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US Politics


Don't Count Out a Third Clinton Term



by Mark Steyn

Three items culled from the National Briefs -- that's not Bill Clinton's
underwear, but the column of small, insignificant news stories you can find
on page 37 or thereabouts of most major papers. Cumulatively, though, they
tend to hover at least in the general vicinity of the President's
distinguishing characteristics:

1. Federal Judge Royce Lamberth has ruled that Mr. Clinton violated the
Privacy Act by releasing personal letters from Kathleen Willey after she
alleged that he'd grabbed her breasts and thrust her hand down his pants and
on to the old Executive Branch.

2. An investigation has been called for into the disappearance of White House
e-mails relating to illegal Clinton-Gore fundraising.

3. Robert Ray, Ken Starr's successor as independent counsel, is threatening
to indict the President after he leaves office.

Mr. Clinton's position couldn't be clearer: "The rule of law's got to be
upheld," he said last week. "If we don't do it here, where will we stop?"
Unfortunately, that's his position on Elian Gonzalez. As to the matter of
just where the rule of law stops, the answer would seem to be the White House
gates. In theory, having been caught in a massive cover-up and found guilty
of breaking the law to trash a penniless widow and being the first president
to face the prospect of being led away from your successor's inauguration by
Federal marshals ought to be bad news for your party. But, au contraire,
Democrats are delighted. Those incriminating e-mails? "I hope they spend a
lot of time and energy on them," says a gleeful Al Gore. Mr. Clinton and his
women? Hey, the only Presidential woman who counts is Hillary and she's nine
points up on Giuliani in New York. Robert Ray's new investigation? "52
million isn't enough?" scoffs James Carville. "They want to spend another $50
million?"

In fact, the IRS tax take from the various Monica books, Monica T-shirts,
Monica advertising revenue on cable news stations, etc. more than covers the
cost of the investigation: In an admirable example of public/private
partnership, the market's obsession with the president's sex life has been a
windfall for the U.S. Treasury. Indeed, given the collapsing Nasdaq and Dow,
it seems clear that there's only one surefire way to prevent the world's
biggest economy rusting up: It's time for Mr. Clinton to start hitting on
broads again. Alas, most of the citizenry are not trained economists, and the
general feeling is that the investigations of Messrs. Starr and Ray have been
a "waste" of money.

As for Mr. Clinton, things are going so swimmingly he's downsized his lawyers
and beefed up his gag writers. Last week, for example, he chided ABC over the
network's inconsistent explanations of his interview with Leonardo DiCaprio.
"Don't you news people ever learn?" chuckled Mr. Clinton. "It isn't the
mistake that kills you, it's the cover-up." It never occurred to poor old
Nixon, who laboured two decades to rehabilitate himself, that all he needed
to do was impeachment shtick.

But you gotta laugh. The more Hydra-headed scandals Clinton-Gore pile up, the
worse news it is for Republicans. The more laws the White House breaks, the
more the public takes it out on the GOP. During the primaries, Republican
candidates mercilessly mocked Al Gore for never mentioning Bill Clinton's
name. But, aside from mentioning that Al never mentioned Bill, Republicans
never mentioned him either. And, although the Bush team has been promising to
hang every White House scandal on Gore and make this election a referendum on
Clinton sleaze, I suspect they're just going through the motions. Democratic
strategist Bob Beckel likes to tell the story of the little boy who prayed to
God to make him into a stud. He woke up as a 2x4 in a condominium in New
Mexico. "Moral: Be careful what you wish for," says Bob.

I'd assumed this was some sort of coded advice to Al Gore: You think you're
making yourself more sexy, but it turns out you're just making yourself more
wooden. But apparently it was a warning to the GOP: Try to nail Clinton on
his scandals and, like that 2x4, you'll wind up propping up the marbled
atrium of the William Jefferson Clinton Presidential Library.

Bob may be right. So-called "Clinton fatigue" is the bus that never shows up.
The public's repudiation of President Sleazeball was supposed to arrive in
the 1998 Congressional elections -- "a shot that will be heard around the
world," as William F. Buckley predicted. Instead, the GOP blew its foot off:
Republicans lost seats. Attempting to make the best of things, some of us
figured that voters were reluctant to admit they'd been wrong about Bill
Clinton, but that come 2000, quietly and without fuss, they'd repudiate his
vice-president: After eight years, America would be ready to take a shower,
said commentator George F. Will. But it's mighty lonely down at the communal
bathhouse. Far from repudiating the Clinton era, it's not inconceivable that
November will be a massive vindication of it: If Dubya wins, if the
Republicans hold the House, if Giuliani is the next Senator from New York,
the Clinton era will be deemed to be over and he'll be spending his remaining
days selling his successor on the benefits of ending America's long national
nightmare with a presidential pardon. But, if next January he's walking out
of the White House kibbitzing with his buddy Al, if he's congratulating the
Democrats on taking back the people's chamber, if he's dancing with the
radiant Senator Rodham at the inaugural ball, and -- as a bonus -- if at
least one of the Republican impeachment prosecutors (California Congressman
Jim Rogan) is turfed out -- the President will have won his biggest victory
of all: the Clinton third term. And, if he pulls that off, the biographical
entry will bury impeachment halfway down the third page as a regrettable
social faux pas committed by out-of-touch sex-obsessed Republicans.

Or as New Hampshire Senator Bob Smith put it after the impeachment trial,
"He's won. He always wins. Let's move on." Senator Smith's right: He always
wins. It's moving on that's proving problematic.
The National Post, April 17, 2000
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