-Caveat Lector-

December 13, 1999--NYTimes


        Panamanians Have Mixed Feelings
        About Canal Transfer

        By DAVID GONZALEZ

           PANAMA CITY, Panama -- With the zest of salesmen
           and the zeal of patriots, Panamanian officials tout
        ambitious plans to convert sprawling acres of formerly
        off-limits properties along their famous canal into bustling
        commercial hubs and tropical tourist oases.

        Smooth and practiced, they vow to create more jobs than
        the U.S. military presence here ever did, eagerly projecting
        millions of dollars in revenue to benefit social programs in
        health, education and housing.

        But for a nation about to receive what amounts to a $5
        billion bonanza, there have been few outward signs of
        celebration leading up to what on Tuesday will be the
        symbolic transfer of the canal and the thousands of
        buildings, airstrips and military installations along the
        waterway's 50-mile route from U.S. to Panamanian hands.

        Banners and billboards proclaiming the fulfillment of the
        1977 treaty signed between President Jimmy Carter and
        Gen. Omar Torrijos to hand over the canal are noticeably
        lonely sights, reflecting Panamanian ambivalence and
        skittishness over the loss of U.S. jobs and money, and
        skepticism about their own government's ability. It is
        Panama's singular version of the Y2K glitch: how to deal
        with a day that people once thought would never come.

        "It's 'Gringo, stay home,"' said Guillermo Sanchez
        Borbon, a Panamanian writer who was exiled under the
        regime of Gen. Manuel Antonio Noriega. "The
        Panamanians don't trust the politicians to keep this thing
        going. Now the gringos are going, and if anything goes
        wrong, we have to fix it. And people are terrified. They
        don't trust the Panamanian government. They don't trust
        themselves."

        The occasion is without question a landmark in Panama's
        path toward transforming itself from a nation both nurtured
        and overshadowed by the United States into a fully
        sovereign state intent on proving to both its people and the
        world that it can succeed on its own.

        And government officials here speak with confidence and
        the coming-of-age emotion of a son leaving his father's
        house -- an image that incidentally was also used when
        Panama declared its independence from Colombia in 1903.

        But they know that full control of the canal and its
        properties brings with it enormous challenges and
        responsibilities for a country where corruption and partisan
        feuds have marked much of its political history.

        While most of the properties, except for the canal itself,
        have already been handed over and real control over the
        canal will not come until noon on Dec. 31, Panama will
        soon have to develop its own national security plans and
        foreign policy to protect its borders and the canal.

        And although the canal is already operated by an almost
        entirely Panamanian staff and will be overseen by an
        agency insulated from government meddling, officials must
        still seek to reassure the canal's users from all over the
        world that the operations of one of the world's most
        crucial passageways will remain safe and above board.

        More mundane, but equally important, they will also have
        to start attracting tourists to a place that most travelers had
        merely passed through, and where those who stopped did
        so mainly for business or banking.

        Ambivalence over the hand-over has also been reflected in
        the United States, where conservatives have lambasted the
        "loss" of the canal and raised alarms about Panamanian
        ventures with Chinese firms. Fears of a backlash may have
        prevented President Clinton and Secretary of State
        Madeleine Albright from attending Tuesday's events, but
        they have still expressed confidence in Panama's ability to
        manage the enormous trust it is inheriting.

        "Panama truly steps into a class of countries that have
        international responsibilities, because the canal is an
        international asset," said U.S. Ambassador Simon Ferro.
        "How they manage the canal will in large measure dictate
        how they are viewed by the rest of the world. It is going to
        be a very interesting future for Panama and the United
        States."

        Canal administrators said they had been preparing for
        years to make the transition as seamless as possible for the
        14,000 ships that pass through the canal's locks on their
        route over the continental divide.

        Most of the employees who run the canal have been
        retained. They have begun to modernize the fleet of
        locomotives and tugboats that guide ships through the
        passage, and to replace ancient electric motors with
        hydraulic systems to open the gates. They are also
        completing a widening project that will allow bigger vessels
        to pass and will lead to a 20 percent increase in traffic.

        Sensitive to fears of corruption, patronage or reliance on
        the canal to cover government spending, the agency will
        have its own labor laws, procurement procedures and
        fiscal controls to safeguard its financial independence.
        Annual payments to the Panamanian government will be
        held for a year, to ensure that enough resources are
        available to maintain and operate the canal.

        "The pinata attitude is not there," said Roberto Eisenmann,
        an adviser to President Mireya Moscoso. "This is not just
        a government entity that politicians can fight over to see
        who can get the spoils. It is a business. It depends on the
        confidence of its customers. A lot of other countries have
        a stake in what happens here."

        Alberto Aleman Zubieta, the deputy administrator of the
        Panama Canal Commission, said the measures were also
        vital if Panama was going to make the best use of the canal
        and its properties.

        "Obviously, our society has to understand as we do the
        tremendous importance of what we are doing here and use
        this route to make Panama what I think it will be," said
        Aleman Zubieta, who will head the Panama Canal
        Authority. "It is our destiny to become the major and most
        important hub for transshipment of containerized cargo in
        all of Latin America."

        If it is to achieve that goal, however, Panama must first
        deal with its recent past. Colombian guerrillas have made
        repeated incursions into the dense jungle to the south and
        drug lords have settled into comfortable surroundings in
        the capital, where gleaming towers are home to
        condominiums and banks.

        There are also worries about the canal being unprotected
        by U.S. troops, admittedly more of a psychological
        deterrent in recent years because of their decreasing
        numbers as bases closed.

        Panamanian officials said they had adopted U.S.-style
        security plans for the canal, although they had yet to reach
        an agreement with the United States on sharing information
        about ship traffic. They have also drawn up a national
        security plan that is aimed at balancing all their concerns.

        "We have lived 20 years with border problems," said
        Winston Spadafora, the minister of government and
        justice. "But how long could Panama live without the
        canal? So we have prioritized the security of the canal and
        will then gradually develop the other areas of security."

        Questions about security have been raised by critics of
        Panama's decision to award two port concessions to
        Hutchison Whampoa, a Hong Kong company that also
        runs the largest container port in England. The move was
        met with alarm by conservatives who claim the company
        will be a puppet of the Chinese army and could block U.S.
        ships from entering the canal.

        But Panamanian officials and their U.S. supporters dismiss
        the claims, noting that the ports have no control over entry
        into the canal and that the transfer treaty allows for U.S.
        intervention if the canal's neutrality is threatened.

        "The anti-Chinese sentiment is based on a simple and
        profound motive," said Robert Pastor, a political scientist
        at Emory University. "At the simplest level, there are
        people who have not been informed that the Cold War is
        over and we won it. China is a very large country and
        extraordinarily poor. It is simply not in our league."

        Running the canal may prove easier than the gargantuan
        task of converting drab and utilitarian military bases into
        attractive money-making ventures. Already hundreds of
        homes have been sold at prices that are often lower than
        residences elsewhere in the city.

        Still, the transformation is evident, and sometimes jarring,
        in an area that for several generations was the exclusive
        domain of the Americans who ran the canal and the bases.
        Construction crews are busy adding new windows, doors
        and rooms in what used to be the homes of high-ranking
        officers, while couples are moving into low-slung
        cinder-block duplexes, and Panamanian flags flutter on
        lawns.

        "This was our land but it was used by other people," said
        Francisco de Leon, a physician who moved his family into
        a three-bedroom house in Curundu. "All the history of
        Panama with the United States is here. Now we have a
        piece of that history, too."

        The real money and challenge, however, lies in the
        development of the largest facilities, especially the former
        Howard Air Force base, where several companies have
        already expressed interest in converting the base into a
        regional transportation hub or aircraft maintenance facility.

        Elsewhere, the government has been soliciting proposals
        and bids for projects like manufacturing sites, ports and
        eco-lodges, some of which have already been built.

        The former airstrip at Albrook Field, for instance, has been
        turned into a civil aviation facility, and a cavernous
        shopping center is rising next to it. Officials also talk of
        using the land around the canal to stimulate the creation of
        maritime and environmental businesses and institutes like
        the City of Knowledge, a research park planned for Fort
        Clayton.

        "This is where we hope to bring the Intels of the world,"
        said Nicolas Ardito Barletta, who was president of Panama
        in the mid-1980s and is currently the regional authority's
        general administrator. "We know it is an ambitious project.
        It will take 20 years to develop, but it has begun."

        But ambition may also be a handicap. Ricardo Arias
        Calderon, who was vice president of Panama in the early
        1990s, said the nation had been given too much to soon,
        making it difficult to hold on to the properties until a
        potential investor could afford to buy into the grandest and
        most expensive projects. He thinks the regional authority
        has pinned its hopes onto too many big and uncertain
        projects.

        "It's like you are being sent a Chinese banquet with all the
        plates at once," he said. "There is pressure to carry things
        out rapidly. To do that, we have to be less sanguine about
        what we can get in money for what is developed."

        Big plans were far from Orlando Cordoba's mind a few
        days ago, as he took a break from his bus-driving job and
        sat under a tree near Balboa High School. A few feet away,
        dozens of tiny Panamanian flags had been planted on the
        grass, in memory of protests for the right to fly the national
        colors along with the Stars and Stripes in the areas ringing
        the canal.

        The protests climaxed in January 1964, when several
        Panamanian students were killed during a confrontation
        with police protecting the Americans at the high school.

        "That was a long time ago," said Cordoba, who was born
        that same year. On the verge of seeing his country attain
        the goal that cost the lives of those students, he was left
        wondering about the price of nationalism. Christmas was
        not looking good. The millennium remained uncertain.

        "I do not understand," he said. "Panama will be cleaned
        out, without money or anything. That was all the gringos
        produced. You know how many people worked in there?
        When they go, what's left?"


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       Shalom, A Salaam Aleikum, and to all, A Good Day.
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