-Caveat Lector-

8:06 AM DESPITE IMF BAILOUT BRAZIL PLUNGES AGAIN: Brazil's
Currency Slide Sparks Worldwide Woes

 - Brazil had world markets on red alert again Friday as the value of its
newly floated currency fell precipitously and fueled fears of domino-like
devaluations from Latin America to Asia. . . . . Neighboring Argentina
moved quickly to stem contagion with a surprise announcement late
Thursday that it was proposing a radical monetary treaty with the United
States to adopt the dollar and eliminate all risk of a devaluation like
Brazil's. . . . . "Brazil's sovereign credit-worthiness has taken a turn for
the worse," wrote Carl Ross, analyst at Bear Stearns & Co. . . . . At the
end of December, Brazil had reserves of $43 billion, including a $9.3
billion first disbursement from the International Monetary Fund as part of
a $41.5 billion international credit line to shore up reserves. . . . . .

6:58 AM FREE TRADE BRINGS IN WORST TRADE DEFICIT ON
RECORD: Trade Deficit Rises, Setting Record Early

 - In a sign of how fast the American economy was growing at the end of
the year and how quickly many other economies were slowing, the U.S.
trade deficit widened sharply in November, setting a record for a year in
just 11 months. . . . . . . As consumers and businesses took advantage
of import bargains and exporters struggled to sell in shrinking markets,
the gap between American exports and imports jumped to $15.5 billion
from $13.5 billion in October, the Commerce Department reported
Thursday. . . . . . . With December remaining to be counted, the deficit
for 1998 has already reached $153.9 billion, making it the worst year for
trade since 1987, when the deficit was $153.4 billion, the previous
record. . . . . . . "This is a pretty lousy report," said William Dudley,
chief
economist at Goldman, Sachs. . . . . . . The rise in the trade deficit is
actually worse than the figures indicate because import prices have
been falling in dollar terms as the currencies of Asian and Latin
American countries have weakened and the world market for raw
materials from copper to oil has plunged. On average, imported goods
are 3.5 percent cheaper than a year earlier, while the cost of foreign
petroleum products is down more than 34 percent. That means the
volume of imports is even bigger than the statistics would indicate. . . . .
. . . Politically, the bulging trade deficit has become a serious concern
for the Clinton administration, underscored by the president's harsh
words for Japanese steelmakers in his State of the Union address
Tuesday night and his call for a new round of global trade talks. The
administration had already been urging the Europeans to import more,
saying that the United States could not be the importer of only resort. . . .

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