-Caveat Lector-

Russia's Anger Makes for War Talk
 J.R. Nyquist
March 30, 1999

When US and NATO warplanes struck Yugoslavia last week, President Boris
Yeltsin warned of a global war. But Western leaders have seemingly scoffed at
Yeltsin's statement, and those of other Russian leaders.

By ignoring such peril, Western leaders have taken a casual approach to Russia
that may be intensifying Russia's growing animus toward the West.

To date, no high level meetings between Russian and American officials have
been arranged to address Moscow's concerns. The usual anxiety about US-Russian
relations is almost non-existent. At the State Department, James Rubin offered
the belief that "President Yeltsin, Prime Minister Primakov and Foreign
Minister Ivanov see the value of keeping the relationship (between the U.S.
and Russia) on track, and not letting someone like Milosevic derail everything
that's at stake."

Yet the relationship is not on track.

After the air assault on Yugoslavia began last Wednesday the Russians froze
their relationship with NATO. They pulled Russian ground troops out of the
Bosnia Stabilization Force. They also expelled the NATO representative in
Moscow.

Ominously, they discontinued their cooperation on the Y2K problem -- a problem
that could have catastrophic consequences for Russia unless they receive
Western help.

Then, the Russians canceled a planned visit by Pentagon officials to discuss
the dismantling of Russian nuclear weapons. Worse still, according to Russian
news reports, the Kremlin is contemplating the deployment of tactical nuclear
weapons and bombers to Belarus. Belarus is Russia's invasion pathway to
Europe.

An alarm has been sounded throughout Russia.

When NATO bombs began falling on Russia's ally, Yugoslavia, the banner
headline of Kommersant, a business newspaper, simply said: "The Blow."
Segodnya's ominous headline explained: "It's war. The Americans cannot
convince the Serbs, and Russia cannot convince the Americans." Vremya's
headline stated: "NATO planes have attacked Yugoslavia as well as Moscow's
international authority."

On Saturday Russian lawmakers, meeting in emergency session, passed a
resolution 366-4 that called the NATO air assault on Yugoslavia "an act of
aggression that is a gross violation of the UN Charter ..." The four page
resolution further stated: "The aggression against Russia's ally Yugoslavia is
seen as a serious threat to Russian security."

Nikolai Zyubov, an independent political analyst, has stated that due to NATO
air attacks on Serbia: "Russians are far more anti-American today than they
have ever been." But more than this, he pointed out that Russia now feels
threatened.

Gennady Zyuganov, leader of the Russian Communist Party declared: "The
Americans have gone down the path of Hitlerism. The use of force has become
the main argument in their policy, and so have blackmail, bombs and threats."

The liberal Russian newspaper Izvestia called NATO's bombing campaign a "royal
gift" to the Communists in the Russian Duma. "The Party of retrogrades," said
Izvestia, "does not require a new strategy at all, as the NATO alliance has of
its own accord provided proof of the slogans of anti-American propaganda."

Russian outrage has been apparent at the US Embassy in Moscow. Angry Russians
have pelted the US Embassy with eggs. The protestors are often heard shouting
anti-American slogans. One placard said: "NATO go to Hell."

On Sunday the protest almost turned violent when an attempt was made to use a
grenade launcher against the Embassy building. Afterward, one of the Russian
protesters snarled: "I hope the Russian government will understand and take
this unique chance to start a war against the enemies of the Russians and of
all Slav people."

A leading Russian analyst, Leonod Radzikhovsky stated that "xenophobia, envy
and hatred of America are deep rooted feelings in Russia." And now these
feelings have been awakened.

Valdimir Zhirinovsky, wearing a military uniform, called for Russian
volunteers to fight NATO. "The Third World War started on March 24," he said.

Thousands of young Russians have answered Zhirinovsky's call. Colonel General
Viktor Chechevatov, commander of Russia's Far East Military District, has
offered to lead a combined Russian force of "volunteers and regulars" into
Yugoslavia.

The Russian foreign minister, Igor Ivanov, spoke of the unity of the entire
Russian nation in the face of America's bid for "global domination."

He called it the worst crisis since the Second World War. The usually polite
Ivanov further accused NATO of "blatant genocide," saying that NATO bombs have
killed approximately one thousand Serbs. Ivanov has also called for the
criminal prosecution of those responsible for the bombing. "We have extreme
measures in reserve," warned Ivanov.

"The NATO aggression against Yugoslavia is a very big mistake by American
diplomacy and by Clinton," Ivanov said.

Moscow Mayor Yury Luzhkov, a likely candidate for the Russian presidency in
2000, compared the NATO bombing of Yugoslavia to the 1962 Cuban missile
crisis. "The missiles were a problem for peace," said Luzhkov. "This is even
worse."

Vice Admiral Vyacheslav Popov, commander of Russia's Northern Fleet, told
Itar-Tass on Wednesday that: "The Northern Fleet is ready to carry out any
order issued by the Supreme Command to defend Russia's interests."

On Saturday a powerful division of the Northern Fleet put to sea, including
the heavy missile cruiser "Petr Veliky" and the aircraft carrying cruiser
"Admiral Kuznetsov."

On Monday the Russian Pacific Fleet left Vladivostok on "maneuvers."

The deployment by Russia of both her Atlantic and Pacific fleets --neither of
which have a direct relationship with the Kosovo conflict close to the
Mediterannean -- should have set off alarm bells that Russia may have plans to
widen the war, and soon.

Since last summer, Russia has been dramatically increasing the number of
nuclear warheads carried by its naval ships. Why is Russia now moving so many
ships carrying such weapons onto the high seas? And what is the status of
Russia's lethal submarine force?

>From all appearances, American officials have ignored this significant Russian
deployment of warships, just as they have ignored President Boris Yeltsin's
dire warnings of a widened war.

Has Clinton led NATO into a potentially disastrous confrontation with Russia?

Not only have American and NATO officials failed to foresee the consequences
of Russia's anger, they are doing little to soothe that anger. Contempt for
Russia's diplomatic and military strength remains. Russia's fear and
frustration in the wake of the bombing of Yugoslavia will continue to grow.
The end of the crisis is nowhere in sight.

NOTICE: In accordance with Title 17 U.S.C. Section 107,
this material is distributed without profit to those who
have expressed a prior interest in receiving the included
information for research and educational purposes. For
more information go to: http://www.law.cornell.edu/uscode/17/107.shtml

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