-Caveat Lector-

A Lose-Lose Prospect
by Brian Dunaway
February 15, 2003

The War Party seems particularly desperate these days.

For starters, our beggars for war seem just a little too eager for news of
terrorism.

Now we learn that the captured al Qaeda "informant" failed a lie detector
test, days after every hardware store in America sold out of plastic
sheeting and duct tape with which Americans can seal themselves in
latter-day sarcophagi, now they finally tell us the upgraded alert was
based on false information. Well, partly, they say. They have other,
verified, information as well, they assure us, so there are no plans to
change the alert status.

And if their eagerness to find an excuse for war seems desperate, their
interpretation of the bin Laden tape is pathetic. I happen to believe the
tape is real, only because the administration�s explanation of it is so
convoluted.

First, of course bin Laden would want to associate himself with Saddam
Hussein. He hates the pagan "infidel" Hussein, and knows any linkage with
him almost surely means a US invasion. He also knows that the chaos that
will ensue will radically increase the probability that he�ll get his
hands on all manner of ammunition, and if there are any to be found
(doubtful), weapons far nastier.

Except, that�s not what he really said. He "urges �true Muslims� in Iraq
and elsewhere to �act, incite, mobilize ... in order to break free from
the slavery of these tyrannical and apostate regimes.� Not in support of
the �infidel� Saddam but for Islam and the jihad."

And the Sunday Herald reports that,

"Try as it might, the UK has been unable to produce any evidence clearly
linking Saddam to bin Laden, and the French have positively ruled out any
connection. Jean-Louis Bruguiere, France�s leading terrorist investigator,
says years of investigation into radical Islamic terror groups have not
produced a trace of evidence linking them to Iraq. ... We have not found
any link between al-Qaeda and Iraq. Not a trace. There is no foundation to
our investigations for the information given by the Americans."

CIA director George Tenet seems to agree, concluding that "the only reason
Saddam would use WMDs against the United States was if he was backed into
a corner � due to a strike by the American military � and realized he was
about to fall." Some believe this is the reason why scores of thousands of
body bags are being made ready.

Commenting on specious interpretation of CIA intelligence by Congress, Lee
Hamilton, former chairman of the House of Representatives Intelligence
Committee, "added pointedly: �It's an overwhelming temptation to
manipulate intelligence to serve policy and, to some extent, I think
that�s what�s happening here with Iraq.�"

Stop Doing What I Ask!

The Bush administration was already suffering badly from Secretary of
State Colin Powell�s presentation to the UN. It impressed the American War
Press, but no one else.

One simply had to peruse the worldwide press to get the consensus opinion:
more of the same "proof" that had already been refuted, plus cartoons. The
day before, Powell had already admitted there was no "smoking gun" in the
presentation.

But in the days following the Powell pitch, UN chief weapons inspector
Hans Blix, after talks with Iraqi officials on 9 February, said he saw
signs of a "change of heart" from Baghdad over disarmament demands. "In
two days of meetings with Hans Blix and Mohamed ElBaradei, Iraq officials
handed over documents on anthrax, VX nerve gas and missile development."
Later in the week, Iraq agreed to overflights by U-2 surveillance
aircraft.

This news strengthened calls by France, Germany, and Russia to allow more
time for inspections. In an interview with French television, Putin
rejected "regime change" in Iraq, and stated that "there is nothing in the
UN Charter that would allow the UN Security Council to make a decision to
change the political regime of one country or another � whether we like
that regime or not."

The Bush administration was not moved.

In an utterly dismissive tone, Bush replied in unintended irony, "It�s a
moment of truth for the United Nations. The United Nations gets to decide
shortly whether or not it is going to be relevant in terms of keeping the
peace, whether or not its words mean anything." He also said, "Given the
fact that Saddam Hussein is not disarming, time is running out."

But the fact is, for all the world to see, the prospect for Iraq looks at
least temporarily brighter, while the US looks all too enthusiastic to
attack. But it�s also plain to see that even if Iraq instantaneously
disarmed, it would still be in the position of trying to prove a negative,
and the invasion would go on as has been planned from the very beginning.
The United States would never be caught all dressed up with no place to
go.

Europhobia

If the dictum "those who are not with us are against us" is taken to its
logical conclusion, Europe had better gird itself � indeed, the Bush
administration has already threatened it with economic sanction.

The frustration, paranoia, and recklessness of The War Party has fully
manifested itself in Francophobia, Teutonophobia, perhaps we could just
call it Europhobia � inasmuch as England is not Europe.

And why wouldn�t the little island be America�s best friend? We share
common law and common language (sort of), and common love of imperialism.
But to be fair, whether by choice or not, the little island seems to have
outgrown its love for imperialism. Mr. Blair seems to be in the marked
minority, an emperor with no clothes.

Perhaps Mr. Blair believes London is still the capital of a magnificent
empire, and a great force to be reckoned with � he might even remember the
old story (or old joke) of a turn of the (last) century London newspaper
headline: "English Channel Still Shrouded in Fog: Europe Isolated." Or,
maybe he lives vicariously through the exploits of Emperor Bush.

America, who vowed to escape the fate of Fortress Europe, is instead ruled
by those who deride "Old Europe" because she won�t help them get what they
want. So jealous of the power they need, they have adopted the hatred of
England�s old enemies, the "Frogs" and the "Krauts."

But competitive Americans will not be outperformed by their English
counterparts; and oddly, France, that early friend and savior of the
American Republic, and more recent ally, seems to receive yet more bile
than any other.

Even to the point that Richard Perle, former political advisor to Prime
Minister of Israel Benjamin Netanyahu and, more recently, chair of the
Pentagon�s Defense Policy Board, recently blurted, "France is no longer
our ally." The 10 February 2003 American Conservative editorial "Richard
Perle Must Resign" adds, "Of the French, delicately courted by Powell in
an effort to win Security Council support, Perle blustered, �I have seen
diplomatic maneuver but not moral fiber.�"

The Guardian takes note of some of more virulent Francophobic (and
generally Europhobic) statements:

"The "petulant prima donna of realpolitik" is leading the "axis of
weasels," in "a chorus of cowards." It is an unholy alliance of "wimps"
and ingrates which includes one country that is little more than a
"mini-me minion," another that is in league with Cuba and Libya, with a
bunch of "cheese-eating surrender monkeys" at the helm."

The last phrase was uttered by the great American philosopher Bart
Simpson, but made "acceptable in official diplomatic channels around the
globe by Jonah Goldberg." The poor souls that visit Goldberg�s columns
know that he has made Francophobia a favorite pastime.

In The Washington Post, George Will described the French foreign affairs
minister, Dominique de Villepin, as "oily," but that�s nothing compared to
one of his diatribes during a Sunday broadcast of This Week, where Will
mocked the entire history of France, sparing (or forgetting) only Jean
d�Arc.

Charles Krauthammer added on Fox television: "I'm all in favor of
gratuitous hits at France and Germany."

Even though they�re not a permanent member of the UN Security Council,
let�s not forget Germany.

Responding to Germany�s lack of enthusiasm for a pre-emptive war against
Iraq, Richard Perle replied, "Germany has been subsidized into a moral
numbing pacifism," and called for Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder�s
resignation.

Not to be outdone was Richard Galen, who recently appeared on CNN�s
Talkback Live. Galen was press secretary to Dan Quayle and Newt Gingrich,
and also communications director for the latter. He casually referred to
Gerhard Schroeder as "a German thug, which may be a redundancy," and that
"the French have been, as usual, a bunch of weasels."

These are the sober minds to whom Americans are entrusting their fate?

Going it Alone?

So where do the friendless go? To church perhaps.

But the Bush administration seems to be a little confused as to the
relationship between Man and Church.

As The Age notes,

"the most intriguing, and most futile, part of the US diplomatic offensive
is being directed at the oldest institution in Old Europe, the papacy. The
Vatican has resolutely refused to endorse either the notion of preventive
war in general or an invasion of Iraq in particular. From the Pope down,
every significant official in the Vatican has insisted, in accordance with
a long tradition of Christian teaching about a just war, that the
conditions for such a war cannot be said to exist in the standoff with
Iraq."

Instead, the Vatican "rolls out the red carpet for Christian Aziz," and
strengthens her Chaldean faithful in Iraq. This must come as a great shock
to our governing body.

But if the US government is not going to listen to "Old Europe," it�s
certainly not going to listen to the "Old Church." The experience of
thousands of years does not impress the boy wonders of our imperial
government. It sends its emissaries to both Church and State not to
converse, but to threaten.

It�s not that we should yield our sovereignty to any nation or entity on
Earth, but that�s not really the point, is it?

When nearly the entire world sees our folly, doesn�t only a fool utterly
disregard its counsel?

Bush is already seen as a "cowboy" president (an insult to cowboys)
throughout the world. If America attacks a nation that has not attacked
it, it will be morally discredited, not only in the eyes of the Islamic
world, but in Europe and Asia. What credibility will America have then?

This has all the ingredients of a diplomatic and political disaster.

If it becomes impossible for the US to invade, it will appear that peace
was accomplished despite American will. The administration knows that
window is rapidly closing, which is why they have the propaganda machine
working overtime, and are demanding immediate invasion. But it appears
that they have already lost the momentum. And just what will Bush do if
the UN inspectors refuse to leave? Bomb Iraq anyway?

And if the US does invade, in what will almost certainly appear to the
rest of the world as naked aggression, the damage to foreign policy could
be permanent. What the world will remember are the lies and dashed hope.

Is our government really willing to pit the whole world against us?

Who will be "irrelevant" in the future? It�s hard to imagine America�s
prestige being compromised any time in the near future, but this may be
the first irreversible step down the long road of imperialism, which
inevitably ends in decline and fall.

This administration is rapidly turning this self-made crisis into a
lose-lose situation for America.

http://www.lewrockwell.com/dunaway/dunaway22.html

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