but really, really dumb."  Along the same 
> lines, an unnamed US official said, "I can't think of anything 
> more stupid the FARC could have done.  It is just incredible.  It 
> doesn't fit how the FARC operates."  In fact, normally the FARC 
> uses kidnappings as a fund-raiser by extorting money from the 
> victim's family or employer.  Only a fool would think they could 
> extort money with a corpse.
> 
> If it was the FARC, there is a good chance that the murders were 
> carried out by a rogue element within the group.  We have 
> previously discussed the possibility that there may be splinter 
> groups within the FARC.  At this time we can see no plausible 
> motivation for the FARC to carry out such a politically explosive 
> act.  However, a splinter group within the FARC may be motivated 
> to do so if it meant derailing the peace process.  Of course, the 
> murders are as likely to bring countermeasures down on the 
> splinter group as on the peace process in general.
> 
> The other possible culprit is a drug trafficking organization.  
> But, given the information available, these murders do not fall 
> into the drug lords' motives or modus operandi.  Drug 
> organizations usually kill people for one or more of the 
> following reasons: to keep someone silent, to punish someone for 
> not paying, to gain market share, or to make a statement.  Since 
> it doesn't appear that the three Americans were involved in the 
> drug trade, the only motivation left is making a statement.  
> Incarcerated Colombian drug lords are once again expressing their 
> concern at the possibility that they could be deported to the 
> U.S., and have threatened a campaign of violence to forestall 
> extradition.  However, in the past drug traffickers have usually 
> picked more visible and higher profile targets in order to 
> achieve this goal, such as politicians, judges, and law 
> enforcement officers.  They also are very explicit about their 
> role, threatening first, killing, and taking credit after.  That 
> is not the case here.
> 
> The murders of the three Americans in Colombia, allegedly by FARC 
> rebels tied closely to the drug trade, potentially carry very 
> serious repercussions.  As we have previously pointed out, the 
> U.S. has been performing a policy ballet, funding the war on 
> Colombian drug traffickers, explicitly staying out of Colombia's 
> war with the FARC, yet linking the FARC and the drug traffickers. 
> This delicately balanced argument has been fueled by elements in 
> the Colombian government and military that seek greater U.S. 
> support for the war against the FARC.  We can neither prove nor 
> disprove FARC responsibility for these murders.  But bearing in 
> mind the volatility of this issue, and the potential it carries 
> to drag the U.S. deeper into Colombia's domestic problems, it 
> would be worthwhile to carefully re-examine the details of the 
> case, before the incident alters U.S. policy toward Colombia.  
> Something just does not add up here.
> 
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  • FW: Colombia FORERO, JAIME E. (JSC-CA)
    • FORERO, JAIME E. (JSC-CA)

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