On 2011-06-17 4:02 AM, Nico Williams wrote:
> Osama, for
example, was found in part by traffic analysis.  Maybe he should have
been using Tor instead of USB sticks and couriers, but I bet usage of
Tor from a sleepy Islamabad suburb would have led to his being found
sooner.

That was not a sleepy Islamabad suburb, but the center of military elite - ground zero for conspiracy as Stanford is the center of venture capital. Had he been using Tor, would have fitted right in. Plus, if it had been a sleepy Islamabad suburb, Tor would have been even better because of all the suburbanites using Tor to download porn.

Crypto is no more than an equivalent of doors, locks, keys, safes, and
hiding.

The state can break locks, but it cannot break crypto.

Hiding *is* effectual against the state - and long has been even before crypto. The collapse of tax revenues in Greece is largely due to methods of tax evasion and tax resistance against the predatory state that would be familiar to any third worlder. That tax evaders can now do business over skype video just makes it easier. They don't notice that they are using crypto to resist the state.

Indeed it is a general user interface principle, that for people to use crypto effectively to resist the state, they should not need to notice that they are using crypto. Tools that require conscious deployment of crypto will never be widely deployed, and when deployed, the users will foul up.

> At the end of the day the rubber has to meet the road.
People need to interact with other people in order to obtain the
things they need for mere survival.

They interact through a banking system that is largely a branch of the state, and an accounting system that is transparent to the state - both of which are collapsing due to incompetent, corrupt, and ham fisted state intervention.

In the financial crisis, it not only became apparent that political favor is more important to bankers than profits and losses, it also became obvious that Sarbannes Oxley compliant accounting fails to give a true and fair account of a business's financial status.

They also interact through vpns and encrypted video conferencing - the Chinese economy is booming in substantial part through a high tech sector that largely bypasses or ignores the regular banking and regular accounting system for higher tech alternatives, and the entire Greek economy is going dark, disappearing from sight of the state, though I would guess that in Greece this largely through third world methods of tax evasion and tax resistance, rather than high tech methods. They keep raising taxes, and, mysteriously, tax revenues fall every time.

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