A day of turmoil After profits shock, only intervention to support
euro pulls markets back from brink

Net news

Andrew Clark in New York
Saturday September 23, 2000

A shock profits warning from Intel, the world's biggest maker of
microchips, caused turmoil on financial markets around the world
yesterday as investors feared an end to the long-term boom in the
computer industry.
Only the unexpected intervention by the world's central banks to
support the struggling euro pulled the markets out of their nosedive.

Technology stocks led the way down as shares dived in New York, Europe
and throughout Asia in the wake of the Intel warning.

The FTSE 100 index fell 124 points at one point before the euro news
helped it recover to close up 3.5 at 62070.7.

California-based Intel revealed that its revenue for the third quarter
of the year would be up just 3% to 5%, well below forecasts of 9% to
12% growth.

It said this $300m shortfall was "primarily due to weaker demand in
Europe".

The news stunned the technology world - Intel's chips are used by most
major manufacturers of computers and mobile phones. Intel's news was
seen as a clear indication that hi-tech industries are tightening
their belts.

There was immediate speculation that the weak euro was to blame -
computers are priced in dollars, and currency fluctuations have made
them more expensive.

Others blamed disappointment with Microsoft's latest operating system,
Windows 2000, which had been seen as a trigger for users to upgrade
their systems.

Ashok Kumar, an analyst at the New York stockbroker USBancorp Piper
Jaffray, said: "This is a world slowdown phenomenon. The demand
profile was very strong at the start of the quarter but it's basically
fallen off a cliff."

He said a 15% slide in the euro this year was not enough to explain a
dive in Intel's growth rate from 28% in the second quarter to 5% since
July.

"I don't think currency is the main factor behind that - it's a drop
off in demand," he said.

Dan Scovel of research firm Needham & Co said: "There was a lot of
hope that Windows 2000 would contribute to a big push in PCs but it's
come out to pretty lukewarm reviews."

He added that "transitory issues" with the big European mobile phone
makers could be a factor in the fall. Ericsson, for example, has
suffered two profit warnings and the departure of its chief executive.

Intel's shares fell 21% to $48 yesterday morning, following five years
of almost unbroken upward momentum. The slump wiped $65bn off the
group's market value.

Other big losers included Dell, Microsoft and Cisco. In London, ARM
Holdings, Misys and Freeserve were among the fallers.

Intel has a market share of 85% in microchips and is known for its
slogan "Intel Inside". The group is headed by Hungarian-born Andy
Grove. He co-founded Intel in 1968 and has amassed a personal fortune
of more than �300m. He is known as the father of the computer
industry.

Although Intel cited Europe as its main area of weakness, analysts
believe other regions have slowed. Mr Kumar forecast third-quarter
growth of 30% in Asia, against 60% in the second quarter, with the
rate in America slowing from 30% to 10%.

A series of American companies have warned on profits recently, citing
the weak euro. Amng the worst hit have been Gillette, Colgate and
automo tive components firm Rockwell.

�Corus, the Anglo-Dutch steel group, yesterday warned that planned
price increases were under threat and its UK operations under
continued pressure because of the euro weakness, writes David Gow.

Corus is cutting 3,800 British jobs, with a question mark still
hanging over the future of Llanwern strip plant.


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