> So what can above calculation tell us? According to above calculation it 
> could estimate
> that the effective search depth of the today's strong Go programs are about 
> 11, if the playout
> number is one million and assume m=600, f=1.5. If an effective search depth 
> of 50
> is required to reach high dan level. Then the playout number needs to 
> increase by a
> factor of 1.5^39, about 7.4 milliom times. That is 7.4 trillion playouts 
> needed.

I suspect that Monte-Carlo isn't the best way to achieve high dan level play, 
even though
it is the best Go playing method at the moment.
I'm doing research into board evaluation using pattern recognition, with the 
key being an
algorithm that can find patterns on a board without the time required being 
proportional
to the number of patterns being searched for.
My aim would then be to only do lookahead as far as the next tenuki play, in 
the sense
that for every move examined the likely sequence of moves following it would be 
examined
up to the point where the next play at each leaf node was a tenuki, and at that 
point the
evaluation of the board at the leaf node would be used to min-max the tree of 
moves to
decide best move. The depth would obviously vary, but the total number of moves 
to
evaluate would be unlikely to be above a thousand.  
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