I don't think it's unreasonable. Look at the ever-growing gap between the top chess players and the top chess computers, and consider:
a) There's no reason to believe the strongest chess computers are as good as "God" yet. The low draw rate in computer chess tournaments supports this. b) Top chess players only come as close as they do because they themselves train using computers, a luxury that Go professionals do not yet have. So, imagine the gap between today's top chess computer and the best * pre-computer* player, and add to that the gap between the computer and "God". The result is a first approximation of how far away Go professionals are from God, if you accept the assumption that Go professionals are as good at Go as Chess professionals were at Chess before computers ;) Of course, this is all being silly... - Adrian On Mon, Oct 11, 2010 at 5:12 PM, Darren Cook <[email protected]> wrote: > > Rin Kaiho also said a long time ago that he would need 4 stones from > > god. So kudos to Rin. > > > >> There was a study about 10 or 15 years ago that used the measured > >> variance > >> in score to extrapolate perfect play (with zero variance), and it got 4 > >> stones better than the top pros. That's where this estimate comes from. > > So, this is actual handicap stones, not pro ranks? So "God" is not 12- > or 13-dan pro, but something like 21-dan pro? (assuming 3 pro ranks per > handicap stone; 28-dan pro if 4 ranks per handicap stone) > > That's a lot of mistakes Rin thinks the top pros are making. > > Darren > _______________________________________________ > Computer-go mailing list > [email protected] > http://dvandva.org/cgi-bin/mailman/listinfo/computer-go >
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