-Caveat Lector-

Factions Vie in Turkish Elections

By LOUIS MEIXLER
.c The Associated Press

ANKARA, Turkey (AP) -- Turkey's elections are emerging as a free-for-all
between squabbling secular parties and an Islamic movement whose leaders have
been hounded by the military and courts.

Secular Turks say the disunity could again propel the Islamic party into a
leadership position after Sunday's vote.

Prime Minister Bulent Ecevit's center-left party has been climbing in the
polls, boosted by public euphoria over the mid-February capture of Kurdish
guerrilla leader Abdullah Ocalan. But his Democratic Left Party is expected
to capture only 20 percent of the vote, about as much as the Islamic Virtue
Party, the largest in parliament.

Most of the other votes are expected to be divided between four major secular
parties. They all agree on the need for a pro-Western foreign policy and
economic privatization, but personality disputes among their leaders divide
them.

``Turkey cannot tolerate living through chaos again,'' the daily Sabah
newspaper wrote in a front-page editorial, saying that a future coalition
between Ecevit and a center-right secular party was needed for stability.

Revolving coalition governments formed by feuding secular parties combined
with a harsh crackdown by the military and courts against the Islamic
movement has created political instability in the past.

The military helped force Virtue's predecessor from government in 1997 and
the courts have jailed the charismatic ex-mayor of Istanbul on charges of
inciting religious hatred after he read a religious poem at a political
rally.

Virtue Party leader Recai Kutan told voters Saturday in the central city of
Kayseri, a stronghold of the Islamic movement, that their ballots will
``strike at those who (hurt) human rights, democracy and freedom.'' But many
analysts say he may be ignored by some voters who fear provoking the
military.

``The Virtue Party's vote will show how much political Islam is surviving in
Turkey,'' said Oral Calislar, a columnist with the Cumhuriyet newspaper. He
added that he does not expect the party to get more than the 20 percent its
predecessor received in the last elections.

The party, however, could find a place in a coalition government if the
secular parties are unable to band together.

In the largely Kurdish southeast, the pro-Kurdish People's Democracy Party,
or HADEP, appears poised to capture key mayorships, a development that would
be certain to raise the concerns of the all powerful Turkish military, which
is at war with autonomy-seeking Kurdish rebels.

Security forces broke up one of the party's rallies and have barred Kurdish
candidates from towns where they are running.

``There is so much pressure on HADEP in Turkey that they cannot compete
freely,'' Calislar said.

The vote in the southeast will be closely watched as a gauge of public
sentiment following Ocalan's capture. The war has claimed 37,000 lives.

On Saturday, Turkish soldiers killed eight Kurdish rebels, including a
commander, the Anatolia news agency reported. The fighting was touched off by
a rebel ambush on a military convoy Friday that killed six soldiers.

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