-Caveat Lector-

>From Int'l Herald Tribune

Paris, Tuesday, February 9, 1999


Schroeder Faces Risk Of Policy Paralysis

Hesse Setback Gives Opposition a Chance To Produce Gridlock


------------------------------------------------------------------------
By William Drozdiak Washington Post Service
------------------------------------------------------------------------
BERLIN - With his government suddenly stripped of its majority in the upper
house of Parliament, Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder on Monday faced the
dismal prospect that his legislative program may be paralyzed by the same
kind of political gridlock that undermined his predecessor, Helmut Kohl.

Less than four months after taking office, Mr. Schroeder's ruling Social
Democrats and their partners, the Greens, were shocked Sunday when the
opposition Christian Democrats scored an upset victory in the state of
Hesse. The outcome tilts the balance of power in the upper house, the
Bundesrat, in the opposition's favor and gives them a blocking majority.

''They will have to talk to us now when they want to pass a law,'' said
Angela Merkel, general secretary of the Christian Democrats. ''That applies
both for tax reforms and citizenship reform.''

During his successful campaign to oust Mr. Kohl from power after 16 years
in office, Mr. Schroeder accused his rival of allowing Europe's most
pivotal nation to stagnate by failing to enact legislation that would
redress the country's most pressing problems. In his defense, Mr. Kohl
claimed he was stymied by the Social Democrats, who held majority veto
power in the Bundesrat.

In the wake of the surprising results in Hesse, Mr. Schroeder now must cope
with an agonizing dilemma. If he chooses to compromise with his opponents
in the interest of pushing through some diluted reforms, he risks
alienating his core constituencies. But if he sticks to the ambitious
platform approved by his ruling coalition, he could fall victim to Mr.
Kohl's plight and see his opponents freeze his legislative program in its
tracks.

The first challenge seems likely to occur over Mr. Schroeder's
controversial plan to offer the possibility of dual citizenship to the
seven million foreigners living in Germany. The Christian Democrats
displaced the Social Democrats as Hesse's largest party largely on the
strength of a petition campaign, signed by more than one million people,
that objected to the dual citizenship plan.

The Social Democrats angrily accused their opponents of exploiting
xenophobic sentiments to secure their winning margin because they were
bereft of vote-winning arguments on the economic front. The Social
Democrats and Greens achieved a relatively successful record in ruling
Hesse over the past eight years - it now enjoys the highest incomes and
highest level

of foreign investments of Germany's 16 states.

But many Germans, in Hesse and elsewhere, have become alarmed by the
growing influx of foreigners who have slowly transformed the identity of
the country. Germany now plays host to more foreigners than any other
country in Europe; in some cities, such as the financial capital Frankfurt,
foreigners now account for up to one-third of the population.

The Christian Democrats effectively played on those fears by insisting the
dual citizenship law would provide unfair advantages to the foreign
population and encourage a further wave of immigrants by attracting the
extended families of Turks and other foreign workers who settled here.

''It was completely irresponsible, the way the conservatives manipulated
the voters on the citizenship reform issue with their campaign of fear,''
said Ottmar Schreiner, the party manager of the Social Democrats. ''We
underestimated how far they would go to agitate the people.''

Mr. Schreiner said the Christian Democrats were fanning xenophobic
sentiments by pushing a petition drive that was endorsed by rightist
extremist parties that are connected to neo-Nazi movements.

Gunda Roestel, a leader of the Greens party, which suffered a 4 percent
drop in support in Hesse, charged the Christian Democrats with waging ''a
highly immoral campaign'' and warned that its slide to the right on the
citizenship issue could end up legitimizing extremist and anti-democratic
tendencies.

But Oskar Lafontaine, the leader of the Social Democrats, said the party
needed to absorb the lessons of the Hesse election - the first of seven
state elections this year in Germany - and, if necessary, carry out a
course correction in dealing with volatile issues like immigration and
citizenship.

''We need to draw the consequences from this,'' Mr. Lafontaine said. ''We
need to find a compromise that can satisfy the needs of millions of
long-term foreign residents, but at the same time does not whip up
anti-foreign sentiment among native Germans.''


~~~~~~~~~~~~
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