-Caveat Lector- From: Spirit Of Truth Page <http://www.ucc.uconn.edu/~jpa94001/> To: Spirit Of Truth Page <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Date: Fri, 18 Dec 98 Subject: GLOBAL WAR ALERT *** GLOBAL WAR ALERT *** By J. Adams Updated: December 18th, 1998 The *Spirit Of Truth* Page http://www.ucc.uconn.edu/~jpa94001/ ---------------------------------------------------------------------- "Take heed, watch; for you do not know when the time will come. It is like a man going on a journey, when he leaves home and puts his servants in charge, each with his work, and commands the doorkeeper to be on the watch. Watch therefore- for you do not know when the master of the house will come, in the evening, or at midnight, or at the cockcrow, or in the morning- lest he come suddenly and find you asleep. And what I say to you I say to all: Watch." (Mark, chp.13; vs.33-37) ---------------------------------------------------------------------- This article consists of the following twelve parts: 1. The Developing Situation 2. The Grand Supercycle Peak 3. The Crash 4. The Deception 5. The New World Disorder 6. A Right-Wing Coup In Moscow 7. The Balkan Trap 8. The Korean Diversion 9. Saddam's Revenge 10. Russia's "Last Dash To The South" 11. False Peace In The Middle East 12. The Truth ---------------------------------------------------------------------- For related materials to this article, see my Global War Articles at- http://www.ucc.uconn.edu/~jpa94001/content.htm ---------------------------------------------------------------------- THE DEVELOPING SITUATION In the articles I have been writing and placing on the internet for several years, a warning of an approaching crash that will involve an outbreak of global war is outlined that appears to be highly relevant to the world's current situation. First off, stock prices have climbed dramatically in recent years toward a *Grand Supercycle* peak that has been at least 200 years in the making. This peak is likely being reached at the current juncture as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) trades around 9000 and the Nasdaq Composite trades above 2000. As we have approached this historic turning point over the past several years, the West has been gradually lured into a trap by Moscow using historical Russian allies and the United Nations. The stage is set such that America and its military allies, who have sought to take on the role of world policeman, could soon be drawn into conflicts with Russian allies-of-old like Iraq, the Serbs and North Korea. Meanwhile, the political situation in Moscow has become extremely fragile. The breakdown of Russian society, Boris Yeltsin's reported health problems, Russia's blunders in Chechnya and the supposed growing popular support for nationalist and communist political forces are setting the stage for a military coup in Moscow. Thus, one way or another, an unprecedented international crisis is likely to erupt soon that should involve a bogus right-wing coup in Moscow and an outbreak of global war. So that you are fully aware of our current predicament, below is an overview of where the world stands today and where it is likely going tomorrow. Effectively, this is nothing but an updated version of the ideas presented in my previous articles. While the general theme of what I'm anticipating remains the same, as new information becomes available, the details often change. THE GRAND SUPERCYCLE PEAK Since America's birth around 200 years ago, collective expectations have been climbing higher and higher. Rising expectations have fed an almost continuous general rise in stock prices. Unfortunately, since history moves in large-scale cycles, the odds are that the uptrend is eventually going to come to a dramatic end. In the wake of an initial peak during over the summer, the DJIA and Nasdaq Composite broke to new all-time highs above the psychologically significant 9000 and 2000 marks, respectively. The ingredients are now in place for an Elliott Wave "Grand Supercycle" peak in stock prices. For expert Elliott Wave analysis, see- http://www.elliottwave.com The recent surge in stock prices above Dow 9000 and Nasdaq 2000 most likely is a final "blow-off" to a Grand Supercycle peak. Since 1932, a distinct five-wave Elliott Wave pattern has developed toward a final top in stock prices (visible in long-run logarithmic charts of major stock indices like the DJIA). The first wave was a rise to Dow 194 in 1937. Then a wave-two "correction" occurred into 1942. Next, an extended wave-three upswing took place that carried the DJIA to the Magic 1000 mark in February of 1966. This was followed by a complex wave-four correction that lasted until August of 1982 (some interpret the 1974 low as the end of corrective wave-four). Since the 1982 low, a final fifth-wave rise in stock prices has been underway to the recent highs in the DJIA and Nasdaq Composite above 9000 and 2000, respectively. The rising Elliott Wave five-wave pattern described above marks the completion of Supercycle fifth wave in a rising five-wave pattern in U.S. stock prices from 1792 when the New York Stock Exchange opened. According to the Elliott Wave Principle, this marks the completion of a Grand Supercycle upswing in U.S. stock prices and investor expectations that has outlined the rise of America to a great world power. Accordingly, the approaching downswing should trace a collapse in investors' high expectations as America falls from grace. A strong indication that a historic Grand Supercycle top is being reached in the stock market is the pervasive optimism on Wall Street. In 1998, weekly Investors' Intelligence polls of advisory sentiment have shown the highest amounts of optimism since the last major peak in stock prices. (Polls and charts of advisory sentiment appear in the "Market Watch" section of Barron's each week and in the "Psychological Indicators" printed in Investors' Business Daily everyday). As has been pointed out by successful stock market investors like David Dreman, general optimism like prevails today on Wall Street is a solid sign of an important top in stock prices. Investors' high expectations have fed into the most overvalued stock market in history, another sign of a major top. Relative to fundamental measures of value like corporate earnings, dividends and book value, stock prices are at an unprecedented extreme. In terms of the price-to-earnings ratio of stocks (PE), the PE on the S&P 500 recently climbed above 25, whereas 14 is the historic norm. Usually a rise in the PE above 18 is followed by stock market crashes and/or major bear markets. Meanwhile, the average dividend yield on the DJIA, which falls as stock prices climb relative to earnings and dividends, is at historic lows below 2 percent. Normally, a drop in the dividend yield below 3 percent is considered a warning sign of major tops in stock prices (see the "Psychological Indicators" box in a recent issue of Investors' Business Daily). In addition to the stock market's high PE and exceptionally low dividend yield, the price-to-book value of the DJIA recently climbed above six for the first time in history. This barometer of market value has never been above five until this year. Again, this is an important indication that stocks are probably as overvalued as they can get. Another characteristic of the current high in stock prices which suggests the Grand Supercycle top in people's expectations is at hand is that the Dow Jones Transportation and Utility Averages (DJTA & DJUA) failed to confirm the record high recently reached in the DJIA. According to Dow Theory, "non-confirmations" are a key signal that a major turning point is close-at-hand in the direction of stock prices. Non-confirmations occur when the DJIA reaches an all-time high while other major indexes, like those for Transportation and Utility stocks, do not. As the DJIA made new highs above Dow 9000 in recent weeks, the Transportation and Utility averages did not close at all-time highs. The Utilities topped-out way back in October while the Transports peaked in early-1998. That the Grand Supercycle peak is now being reached in stock prices is also indicated by how the DJIA is trading around the 9000 mark and the Nasdaq Composite is just above 2000. Historically, the stock market forms important tops near psychologically important thousand marks in the DJIA. For instance, between 1966 and 1982, the DJIA reversed five times from the "Magic 1000" barrier, on average falling around thirty percent each time after reaching the barrier. Notably, the reversals from Dow 1000 were each followed by a wave a bad news that drove stock prices lower. For instance, when the stock market reversed from the "Magic 1000" barrier in the fall of 1973, it coincided with the Arab Yom Kippur surprise attack on Israel, an associated oil-shock and the worst economic recesions and slump on Wall Street up to that time since the Great Depression. This phenomenon repeated in 1990 when the DJIA climbed to the 3000 mark, closing at 2999.75 two days in a row, and then fell nearly twenty percent in association with Iraq's invasion of Kuwait and that year's Persian Gulf crisis. In January of 1994, the DJIA climbed to near 4000 and the Fed raised interest rates causing the stock market to enter a year-long correction below the psychologically significant mark. In early 1997, the DJIA climbed above 7000 and then reversed into a ten percent drop after the Fed hiked interest rates for the first time since 1994 up to that point. By August of 1997, the DJIA climbed above 8000 for the first time in history and then reversed culminating in last year's October mini- crash associated with a major panic in Asian currency and stock markets. This year the stock market has made a double-top above Dow 9000 and the psychologically important 2000 mark in the Nasdaq Composite. Following the first top in late-July, the worst stock market drop since 1990 occurred in association with Bill Clinton's worsening political troubles and Asia's widening financial and economic debacle. The question of what is going to happen following the current secondary peak remains to be answered, but with the DJIA's initial reversal below Dow 9000, Clinton is about to be impeached and the U.S. has started a major air campaign against Iraq. Summarily, with the DJIA's recent run-up to new all-time highs above Dow 9000 and Nasdaq 2000, all the ingredients have come together for an historic *Grand Supercycle* peak in stock prices. First off, a rising five-wave Elliott Wave pattern has developed from 1932 as well as 1789 indicating that we are now at the top of a Grand Supercycle. Secondly, investor sentiment is very optimistic as reflected by extremely overvalued stocks. Third, current all-time highs in the DJIA are not being confirmed by new record highs in the Dow Jones Transportation and Utility indexes. Fourth, the DJIA recently climbed above 9000 and the Nasdaq Composite is trading above 2000, psychologically significant thousand marks. THE CRASH As emphasized in my articles, following the turning point in the Grand Supercycle, one should expect a tidal wave of bad news. Just as the turnaround at Dow 3000 in 1990 was followed by Iraq's invasion of Kuwait and the outbreak of the Persian Gulf crisis, a reversal from Dow 9000 and Nasdaq 2000 should likewise be followed by some sort of negative international developments. If, indeed, a Grand Supercycle peak is being reached, then an historically unprecedented crash should be looming that could involve an outbreak of global war. The reason one should expect war to erupt in the wake of the Grand Supercycle peak is because the world has literally gone insane. As I explain in "The Global Bipolar Disorder", people's greed and fear gives rise to the irrational swings in collective mood between optimism and pessimism that are responsible for swings in stock prices like the Grand Supercycle. (This, after all, is why relative extremes of optimism and pessimism in investor sentiment and speculative activity signal major tops and bottoms in stock prices, respectively.) The Grand Supercycle peak we are now around involves an historically unprecedented extreme of greed, social mania and irrationally high expectations. In other words, the prevailing beliefs and expectations of modern society are about as misled and insane as is possible right now. Thus, it is rational to expect the opposite of what most everyone else expects. Since the consensus view is that communism is dead, the Cold War is over and a New World Order of international peace and cooperation is at hand where there is virtually no risk of global nuclear war, it is rational to expect a new world disorder of resurgent totalitarianism and a global war of mass destruction. THE DECEPTION "War to the hilt between communism and capitalism is inevitable. Today, of course, we are not strong enough to attack. Our time will come in thirty or forty years. To win, we shall need the element of surprise. The Western world will need to be put to sleep. So we shall begin by launching the most spectacular peace movement on record. There shall be electrifying overtures and unheard of concessions. The capitalist countries, stupid and decadent, will rejoice to cooperate to their own destruction. They will leap at another chance to be friends. As soon as their guard is down, we shall smash them with our clenched fist." (Dmitrii Z. Manuilskii) (Lenin School of Political Warfare, Moscow, 1931) One can understand why prevailing expectations are irrational and how a global war could soon erupt by critically examining the collapse of communism and breakup of the Soviet empire over the last decade (see my articles: " "The Persian Gulf Deception", "The Zhirinovsky Connection", "The Balkan Trap" and "Censored Editorials"). What becomes apparent is that Russia and the other military powers of the East have been consistently lying to the world for the purpose of military domination instead of telling the truth to bring about global peace. With the introduction of Mikhail Gorbachev's "New Thinking" in the mid-1980's, the leaders of world communism implemented a long-run strategy to overtake world capitalism that involves the largest deception in human history (see: KGB defector Anatoliy Golitsyn's 'New Lies For Old' (1984) and 'The Perestroika Deception' (1995?), and/or read 'Mesmerized by the Bear' (1987) edited by Raymond Sleeper). As Lenin suggested, by saying what the West wanted to hear and showing us what we wanted to see, America and its allies have been easily fooled into a vulnerable position that will allow Russia and the authoritarian powers of the East to overtake the world. Specifically, by getting rid of communism, breaking-up the Russian empire and befriending America and its allies, a false sense of security has been instilled in the West that makes it possible for Russia to successfully launch a surprise third world war and militarily dominate the world. THE NEW WORLD DISORDER In order to justify having Russia replace America as the leader of the world, Moscow is seeking to make the capitalist West appear responsible for causing world war three. I believe this is being achieved in the following way. First off, the Soviet empire was disbanded and communist societies were falsely converted into Western-style democracies with market economies. Next, economic and political disarray were orchestrated in the "post"-communist world. The reason this was done is because, according to Marxist-Leninist doctrine, if democracy fails to serve the purposes of capitalism, then democracy is overthrown and replaced with a facist dictatorship. This is supposedly what happened in Germany during the 1930's and led to the second world war. By transforming Russia into a capitalist democracy, and by having Russian society collapse into the same situation as Weimar Germany, the stage has been set for a shift to facism and the rise of a militant, Hitler-like dictator. Moscow can then wage an all-out third world war against the West and later attribute the world's destruction to the failings of Western-style society. This, in turn, will create a pretext for establishing a global Russian empire in the place of the capitalist system that was militarily destroyed. The person we are possibly being *mis*led to believe is the next Hitler is Russian ultranationalist Vladimir Zhirinovsky (Alexander Lebed is another candidate for this role). Zhirinovsky is supposedly a neofacist madman intent on establishing a new dictatorhip in Russia, restoring the Soviet empire and launching world war three. He gained the world's attention when his "Liberal Democratic Party" (?!) reportedly won Russia's parliamentary elections in December of 1993 (something I specifically predicted in "The Zhirinosky Connection"). The reality, however, is that Zhirinovsky is KGB, the 1993 elections were rigged and the political developments in Moscow are, for the most part, highly deceptive and designed to serve the purposes of Russia's communist government-of-old (see my article, "The Zhirinovsky Connection"). In order to insure that the outbreak of world war three is blamed on the West, America and the Western allies are being lured into taking military action against Russian allies-of-old. With the collapse of communism, the U.S. has taken on the role of "world policeman". This has provided Moscow an opportunity to draw the U.S. and its military allies into a trap, often by slyly making indirect use the United Nations. Over the past few years, Moscow has underhandedly orchestrated international crises using Russian puppet states like Iraq, Serbia and North Korea. In response to these crises, i.e., Iraq's invasion of Kuwait, the civil war in the former-Yugoslavia and the nuclear confrontation on the Korean Peninsula, the U.S. has sought to gain international support for applying sanctions and military pressure by acting in the context of the United Nations. Thus, since the U.S. has been seeking Russia's cooperation and approval in the Security Council to take action, Western reactions to the instigated crises have most likely been monitored and specifically tailored to suit Moscow's objectives. The Kremlin's ultimate goal involves drawing the U.S. and its allies (in particularly Great Britian) into military conflicts with Russian allies-of-old in order to create a pretext for world war three. There is reason to believe Moscow is trying to show that the West is incapable of governing international affairs because the foreign policies of America and the Western powers are motivated by selfish interests and imperialistic ambitions instead of global considerations. This is being done by gradually provoking the West into taking military action against traditional Russian allies like Iraq and the Serbs (current U.S. attacks against Iraq and NATO's bombing campaign against the Serbs now on stand-by are examples of this). Such Western military "provocations", in turn, can then be used as a pretense for a massive Russian backlash that will be seen as retaliatory in character. After the dust settles and the Western powers are destroyed, Moscow can create a world government to replace the United Nations and the current "New World Order" that appeared to be recklessly run by Washington and the capitalist West. A RIGHT-WING COUP IN MOSCOW Over the past few years, Moscow has been going out of its way to make it clear to the West that Boris Yeltsin is on his last political, if not literal, legs. With mysterious absences for prolongered periods of time as well as slurred speech and foolish outbursts at important diplomatic meetings, Russian President Boris Yeltsin has projected the image that he has a drinking problem and is suffering from ill-health. The world is being led to believe that Boris Yeltsin's political health is deteriorating along with his literal health. In recent weeks Yeltsin was hospitalized for an extended period and even now he is thought to still be convalescing. Consequently, Prime Minister Primakov, a conservative "former" KGB head, is believed to be running the affairs of Russia more so than President Yeltsin. The stage is being set for an approaching power struggle in Russia that might involve a right-wing military coup in Moscow and possibly the bogus rise to power of a nationalist dictator like Vladimir Zhirinovsky or Alexander Lebed. Given Yeltsin's supposed ill-health and persistent blundering oversights and lapses in judgement, Zhirinovsky and/or Lebed are seemingly in a position to take over the government should hardliners in the military attempt a coup. The seeming reason that Russia's military would soon throw a coup is likely why the West is being drawn into conflicts with Russian allies-of-old like Iraq and the Serbs. With the political situation appearing about as fragile as could be in Moscow, a new Russian crisis might be staged while the West is drawn into major conflicts with Iraq, the Serbs and/or North Korea. Supposedly due to the nationalist backlash in Moscow caused by Western military action against former Russian allies, a right-wing coup can be staged and global war set- off. THE BALKAN TRAP I believe the civil war in the former-Yugoslavia is a trap set by Moscow. As explained in my article, "The Balkan Trap", the West is likely being drawn into a conflict with the Serbs, Russia's slavic brethren and orthodox christian ally-of-old, as part of trigging world war three. Following years of unwavering aggression and brutality, a few years ago the Serbs had a seemingly total change of heart and reached a peace agreement in the Bosnian conflict. In order to enforce this new agreement, some 60,000 NATO troops, including 20,000 U.S. troops, have been deployed into the Balkans to takeover what had been a United Nations' peace-keeping operation. Since this NATO mission involves placing forces in frontline buffer-zones between the warring sides as a deterrent to ceasefire violations, thousands of Western troops are now right in the middle of the Balkan fray. On top of having NATO troops now stationed in harm's way in Bosnia, in response to a conflict that erupted this year between ethnic Albanians and Serbs in the Serbian province of Kosovo, NATO is now under an "active order" for launching air-strikes against the Serbs in order to counter Serb police actions there. Kosovo is considered the cradle of orthodox christianity and is of special value to Belgrade. Hence, NATO air-strikes or any other such Western military action in Kosovo, if not Serbia-proper as well, would be extremely provocative. Indeed, it would effectively be a delaration of war by the West against Serbia, one of Russia's closest allies. Regardless of how the Serbs provoke a new fight with the Western alliance, one thing is for sure. Such a fight will stir a huge nationalist backlash in Russia. This backlash could clearly be used as a pretext for a right-wing coup in Moscow as I'm expecting will eventually occur. THE KOREAN DIVERSION The latest developments which imply a bogus right-wing coup in Moscow is close-at-hand are taking place in a timely fashion for what might be an imminent North Korean invasion of South Korea. As pointed out in my articles, Moscow is likely planning to ignite the Korean Peninsula at the start of world war three in order to divert U.S. military forces into East Asia and overly burden the West's capacity to deliver war materials around the world. Such a strategic diversion may leave the Middle/Near East (Europe?) vulnerable to being overrun by a Russian "Last Dash to the South" as foreshadowed in Vladimir Zhirinovsky's supposed autobiography. There are strong indications North Korea is going to launch a surprise invasion of the South. In recent years, the North completed military preparations for a war with the South including forward positioning of warplanes and beefing up artillery along the Demilitarized Zone (DMZ). Along with these final preparations, Pyongyang started making reassuring gestures and engaging in peaceful diplomacy with the U.S. and Seoul in order to instill a false sense of security and establish an element of surprise for an eventual attack against the South. While making peaceful overtures with the South, Pyongyang has sought to minimize the perceived North Korean military threat by feigning weakness and internal distress. During the past few years, North Korea has been making unprecedented requests for food assistance from the outside world in response to a famine reportedly caused by floods (the problem is not so much with the available supply as with distribution, suggesting stockpiling in anticipation of war). Likewise, supposedly due to a shortage of oil and food supplies, North Korean military exercises have been reduced. Thus, an image of a weak and distressed North Korea has been projected such that the South dangerously underestimates North Korean military strength just prior to an attack. In order to give a cover for the approaching attack, Pyongyang has increasingly projected signs of internal turmoil and political instability. It took four year for North Korea's "Dear Leader", Kim Jong-Il, to formally assume power in the wake of Kim Il-Sung's July 1994 death. In association with this, there have been rumors and signals from the North that suggest Kim Jong-Il is incapacitated and the North Korean military has taken control of the country. Such a situation creates an ideal cover for launching an invasion. An important thing to keep in mind is that, as I've explained in previous articles, the whole reason Moscow is planning to have North Korea invade South Korea is to create a strategic diversion. A major concern of American commanders during the last Korean war was that the conflict was a precursor to a full-scale war with Russia. The Joint Chiefs of Staff were fairly certain that Moscow was behind North Korea's surprise invasion of South Korea in June of 1950, and, as the war expanded, there was a growing concern that the Soviets were seeking to divert U.S. military resources into the Far East in order to open the way for an offensive against Western Europe. Such a concern may be relevant to a new war in Korea, except that Russia's eventual target this time around is more likely Israel and the Middle East rather than Western Europe. SADDAM'S REVENGE War in the Balkans, a coup in Moscow and strategic diversion on the Korean Peninsula might simply all be part of a general global war scenario that is best described as *Saddam's Revenge*. In recent days, the U.S. has started a massive air campaign against Iraq, the largest since the Gulf War in 1991. In response to continuing Iraqi obstructions of U.N. weapons inspections, Washington ordered an attack geared to eliminate Iraq's ability to manufacture weapons of mass destruction, if not Saddam Hussein as well, once and for all. Given how the new Western military action against Iraq might be perceived as an attempt by Washington to do away with Saddam Hussein, the Iraqi dictator has an excuse to seek a violent revenge against the West for "imperialist" aggression against Iraq. One way or another, this could lead to an unprecedented new crisis in the Middle East that probably will be associated with a bogus right-wing coup in Moscow- particularly one involving Vladimir Zhirinovsky. Saddam Hussein is supposed to be Vladimir Zhirinovsky's close ally. Just prior to the newest crisis concerning Iraq, Zhirinovsky visited his "special friend" in Baghdad and offered his support to get continuing economic sanctions on Iraq lifted. On February 26th of 1995, the fourth anniversary of Kuwait's liberation from Iraqi occupation and the second anniversary of the World Trade Center bombing which has been linked to Iraq, Zhirinovsky met with Saddam and discussed creating "an anti-Western coalition between Russia, the Orthodox and Muslim world". Zhirinovsky told journalists after this meeting: "There is no confrontation between the North: Russia, and the South: the Arab and Muslim world". This meeting likely revealed what is being planned. The connection between Saddam Hussein and Russia's Zhirinovsky, who is supposed to be an anti-semitic extremist, likely means that Baghdad's revenge against the West and world "Zionism" will involve a new Arab/Israeli war. RUSSIA'S "LAST DASH TO THE SOUTH" All in all, by luring the West into conflicts with Russian allies- of-old, Moscow creates a pretext for launching world war three. First off, the stage is set for a bogus right-wing coup in Moscow, possibly involving an untimely demise of Boris Yeltsin from ill-health or death (or so it would be reported). Meanwhile, due to a "nationalist backlash" stemming from Western military action against historical Russian allies like Iraq and the Serbs, a pretext is created for launching world war three. With flashpoints like the Balkans, the Persian Gulf and the Korean Peninsula ignited, the stage will be set for Russia to wage a "Last Dash to the South", the title of Vladimir Zhirinovsky's supposed autobiography. Zhirinovsky's "Last Dash to the South" apparently outlines military/strategic objectives Moscow is hoping to achieve. What is planned is a Russian military campaign to dominate an arc of territory to Russia's south stretching from the Balkans in the west all the way to East Asia. A major goal in this plan likely involves overrunning the Middle/Near East so that Moscow will have almost total control of the world's oil supply. Since the global economy is wholly dependent on oil, Russia will gain control of the world. FALSE PEACE IN THE MIDDLE EAST Given the role of oil, the odds are that the Middle East will prove to be a primary target as Moscow's military campaign gets underway. In fact, Russia may be planning to use an Arab/Israeli conflict as some sort of trigger for global nuclear war. In the epilogue of my 1992 paper, "The Persian Gulf Deception", I outlined how recent developments in the Middle East might be part of Moscow's strategy for global war: "In the context of a grand strategy by the East to deceive the West, the current Arab/Israeli peace talks should be considered a strategic deception. The purpose of such a deception would likely be two-fold: 1.) to set the stage for a 'surprise' Arab/Israeli war, and 2.) to insure world war three is blamed on the West rather than the East." In other words, the recent peace agreements signed by Israel and the P.L.O. as well as Israel and Jordan are likely false. With false peace now in place in the Middle East, the Arabs may provoke Israel and/or the U.S. into triggering war. One possibility I mentioned in my 1992 paper was that: "...war could be set-off in the Middle East in a way that appears to be the West's fault by having Saddam provoke a crisis with the West and then launch a kamikazee attack against Israel. Following an Iraqi chemical (and/or biotoxin) attack against the Jewish state- an action which would revive memories of Hitler's gassing of the Jews- Israeli retaliation will be both assured and severe. Israel's military response could, in turn, be used by the Arabs- particularly Syria- as a pretext for war that, due to the current peace efforts, would effectively be a surprise." The likely goal of any Arab attack against Israel is to provoke "The Samson Option". The Samson Option is Israel's doctrine of nuclear retaliation against the Arabs and their allies, including Russia, in the event that Israel is hopelessly overrun. It is likely that Moscow intends to use such an Israeli nuclear response as an excuse for an all-out nuclear attack against the Western powers. In this way Russia can launch its premeditated nuclear strike against the West and have it appear as "massive retaliation" instead of a first-strike. In other words, Moscow is willing to stomach an initial, small-scale Israeli nuclear attack in order to create a pretext for launching what will effectively be an all-out, preemptive strike against the West. THE TRUTH All in all, the world might be on the verge of virtual self- destruction in the form of a third world war because people have been completely deceived. Mikhail Gorbachev, who I believe is literally the antichrist, has set the stage for the virtual destruction of world. Sometime soon a bogus right-wing coup is likely to occur in Moscow, perhaps in association with Western military action against Iraq and/or the Serbs. Meanwhile, a second Korean war can be ignited as part of a strategic diversion for Russia's "Last Dash to the South": an onslaught against the Middle/Near East and Israel in particularly that may be started by a revenge attack against Western "Zionism" by Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein. All this, in turn, will open the way for an all-out Russian nuclear attack against the West that may wrongly be attributed to an irrational, self-defensive act by a mad, antisemitic Russian dictator such as Vladimir Zhirinovsky. After the dust settles, Gorbachev will undoubtedly reemerge to power in Moscow and claim he is saving the world from destruction by violent extremists like Zhirinovsky. In reality, however, this will be another one of his seductive lies. The truth is that Mikhail Gorbachev is a mad extremist responsible for deceiving and then destroying the world. While he hopes to rule over humanity with an *orthodox* kingdom of god, in reality this antichrist only rules *inhumanity* and is seeking to establish a global dictatorship of man. He can not succeed, however, if humanity finds the courage to accept "The Truth"... See- http://www.ucc.uconn.edu/~jpa94001/j03.html & http://www.ucc.uconn.edu/~jpa94001/reality.htm ---------------------------------------------------------------------- DECLARATION & DISCLAIMER ========== CTRL is a discussion and informational exchange list. Proselyzting propagandic screeds are not allowed. Substance�not soapboxing! These are sordid matters and 'conspiracy theory', with its many half-truths, misdirections and outright frauds is used politically by different groups with major and minor effects spread throughout the spectrum of time and thought. That being said, CTRL gives no endorsement to the validity of posts, and always suggests to readers; be wary of what you read. CTRL gives no credeence to Holocaust denial and nazi's need not apply. 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