-Caveat Lector-

.....the militarization of space is intimately linked with US strategic
nuclear forces, for the previous command covering space, known as Space
Command, has merged with the command responsible for nuclear forces,
Strategic Command. Upon merger, the commander of Strategic Command
stated, "United States Strategic Command provides a single war fighting
combatant command with a global perspective, focused on exploiting the
strong and growing synergy between the domain of space and strategic
capabilities."



http://www.dissidentvoice.org/Articles9/Beljac_Military-Economy.htm

The Political Economy of Hegemony, Survival and Self-Deterrence
by Marko Beljac
Dissident Voice
October 21, 2003



We are currently witnessing a major expansion in the US, hence Western,
global military system. This expansion manifests itself in many ways, for
instance the establishment of new military footholds in Central Asia and
the Middle East, assaults on arms control, the establishment of a
new "norm" of preventative war (or actually we bomb when we feel like it, a
long standing �norm� incidentally) and a dangerous build-up in strategic
nuclear capabilities. I shall focus in this essay on one particular facet
of this global expansion, namely the looming militarization of space, the
forces driving it and the threat to human survival that it poses, as well
as implications for Australia. It would seem that the arms race in the 21st
century will be an arms race in space and it is getting off the ground now.

The philosopher and anti war activist Bertrand Russell wrote, quite
prophetically it turns out, that "when I read of plans to defile the
heavens by the petty squabbles of the animated lumps that disgrace a
certain planet, I cannot but feel that the men who make these plans are
guilty of a kind of impiety."

It should be stressed that these developments ought not be thought of as
occurring in isolation; there is a growing link between strategic planning,
military expansion and the militarization of space. This all comes under
the rubric of "full spectrum dominance" or "escalation dominance" which
represents a natural military analogue to the pursuit of perpetual hegemony.

The impetus behind the militarization of space is Ballistic Missile Defense
(BMD). Planners recognized very quickly after the fall of the Soviet empire
that the main deterrent to US interventionism had shifted from Moscow to
the potential targets of attack themselves, most especially through the
proliferation of ballistic missiles. Coupled with "weapons of mass
destruction" these missiles may pose a credible deterrent to US
interventionism in key regions. It is for this reason that one may detect
a "deadly connection" between US foreign policy and global WMD
proliferation.

As a result strategic planners fear that the US may become "self-deterred";
self-deterrence in the sense that the domestic political costs of
interventionism become too high, it should be added. Self-deterrence is not
on for a state that seeks to uphold its international dominance by the use
of force whenever it takes its fancy. Hence the pursuit of Ballistic
Missile Defense programs which are meant to ensure that the world remains a
safe stage for the employment of offensive military firepower.

Ballistic Missile Defense is also meant to shore up US hegemony in another
important respect. The Bush administration's National Security Strategy of
the United States as well as its Nuclear Posture Review state that US
military dominance, including strategic nuclear dominance, is necessary in
order to "dissuade" any major centre of world power from even thinking
about asserting greater regional and global roles. The ultimate expression
of this would be the attainment of a global first strike nuclear
capability, most especially over China and Russia but also keeping a weary
eye over a possible Euro deterrent. Such a capability would ensure that the
US would not have a comparative advantage in the use of force but an
absolute advantage.

Supercomputer simulations of the likely major attack options of the US
nuclear war plan (Single Integrated Operational Plan or SIOP), the ones
focused on Russia, indicate that after Russian capabilities have been
degraded by about 90% diminishing returns rapidly set in. Hence the
achievement of a first strike capability requires more than just an
offence. A defense is needed in order to deal with any remaining weapons
left after a first strike.

Ballistic Missile Defense, we may surmise, is an important part of
providing a shield or shadow behind which the US may continue to use
military force to uphold the system of world order, a necessary task given
the fact that this system does not enjoy the support of the world's
population.

One of the most important aspects of BMD is that it acts as a Trojan horse
for the militarization of space. The logic on this is quite obvious. Any
space based missile defense system will be highly vulnerable to counter-
measures such as attack satellites. The Bush administrations National
Security Presidential Directive 23 accordingly states, "the Defense
Department plans to employ an evolutionary approach to the development and
deployment of missile defenses to improve our defenses over time. The
United States will not have a final, fixed missile defense architecture.
Rather, we will deploy an initial set of capabilities that will evolve to
meet the changing threat and to take advantage of technological
developments." This is a clear indication that the architecture for the
militarization of space will be built around missile defense, using
the �defense of the defense� as a rationale for placing offensive weapons
in space.

In a report on space written under the leadership of Donald Rumsfeld it is
stated that, "in the coming period the US will conduct operations to, from,
in and through space" which includes "power projection in, from and through
space". Currently power projection "through space" refers to nuclear armed
ICBMs but in future one can envisage the deployment of conventional kinetic
energy weapons as well through space ("conventional counter-force�, a
serious issue, for it will lower the threshold of nuclear war). Power
projection "from space" refers to using the "high ground" of space to
attack targets anywhere on the globe without worrying about nervous allies
and their populations. Power projection "in space" refers to the use of
offensive, stealthy, attack satellites to be used against the space-based
assets of other states, such as early warning satellites.

Why, then, is the militarization of space so dangerous? Firstly, one must
appreciate that in order to attain a global first strike capability, as a
part of �full spectrum� or �escalation� dominance, warfighters must be able
to strike against a set of strategic nuclear targets before the targeted
state is able to launch its missiles upon confirmation of warning. It is
for this reason that the world�s nuclear forces are on hair trigger alert,
ready to be launched upon warning. A key facet in the early warning systems
of Russia and, increasingly, China would be space based early warning
satellites. These satellites are based in specialized orbits in order to
provide real time imagery of US missile launch sites on land and likely
missile launch areas at sea. Now, if Russia or China's early warning system
accidentally indicates that a US attack is underway national command
authorities would have very little time (say 10 minutes in the case of
Russia) to receive a confirmation of w
 arning and fire its retaliatory strike.

A false alarm can be ascertained by the use of early warning satellites. If
the alarm is raised but real time satellite imagery demonstrates to
commanders that there has been no launch catastrophe is thereby avoided.
This is not a hypothetical scenario. This happened in 1995 when the Russian
strategic alarm system indicated that the US was launching a nuclear first
strike. Calamity was averted, by a few minutes at the most, because early
warning satellites would have been able to demonstrate to Russian
commanders that the alarm was a false one. Militarizing space presents the
world with a new ball game, because these early warning satellites will
become targets.

This is most likely because the militarization of space is intimately
linked with US strategic nuclear forces, for the previous command covering
space, known as Space Command, has merged with the command responsible for
nuclear forces, Strategic Command. Upon merger, the commander of Strategic
Command stated, "United States Strategic Command provides a single war
fighting combatant command with a global perspective, focused on exploiting
the strong and growing synergy between the domain of space and strategic
capabilities." The Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff added, "this new
command is going to have all the responsibilities of its predecessors, but
an entirely new mission focus, greatly expanded forces and you might even
say several infinite areas of responsibility." To attack the early warning
satellites of Russia or China is to fire the first shot in a nuclear first
strike, as Moscow and Beijing would be well aware.

Of course, astronauts will not man any offensive space weapons. They will
be controlled remotely from the ground. This represents the addition of a
dangerous impersonal, and critical, link in the whole chain of strategic
nuclear causation. If US attack satellites were to destroy Russia and
China's early warning satellites inadvertently then Moscow and Beijing
would most likely take this as the first shot in a US first strike,
especially if they have little confidence in their ground based radar
systems.

Paul Bracken, an expert on strategic command and control, recognizes that
accidental nuclear war may occur because of random technical failure, "in
the world in which people live, power grids fail, trains derail, bridges
and dams fall down, DC-10 engines fall off, and nuclear power plants come
close to meltdown. These things don't happen often, but they do occur".
Writing in 1988 he goes on, "a 1965 power failure in the American Northeast
was traced to a single inexpensive switch. It was said repeatedly after
1965 that such a cascading power blackout could never occur again, since
the freak accident had been carefully considered in new designs based on
the lessons of 1965. But it did happen again, in 1977, in New York". A
sobering thought.

Hence, the tight coupling between nuclear command and control systems
results in a system "in which a perturbation in one part can, in short
order, be amplified throughout the entire system". If such a "perturbation"
were to occur in space then the margin of comfort provided by early warning
satellites disappears. Recall that the militarization of space is being
driven by BMD. The use of BMD as a tool to enhance global interventionism
and as a possible threat to Moscow and Beijing's deterrents means that it
effectively creates pressures for both vertical (the building of more
warheads by existing nuclear powers in order to overwhelm the system) and
horizontal proliferation amongst the most likely potential targets of the
world's leading rogue state. Remember that NSPD 23 states that BMD
will "evolve" to "meet the changing threat". So, more proliferation
designed to beat the system will result in a more robust BMD apparatus that
will then lead to a more robust weapons in space system to defend the
expanded BMD system.

As such, there exists a "deadly connection" between aggressive US foreign
policy, global nuclear proliferation and the militarization of space that
most probably will lead to a nuclear arms race on Earth and an arms race in
space that would be very intimately connected. The systems of command and
control both on the ground and in space will grow in complexity and so with
it the chances of a "perturbation" that would do us in because of the tight
coupling between strategic command and control systems in a world
characterized by vertical and horizontal proliferation. This would
represent a serious challenge to planners because in this case we are
talking about the need to deal with multiple, overlapping, interactions
between command and control systems; this is more complicated than the two-
way linear interaction between the United States and the Soviet Union
during the cold war, which was dangerous enough.

What about the sources behind BMD and the militarization of space? At first
we are presented with a paradox. The United States is easily able to deal
with the "threat", such as it is, to its commercial space assets and to its
other space assets which are essential for "waging modern war" by simply
accepting moves in the United Nations for a robust arms control regime in
space. Washington has rejected these moves.

This reminds one of some curious events during the cold war. For instance,
the greatest threat to US security was Soviet ICBMs but in the early days
of the arms race, when the US had a huge lead, it could have sought an arms
control regime banning ICBMs, thereby dealing with this threat. Washington
choose to ignore this path, instead the US ICBM force sharply increased, on
the back of a fraudulent "missile gap", which lead to the Soviets embarking
on the same course, increasing US insecurity. The same thing happened again
not long after with the development of MIRV (multiple independently
targetable re-entry vehicles) technology, which basically meant that one
could place several warheads on a single missile each with a different
target within a designated footprint. Again, the US could have sought an
arms control regime banning MIRVs given its lead, but instead decided to
build up its strategic forces prompting over time the Soviets to do the
same. The official, partially, de-classified history of the MIRV project
demonstrates that planners were well aware of this probable consequence of
their actions. As a result of MIRVs vertical proliferation reached
ludicrous proportions and only prompted another fraudulent Reaganite scare
about the "window of vulnerability" which was used to further fuel the arms
race.

We see the same dynamic again; as a result we must conclude that, as during
the cold war, "security" is not the issue. In fact the militarization of
space provides us with good demonstration of this because this is now
occurring more than ten years after the red flag was lowered from the
Kremlin. What lies behind this?

To gain understanding we must dig a little bit deeper, essentially into the
nature of the US political economy. The reason for this should be clear,
for to understand the strategic and foreign policy of any state, the United
States included, one must inquire into the interests and concerns of those
segments within the state that are able to mobilize the resources and power
needed to control the affairs of state. Writing of the system of world
order constructed after World War II, the senior historian of the CIA,
Gerald Heines, stated that the US "assumed out of self-interest,
responsibility for the welfare of the world capitalist system" (words very
similar to NSC 68). Now the term "self-interest" or the "national interest"
refers of course to the special interests that wield state power. The
wielding of state power became a particular concern for the corporation,
the dominant institution in society, after the market failures of the 1890s
and 1930s.

After the Great Depression, and during World War Two, planners realized
that continued economic growth required massive state intervention in the
economy. The purpose of the state is to socialize risk and costs whilst
handing over private profits to the corporations and the ruling classes
that own and operate them. In the US this is achieved by massive military
spending that has little to do with security and defense. It is in this way
that the modern information economy was constructed, for instance the
internet owes its origins in the attempt to "control escalation" during
nuclear war.

Consider the observations of the strategic analyst, Fred Kaplan, who
states "Here are the stark numbers. The original defense budget for fiscal
year 2004 was $400 billion. Bush's supplemental request for Iraq and
Afghanistan, which he announced last Sunday on television, is $87 billion,
for a total of $487 billion. Let's be conservative and deduct the $21
billion of the supplemental that's earmarked for civil reconstruction (even
though the Defense Department is running the reconstruction). That leaves
$466 billion. By comparison, in constant 2004 dollars (adjusted for
inflation), the U.S. defense budget in 1985, the peak of the Cold War and
Ronald Reagan's rearmament, totaled $453 billion. That was $12 billion to
$33 billion less than this year's budget (depending on whether you count
reconstruction). In 1968, at the peak of the Vietnam War, the budget
amounted to $428 billion. That's $38 billion to $59 billion below Bush's
request for this year. You have to go back more than 50 years, when 50,000
Americans were dying in the big muddy of Korea, to find a president
spending more money on the military�and even that year's budget, $497
billion in constant dollars, wasn't a lot more than what Bush is asking
today." Indeed if one counts much of NASA spending as a part of military
spending, then the military budget may exceed NSC 68 levels in constant
dollars. This is why there exists a correlation between US defense spending
and the business cycle. One cannot understand the end of the cold war if
one does not understand this fundamental point, but more especially one
cannot understand the threats to survival that confront us without
appreciating this source of the drive toward militarism.

We can see how this system, what Chomsky refers to as "the Pentagon
system", functions precisely by taking the militarization of space as a
case example. To do so we need only look into the Final Report of the
Commission on the Future of the United States Aerospace Industry. It
states, "The federal government plays a key role in promoting the health of
the U.S. aerospace industry. Maintaining global aerospace leadership to
ensure America�s military preeminence, guarantee homeland security, and
assure economic growth and a superior quality of life for our citizens in
the 21st century requires government activism." It goes on, "The federal
government has called on the aerospace industry in time of crisis in the
past. The aerospace industry has always responded when called. Today, the
U.S. aerospace industry is in jeopardy and is looking to the federal
government to respond."

This is because, "The health of the aerospace industry, today and in the
future, is inextricably linked to the leadership of the federal
government." So, the US aerospace industry "is in jeopardy" and the health
of this industry "is inextricably linked to the leadership of the federal
government". An intriguing nexus, which is certainly worth exploring.

How precisely does the future of the aerospace industry depend upon
Government leadership? Luckily for us, the commission is rather helpful on
this score. It states, "the direct link between the U.S. government and the
nation�s aerospace industry is the federal procurement system through which
federal agencies purchase air, missiles and space systems and their related
infrastructure from the private sector companies that comprise the
aerospace industry." Therefore, the US aerospace industry relies upon the
Pentagon system for its health and vigour. Now the commission goes further,
stating that, "between FY 1993 and FY 2001, federal procurement spending
dropped 35 percent on air systems, 50 percent on missile systems, and 46
percent on space systems in absolute dollars. At the same time that the
U.S. government was buying fewer and fewer aerospace systems, federal
departments and agencies were also investing fewer dollars in R&D efforts
of private industry to advance and impro
 ve existing aerospace systems."

Furthermore, the problem faced by the aerospace industry is compounded by
class war for the commission informs us that, "the U.S. Air Force, NASA and
FAA are the three lead agencies for aerospace. Figure 5-6 shows that during
the same years in which federal support to the aerospace industry was
declining, U.S. Air Force, NASA and FAA spending on their own internal
workforces (i.e., personnel) increased by 25 percent in absolute dollars
even though overall federal support to the industry was declining. This
suggests, that in the past decade, the operating costs of those three
organizations began to 'encroach upon' activities in other areas (i.e.,
procurement and R&D)."

Thus to restore health to the US aerospace industry, that is to say to
increase profitability, more "procurement" is needed. Enter Ballistic
Missile Defense and the militarization of space. The Noble Prize winning
physicist Steven Weinberg, in the New York Review of Books, writes
that, "there is no question about the enormous cost of missile defense. We
are currently spending about nine billion dollars a year just for research
and development, and a deployed system covering the entire United States
would surely cost several hundred billion dollars, all to ineffectively
counter a highly implausible threat." Indeed, it is almost daily that one
reads about the successful winning of Government contracts for missile
defense by key Pentagon system corporations which is occurring alongside a
system of mergers and acquisitions as aerospace corporations maneuver
themselves for the great boon of the century. It is precisely with BMD and
the militarization of space that the Pentagon system's procurement problem
will be solved.

Of course, we have recognized that all this leads to greater
insecurity, "security" is simply not an issue. Indeed consider the words of
Weinberg again; "Even those for whom national defense is the one clearly
legitimate reason for government spending ought to consider whether the
enormous sums required for missile defense would not be better spent on
defense of other sorts. There are many ways to attack the United States
with nuclear or biological weapons that, unlike ballistic missiles, do not
immediately reveal the source of the attack. Over the past year or so I
have served on two panels of the Council on Foreign Relations, the Hart-
Rudman Independent Task Force on Homeland Security Imperatives and the
Rudman Independent Task Force on Emergency Responders. It has been painful
to learn how much the lack of funds has limited our ability to defend the
country from terrorists. For instance, the cost of adequate physical
security at our commercial seaports would be about $2 bi
 llion, but only $92.3 million in federal grants has been authorized and
approved. The US may be spending one third of what is required to
adequately provide for those who would have to respond to emergencies.
American cities have fewer policemen and firemen now than they did before
September 11, 2001. Last October the Hart-Rudman panel concluded that �a
year after September 11, 2001, America remains dangerously unprepared to
prevent and respond to a catastrophic attack on US soil.� This remains
true�.

So, this whole charade will not only greatly increase insecurity, in fact
poses a threat to human survival as discussed, but also totally ignores the
other real threats to US security. But that is beside the point. The issue
here is to create short-term profits, focusing on such matters as long term
survival is simply irrational as far the Pentagon system and the system of
state-corporate mercantilism is concerned. Of course there are other issues
involved that lie behind the militarization of space. These surround the
problems of US hegemony, the �Grand Area� and Eurasia for which "full
spectrum" or "escalation" dominance is the perceived remedy. To delve into
this interesting issue requires an essay in itself.

I would like to conclude with one of these issues however, namely by re-
visiting "self-deterrence". "Full spectrum" or "escalation" dominance is
considered to be an important remedy for this problem, but there are also
others such as propaganda. Consider for instance the words of General
Wesley Clark, who in Waging Modern War states of the invasion of South
Vietnam that, "in military terms compellence seemed to translate into a
certain implicit or explicit bargaining through the graduated use of force,
inflicting ever increasing punishment to convince an opponent to change his
behavior. It was to be applicable against the smaller non nuclear states".
Clark continues, "many of us in the United States and the Armed Forces had
seen early on the fallacies of gradualism. It was clear that the US effort
to halt North Vietnamese support of the fighting in South Vietnam
by 'signaling' US resolve through carefully constrained, politically
designed bombing, which avoided decisive milit
 ary impact, had been a failure".

For Clark this lead to a number of conclusions. "I realized, the force
applied must be much greater than we had been willing to commit at the
time, must be intensified more rapidly, and must be directed at achieving
significant military ends". However, Clark does not end there. This
attitude towards the use of military force has a problem, as Clark
notes. "But apparently this was quite difficult, as I reflected on such
operations, because modern democracies, the political leaders were usually
too hesitant, imposing tough constraints on military actions, and military
leaders were not bold enough in pushing for the real military muscle
required to achieve significant military objectives. The results, I
thought, were extended campaigns that could leave democratic governments
vulnerable to the their own public opinion...once fighting had begun, you
had to escalate rapidly and achieve �escalation dominance� over an
adversary, if you were to succeed".

The authors of the strategy of "shock and awe", the military doctrine of
the neo-conservatives as well as Wesley Clark, refer this to as "rapid
dominance". They see the same problem and the same solution. So in the key
text on "rapid dominance" we see that "in assessing the future utility and
applicability of Rapid Dominance, it is crucial to consider the political
context in which force is likely to be employed. As we enter the next
century, the probability is low that an overriding, massive, direct threat
posed by a peer-competitor to the U.S. will emerge in the near term.
Without compelling reasons, public tolerance toward American sacrifice
abroad will remain low and may even decrease. This reluctance on the part
of Americans to tolerate pain is directly correlated to perceptions of
threat to U.S. interests. Without a clear and present danger, the
definition of national interest may remain narrow."

In the strategic literature this is referred to as "self-deterrence"; the
population, which might get silly ideas about not wanting to wage war for
the benefit of state and corporate managers. The people may end up calling
off the show if they begin to perceive the risks that US strategic policy
makers take in order to secure their own interests and the interests of the
privileged sectors of society that they serve. For instance consider the
key threat posed by nuclear proliferation to US security, according to the
critical Gilpatric report on the topic delivered to President Johnson (this
is the key founding planning document on the issue), the report stated, �as
additional nations obtained nuclear weapons, our diplomatic and military
influence would wane, and strong pressures would arise to retreat to
isolation to avoid the risk of involvement in nuclear war�. This is quite
similar to the so-called "war against terrorism" in that the terrorist
threat to the homeland, placing the north under threat from the south for
the first time in the bloody period of European conquest, is meant to
assure the population that all is well and business can proceed as per
usual. "The war against terrorism" also has the effect of keeping the
masses in their proper places, that is to say, in hibernation. However, the
population has become aroused and propaganda, such as the Iraqi threat, is
increasingly becoming more transparent. It is at this point that propaganda
may begin to lose its effects, leading to an overt reliance upon fear.

So, given that "without compelling reasons, public tolerance toward
American sacrifice abroad will remain low and may even decrease" we see the
problem of self-deterrence in its most stark form; the domestic population
cannot be allowed to be aroused by the threat of calamity, leading to a re-
writing of policy, i.e. calling of the game of hegemony, preponderance
or "unipolarity" and its underlying sources in the political economy. The
strategic analyst, Andrew Butfoy, writes �there is an underlying
contradiction in the current situation. US nuclear doctrine is said to have
functional utility for world order, but it also seems to have a deleterious
impact on the legitimacy of the non-proliferation regime�. How do planners
makers seek to deal with this contradiction between short-term gains and
long-term effects?

Without seeking to change course, because it so profitable for narrow
sectors, the obvious solution is clear, namely obtain "full spectrum"
dominance thus reassuring the population that all is well, keeping this
dangerous beast, hopefully, asleep. This continues to the present day for
the Bush administration's Nuclear Posture Review states, �nuclear
capabilities also assure the US public that the United States will not be
subject to coercion based on a false perception of U.S. weakness among
potential adversaries.� As far as the ruling class is concerned the
greatest threat we face is not nuclear war, it is popular democracy.

There are important lessons here for Australia as well. Firstly the so
called "joint facilities" such as Pine Gap most likely will be key parts of
the entire BMD system if Australia seeks to support this US program, as the
Howard Government has indicated it shall. This is a part of Australia's
flagrant and quite disgraceful support for US strategic and foreign policy,
which causes great suffering to others and ultimately poses a threat to
survival, purely for short-term profit. For instance the strategic analyst,
Rod Huisken, cited by The Sydney Morning Herald, has stated, "Australia has
not, to my knowledge, raised a single reservation about the transformations
that have occurred in US thinking and declarations in written posture on
nuclear weapons." US intelligence agencies have recognized that BMD will
lead to an Asian "chain reaction" of vertical and horizontal proliferation.

This poses obvious security risks for a country such as Australia, which is
a lonely outpost of Empire. However there may be more important matters for
the Government to consider. So, Gary Brown and Gary Klintworth in an
important Foreign Affairs, Defense and Trade Group Research Paper observe
despite the threats of Northeast and South Asian proliferation Australian
participation in BMD might be worth the candle for they conclude, "at the
same time however, Australia should not rush to judgment and overlook its
alliance obligations and the potential benefits of a system that, in the
absence of a better alternative, might help preserve America's global
economic and political dominance and its self-confidence as the world's
leading democratic power". The Australian political economy has always
relied upon the umbrella of power provided by "distant and powerful
friends". It is for this reason that one observes the much discussed
difference between the fortunes of Argentina and Australia. Argentina, as a
part of the "Latin American mode", has been a victim of Empire whereas
Australia has been a beneficiary of Empire. However BMD and the threats to
Australian security it poses are real demonstrating that for Canberra as
well there is a conflict between short-term profits and long-term effects.
The almost simultaneous visits of George W Bush and Hu Jintao are good
symbols of this tension. Some have even speculated that Australia may go
nuclear itself in the future, which would only further increase Australian
insecurity. This would be rather a pity given that the objective security
threats Australia faces now does not warrant such an absurd arms spiral.

If we are to be concerned with the predictable consequences of our own
actions, as surely we must be if we seek to be moral agents, then
Australia's response to these moves should be clear. Australia should not
participate and should join in with the rest of the international community
calling for the world's leading rogue state to abide by an arms control
regime for space. To the extent that Australia does not, then we may
conclude that Australia is also a rogue state rather than the "good
international citizen" that Canberra types would have us believe it is.

We may also state that US self-deterrence goes deeper as well. If, as a
result of "full spectrum" or "escalation" dominance the world's leading
rogue state is undeterrable then only one deterrent to hegemony can
possible exist, namely "self-deterrence". Consider for instance the
writings of the "realist" International Relations scholar William Wohlforth
who states, �the main criticism of the Pax Americana, however, is not that
Washington is too interventionist. A state cannot be blamed for responding
to systemic incentives. The problem is U.S. reluctance to pay up.
Constrained by a domestic welfare role and consumer culture that the weaker
British hegemon never faced, Washington tends to shrink from accepting the
financial, military, and especially the domestic political burdens of sole
pole status�. Of course this comment has an air of mindlessness, according
to the mythology �realist� thinkers represent the rational end of the
International Relations spectrum. So a consistent �realist� will see that
Nazi Germany�s drive for �unipolarity� was no doubt a �systemic incentive�
in which case Hitler �cannot be blamed for responding to systemic
incentives�. The Nuremberg trials should have acquitted senior Nazi leaders
of the crime of aggression, we may surmise. The author goes on, �if the
analysis here is right, then the live-for-today nature of U.S. domestic
institutions may be the chief threat to unipolar stability�.

Precisely. The greatest threat to hegemony is greater democracy; because
democracy is a defective system for when the people construct policy as
actual participants they will be concerned with, say, "a domestic welfare
role". This leads to the odd notion that public concern should be directed
at such measures as health, education and social security, not to providing
a boon for high tech industry through the militarization of space and "full
spectrum dominance" which serves to increase the threats to survival and
whose only use is to line up the pockets of the rich at public expense.
Essentially we are seeing massive transfer payments, basically a form of
taxation, from the population right into the hands of corporate and state
managers under the pretext of "security". "Mutual obligation" surely
dictates that this dangerous form of welfare must be ended. This all of
course requires massive propaganda and fraud such as "missile gaps" and the
like. The "manufacture of consent", including the academic study
called �International Relations theory� and �strategic studies�, is a key
component of the system.

Self-deterrence, so understood, interestingly is perhaps one of the least
analyzed aspects of strategic planning even by the peace movement. This is
of very serious concern because planners in Washington fear "self-
deterrence" for they recognize that this is the greatest threat posed not
only to the system of world order constructed for the benefit of corporate
and state managers but to the whole system of political economy that has a
nexus between the state and the corporation right at its core.



Marko Beljac is a PhD student at Monash University in Melbourne, Australia.
He can be reached at: [EMAIL PROTECTED]

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