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Growing disaffection with Blair government in Britain
By Julie Hyland
5 July 2000
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British Prime Minister Tony Blair is coming under attack, even from those he
once numbered amongst his closest friends. On Sunday, millionaire author and
Labour Party backer Ken Follett wrote a savage attack on Blair in the Observer
newspaper. Follett and his wife Barbara, a Labour MP, are credited with aiding
the Labour Party's transformation into the preferred party of big business.

In his article Follett said that Blair would be remembered as the prime
minister who had made �malicious gossip an everyday tool of modern British
government�. The prime minister functions as a lawyer, and is incapable of
making a decision that is not based on expediency, Follett continued. �He seems
not to possess the inner core of strong convictions that would enable him to
make a confident choice in a morally complex issue.� He called Blair's press
advisers �the rent boys of politics� for their spreading of black propaganda
about those ministers they want sidelined for one or another reason. This is
now so commonplace that it is �no wonder the public is becoming sceptical about
the Government as a whole,� Follett writes.

This fallout is symptomatic of more fundamental problems facing the government.
There is growing concern in Labour's highest echelons that Blair is too
mesmerised by his own publicity machine to see that his government is in deep
trouble.

Labour's electoral support in its traditional heartlands is collapsing.
According to an opinion poll conducted by MORI for the Times newspaper last
week, the majority of respondents believe that Britain is as class-ridden as
ever. More revealing, a quarter of all those interviewed said that the class
divide had widened under Labour, rising to a third of working class people
questioned.

The poll also revealed that Prime Minister Tony Blair's personal rating is now
at its lowest point in his six years as leader of the Labour Party, whilst more
than three-fifths of the public are dissatisfied with Labour's performance in
government.

In May, former Labour MP Ken Livingstone won election as London's new mayor on
an independent platform, despite personal appeals by Blair that voters should
reject his candidacy. Last month, Blair was booed and jeered by the normally
sedate audience at the annual Women's Institute conference, for a speech that
had been aimed at consolidating Labour's flagging political support in �middle
England�.

A series of recent by-elections has seen the Labour vote fall drastically in
urban working class neighbourhoods such as Leeds and Tottenham. Only a few
months ago, the Blair government had felt confident that its huge 179-seat
parliamentary majority, and the continued isolation of the Conservative
opposition, would comfortably ensure it at least two parliamentary terms in
office. Now there are real fears in government circles that it could lose the
next general election, expected next year.

These concerns are not prompted by any increase in support for the official
opposition parties. The Times MORI poll revealed that neither the Conservative
Party nor the Liberal Democrats have benefited from Labour's declining
fortunes. Political commentators generally agree that the only thing Blair has
going for him is that he is not Conservative leader William Hague or Liberal
Democrat head Charles Kennedy.

Labour has reacted to these indices of growing disaffection with panic. Blair
has ordered that more care be taken in spelling out government policy and his
leading public relations advisers have been taken off day-to-day affairs to
work out a "long-term strategy" to rebuild Labour's electoral base.

But no amount of carefully "spun" press coverage can hide from working people
the reality of their daily lives�layoffs, health and welfare programmes gutted,
rising prices and job insecurity. Even the government-friendly Family Policy
Studies Centre has reported that under Labour "the gap between rich and poor
has not narrowed", and was forced to criticise Labour's policies on welfare
reform for trapping many in poverty. Similarly, the United Nations Children's
Fund, UNICEF, reported that it had ranked the UK twentieth out of 23 countries
in its index of relative poverty�classed as families with an income less than
half the national average. Only Russia and the US in the industrialised world
have higher rates of child poverty, UNICEF stated. It also pointed out that the
"current government had not narrowed the gap between rich and poor," and warned
that "cuts in lone parent benefit and other changes will mean that one in six
children in the poorest tenth of the population will see their household
incomes fall."

When Blair took office in 1997, he claimed that his New Labour Party would
create a new type of British politics�the so-called "third way". Its remit was
never specifically spelt out, nor could it be. For whilst Blair used the slogan
to try and put some distance between his government and previous Conservative
administrations, its real purpose was to make clear to big business that Labour
had abandoned its old reformist programme and any connection with the working
class. Labour would continue to deepen the offensive against social services,
welfare provisions and wages begun by its predecessors, Blair pledged.

Political commentators were greatly enthused by this approach. They hailed
Blair as a "genius," because his "third way" apparently had something in it for
everyone. He had shown that big business policies could be reconciled with
social justice; at last British politics would no longer be riven by class
divisions, they proclaimed.

The emptiness of this rhetoric is now self-evident. Despite the appearance of
mass support its massive parliamentary majority lends, the government lacks any
firm social base. Not only has its right-wing programme alienated many of its
traditional supporters, it is no longer seen as a means through which working
people could influence politics. Meanwhile, the �middle ground� to which Blair
had sought to orientate has itself divided between a tiny privileged elite and
the vast majority�teachers, public sector employees and skilled workers�who
share the same problems and concerns as millions of other working people and
their families.

A terrible realisation is dawning within New Labour. Blair's supposed asset�his
complete disregard for the working class�is actually his government's Achilles'
heel. Earlier this year, Labour MP Peter Kilfoyle resigned from the government
in what he said was a protest at its disregard for its working class
heartlands. Now another MP, Andrew MacKinlay, has announced that he will stand
against Blair loyalist Clive Soley in November as chairman of the Parliamentary
Labour Party. The virtually unknown backbench MP announced his candidacy by
accusing ministers of being "arrogant" and "out of touch" with ordinary voters.

One supporter said that MacKinlay was "not running against Clive Soley; he is
running against Tony Blair". Subsequently, former Labour minister Mark Fisher
has sent a letter to local party members in which he attacked the government
for surrounding itself with "glitzy people" whilst being "ignorant of people on
low incomes".

There are a great many Labour MP's who stand to lose their previously safe
seats if working class voters continue to abstain. Despite the huffing and
puffing, there is little that such complaints can achieve. At best, all they
amount to is a call for Blair to better disguise the anti-working class
character of his government's policies. But working people have proven to be
far more astute than they were given credit by government and the media. What
has been described as Blair's extended "headache" period is in reality only the
first rumblings of social and political discontent boiling up beneath the
surface. This might well prove to be one genie that will not go back in the
bottle.

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