-Caveat Lector-

http://www.nytimes.com/2003/04/01/international/worldspecial/01QATA.h
tml?ex=1050250043&ei=1&en=1c4882019d301c1f
April 1, 2003

Top Commander Suggests Shiites Haven't Rebelled Because U.S. Failed
Them in '91

By JOHN M. BRODER




AMP SAYLIYA, Qatar, March 31 — The United States, through its past acts,
is largely to blame for the failure of Iraq's Shiite majority to rise in revolt
against Saddam Hussein, a senior American military commander at Central
Command said here today.

"We bear a certain responsibility for what we didn't do in 1991," the officer
said.

After the Persian Gulf war in 1991, the American government encouraged a
Shiite uprising, then did not act when Mr. Hussein's forces slaughtered
thousands of civilians.

"We let them down once," the officer said in a background session with
reporters. "We're not going to do it again."

The officer, who spoke on condition that his name not be used, said
millions of leaflets and round-the-clock radio broadcasts into Iraq had
failed to convince the Iraqi population that the United States and its allies
were fully committed to overthrowing the Baghdad government.

He said years of repression and a succession of what he called barbarous
acts against civilians by government agents and militia since the start of
the current war had caused the people to largely refrain from acts of
rebellion.

"If you have been beaten up and beaten down the way they have been for
12 years, it should not surprise us that they're waiting to see," said the
officer.

Nonetheless, he expressed optimism that ultimately the Iraqis would
recognize that the American-led forces were serious about toppling Mr.
Hussein and dismantling his apparatus of terror.

The officer said cultural misunderstandings and a failure to learn the
lessons of recent history contributed to miscalculations by American
military and civilian leaders. He said those planning and prosecuting the
war might have failed to appreciate how deeply Mr. Hussein's personality
and organs of repression pervade Iraqi society.

"There are big cultural differences between ourselves and the Arab
world," he said. "Their version of the truth is different from our version of
the truth. They come at it from a different way."

He said that on some days at least, Baghdad was winning the public
relations war in the Arab world by showing pictures of wounded children
and devastated public marketplaces, while American officials were showing
antiseptic videotapes of precision weapons hitting buildings. The coalition
has not effectively shown skeptical audiences in the Arab world and
around the globe the brutality of the Iraqi war effort.

"The way this regime fights is despicable, it's barbarous," he said. "We
cannot allow anyone, especially in the Arab world, to believe that the way
they fight is honorable."

He said Arabs were, as a rule, more emotional than Americans and
Europeans. Those who have lived for decades under what he called Mr.
Hussein's totalitarian rule tend to discount, even distrust, American
promises of liberation and relief aid. He compared the Iraqi population to
the Germans under Hitler and the Russians under Stalin, who were so
cowed by their charismatic leaders that they did not revolt in an organized
way.

He said Iraq was not, as some strategists inside and outside the
government presumed, a "house of cards" that would topple quickly if
given a modest push. "That's just not true," he said.

Mr. Hussein appears invincible to many Iraqis who have known no other
leader. "He's won the lottery every time," the officer said. "Saddam is a
huge symbol for these people. He's everywhere. He's everything."

That is why American bombers and missiles repeatedly attack Iraqi state
television, and why British troops in Basra are knocking down statues and
posters of Mr. Hussein.

The officer said that in some places at least, the Iraqi people were close
to believing that the end of the government was near.

"They are rising up, even though slower than we hoped," he said. "I sense
we're near the tipping point in Basra. I sense we're near the tipping point
in Nasiriya."

Intercepted communications between Iraqi army commanders and
conversations with Iraqi officers who have surrendered or been captured
indicate that at least some in the military believe that the government is in
its final days, he said.

"They are worried," he said. "And they ought to be."

But he acknowledged that ground actions — and particularly the heavy
bombardment of Baghdad, which apparently has resulted in dozens of
civilian deaths and injuries — might have had the effect of stiffening the
anti-American resolve of at least some of the citizenry.

He also said, however, that he believed that more Iraqi civilians had been
killed by the Iraqi government "than by any of our errant bombs."

He charged that scores of civilians had been killed by the Iraqis in Basra
and that more than 60 had been "executed" in Mosul.

But he warned that more American and Iraqi casualties were a certainty in
the days to come.

"We're prepared to pay a very high price," he said. "We're not going to walk
away. We're going to take him out."

He added, sadly, "There's no such thing as a clean war."


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