Of course, anecdotal evidence is worth almost nothing, but
even if we accept it as being representative, we still don't actually
know the switching probabilities here.  For example, the
windows->mac and mac->windows switching probabilities could
be the same and you'd still see many times more windows->mac
switchers because there are so many more windows users to begin
with, so seeing many more windows->mac switchers than
mac->windows switchers does not by itself tell us the probability
of switching.

Even so, it is fun to note (for the purposes of riling up some
people) that in the scenario where either switch was equally
likely, you'd approach a steady state in which there were equal
numbers of windows and mac users.  In fact, given the current
ratio of windows to mac users, the probability of a windows user
switching to a mac could be quite a bit less than the probability
of a mac user switching to windows, and you could still see an
increase in mac usage.


 From the responses to the initial question I see that it is very
apparent that there is a far greater degree of probability that a
Windows user will switch from Windows to Macintosh, or even Linux,
than the other way around for their personal use  This little poll has
satisfied my curiosity on the question.  Those who are fully satisfied
with what they have been using, and are not going to switch in any
case, and perhaps would not even contemplate such, were not the
subject of the query in the first place, so their responses were moot.

Steve



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