On Tue, Aug 24, 2010 at 12:56 PM, Brian Sheppard <[email protected]> wrote:
>>I ran Many Faces for 90 seconds and it likes D3 for X with 75% win rate, 21
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>>ply PV, 1.3M playouts.
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>
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>>Indeed. I ran Valkyria for 95 seconds. It used about 400k playouts
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>>with a 31 ply PV but with an unusual amount of junk moves. It give 70%
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>>to black.
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>
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> I am glad that it's not just me. :-)

Although Brian brings up many interesting features of this position, I
think the short story is this: You have two battles that playouts
don't understand. Whether a particular battle is won by black in a
playout has a probability of about 50%. The two battles are roughly
independent, and black wins if he wins either one. So you would expect
to see a winning rate of around 75%. Anything lower than that means
that the program is understanding something about the position.

This seems like a very good position to work on improving.


Álvaro.
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