-Caveat Lector-   <A HREF="http://www.ctrl.org/">
</A> -Cui Bono?-

This report provides an ultimate reason for conscious human evolution and
integration with the rest of the intelligent Earth-Universe ecology.  Alfred

=====
                  Grim Fate Awaits Earth Far in Future

                  By Paul Recer
                  AP Science Writer
                  Sunday, Feb. 20, 2000; 12:05 p.m. EST

                  WASHINGTON �� The Earth is destined to dry up, burn up or
freeze,
                  scientists studying the planet's ultimate fate say.

                  Don't worry about making final plans just yet: These
catastrophic
                  scenarios are at least 500 million years into the future.

                  In the very, very long term, the Earth's future is grim,
experts who spoke
                  at the national meeting of the American Association for the
Advancement
                  of Science believe.

                  Earth's fate depends on the sun, which, like any other
star, will not last
                  forever, said James F. Kasting, professor of geosciences at
Pennsylvania
                  State University.

                  Kasting said the sun gradually is getting brighter and
hotter. Eventually it
                  will raise the Earth's temperature, and that's when the
troubles begin.

                  "Bad things start to happen when the average temperature
reaches 140
                  degrees Fahrenheit," said Kasting. "That's when the Earth
will start losing
                  its water."

                  At that temperature, the Earth's atmosphere becomes 10
percent to 20
                  percent water, he said, and water vapor rises into the
stratosphere and
                  breaks down chemically into oxygen and hydrogen. The
hydrogen
                  escapes to space, and the water is lost.

                  Kasting said astronomers long have known this would happen,
perhaps in
                  about 5 billion years. But the researcher said new computer
studies
                  suggest it could occur much earlier.

                  "The most pessimistic calculation is that the oceans will
disappear in about
                  1.2 billion years," he said, and Earth will become a
waterless desert.

                  But Kasting said a new model suggests Earth could get into
trouble even
                  sooner.

                  Warm temperatures, he said, will cause the oceans to absorb
carbon
                  dioxide, thus removing from the atmosphere a gas essential
for plant life.
                  In about 500 million years, Kasting said, the atmosphere
will be so short
                  of carbon dioxide that all plants will die, followed
eventually by all life that
                  depends on plants.

                  "If we calculated correctly, Earth has been habitable for
4.5 billion years
                  and only has a half billion years left," he said.

                  A second researcher, University of Michigan physics
professor Fred
                  Adams, predicts the Earth eventually will either freeze or
fry.

                  Adams said the sun, like stars of its type, will exhaust
its fuel and balloon
                  outward with a torrid sphere of gas, turning Mercury,
Venus, Earth and
                  Mars into burned out cinders � if the planets survive at
all.

                  There probably will not be anyone around to see that
happen, however,
                  because Adams thinks that in 3.5 billion years the sun will
be hot enough
                  to sear the Earth and wipe out all life forms.

                  Adams said there is a long shot the Earth could escape this
superheated
                  fate. He said new calculations show that the orbit of
Jupiter, the solar
                  system's biggest planet, could be disrupted by the gravity
of a passing star.
                  This, in turn, could jar the Earth from its orbit, possibly
sending it into
                  deep space.

                  "Then the Earth wouldn't fry," Adams said. "It would
freeze."

                  Some life, such as bacteria that live near thermal vents
warmed by
                  radioactive heat from within the planet, might survive for
billions of years in
                  the Earth's frigid spin through a sunless space.

                  But Adams notes that the fate that awaits the sun, will
visit all stars.
                  Eventually, all matter that can be converted to energy will
have been
                  exhausted.

                  What will be left is a cold, utterly dark universe,
containing only electrons,
                  positrons and neutrinos, Adams said.

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