All rating model assume tha If A cab B B easily and B can beat C easily then
A can beat C easily as well. As we all know this is ususally true but no
always.  I know I cannot handle AyaMC in KGS although rating of KgS indicate
that I should be favorite. I assume that these sort wrong skill set against
C problems could be a big part of explanation.
Petri

2009/10/9 Brian Sheppard <[email protected]>

> >One must be very careful about proclaiming wild transitivity issues.  I'm
> >not saying it's not an issue, there is some going on with every program on
> >CGOS, but with less than 500 games between any two players you are going
> >to get error margins of +/- 30-50 ELO or something like that.
>
> Actually we are certain that significant differences are being observed. If
> we pool the Pachi and Pebbles data, then the null hypothesis is that
> Valkyria defeats both programs by 79%. The observed data differs by at
> least
> 3.5 standard deviations.
>
> Note that we are talking about 150 rating points.
>
>
>
>
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-- 
Petri Pitkänen
e-mail: [email protected]
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