[This article will appeat in the Los Angeles Times
<http://www.latimes.com/>  --MS]

Missile Defense: The Hard Way

By Angelo M. Codevilla


The recent failed anti-missile test should not be seen as a
failure of the science of ballistic missile defense.  No, this
failure should focus our attention on the Clinton
Administration�s lack of serious commitment to a national missile
defense.

The facts are not hard to understand.  In Friday�s test, the
�kill vehicle� that was supposed to destroy the enemy warhead
failed to separate from the booster which launched it into space.
This is not evidence that missile defense is beyond our
technological reach.  Separating one stage of a rocket from
another was perfected in the 1950s.  This failure was a little
like driving home a brand new car only to find the door won�t
open.  In other words, it was a gross quality control problem.
Such problems lead us to look more closely at how technology is
being used.

The most important and least understood fact concerning missile
defense today is that the Clinton Administration deliberately
employs various anti-missile technologies in the least efficient
ways imaginable. Why? Because this White House considers the 1972
U.S.-Soviet ABM Treaty to be the cornerstone of U.S. security and
has never believed in defending the United States from missile
attack.

Consider the ground-based interceptor tested Friday.  As
configured by the Clinton Administration, the interceptor rocket
is launched, guided by radar, and programmed to release a
�kinetic kill vehicle� that has sensors on board that guide it to
an interception with an enemy warhead.

Missile defense critics, such as MIT�s Theodore Postol, charge
that these kill vehicles cannot discriminate well between
warheads and the decoys that inevitably would be employed by an
enemy missile. Although the evidence suggests that they
discriminate reasonably well, discrimination is in fact difficult
using only radars and on-board sensors. This is one reason why no
one in the scientific community believes that the Clinton system
tested last week is the best way to stop an enemy missile.

If we are to intercept warheads from the ground or the sea at
all, our interceptors must launch and discriminate on the basis
of data from low orbit, heat-sensing satellites known as Space
Based Infrared System-Low, or SBIRS-low. This constellation of 24
satellites will employ infrared technology to pick up the heat
signature of any launched ballistic missiles around the globe,
track them throughout their flight, and transmit data to whatever
land or sea-based anti-missile system the U.S. chooses to deploy.
But because these satellites would actually work to defend the
entire United States, they violate the ABM Treaty.  And it should
come as a shock to no one that the Clinton Administration has
dumbed down the proposed satellites and delayed the SBIRS-Low
program by almost a decade.

Instead the Administration proposes deploying 20-100
interceptors, of the kind tested Friday, located next to a huge
radar on the Alaskan island of Shemya.  Unfortunately any
ground-based radar, no matter how sophisticated, could not see
incoming warheads until they came over the horizon.  If they were
coming into the U.S. east coast from the Middle East, Russia, or
the Atlantic or the Caribbean, even the best imaginable
interceptors could not be expected to hit them in time.

Why then spend billions of dollars and years on a
radar�technologically inferior to satellites such as
SBIRS-Low�that could not defend America?  And why not have
numerous interceptor bases, without cumbersome radars, close to
possible targets?  In short, why employ sophisticated technology
to do things the hard way?

Again, the Clinton Administration intends to build a national
defense that puts the ideology of the ABM Treaty ahead of saving
the lives of Americans.

Ultimately, seriousness about missile defense means destroying
not warheads, but missiles soon after they are launched, when
they are slow, vulnerable, and un-decoyable.  This is called
boost-phase defense.  Only it can deal with large numbers of
missiles, and make it possible for warheads (especially chemical
and biological ones) to be destroyed before they could be
deployed.  The Clinton Administration�s action with regard to
boost-phase defense shows most clearly that it is going about
missile defense the hard way.

The only U.S. programs for boost-phase defense involve
high-energy lasers. The Clinton Administration has crippled the
space-based laser program and has devoted $11 billion to put
lasers on Boeing 747 aircraft (air-borne lasers or ABLs) that
would fly figure eight's near potential launch sites, waiting for
missiles to be launched.

The ABL program is the poster child for doing things the hard
way.  Putting a laser weapon on an airplane, where it must
overcome lack of vacuum and vibration, as well as endure
atmospheric interference, is considerably more difficult than
putting similar weapons in earth orbit, where no such
difficulties exist. Moreover, while lasers in orbit would have
constant, secure access to missiles launched from anywhere in the
world, keeping a 747 on station over or near an undefeated enemy,
never mind defending it, is itself an extremely difficult
proposition.

Not even the Clinton Administration's spokespersons can conjure
up the image of American 747s hovering over the interior of Iran.
But the Administration wants laser weapons on 747s rather than in
space not because of what the ABLs could do, but because of what
they could not do � namely defend against missiles from Russia,
China, or any other large country.

Remember that the American aerospace industry is the envy of the
world. Unfortunately, the Clinton Administration has been guiding
them down the path of inefficiency and failure.  The time has
come to call this fraud just what it is.  The American people
deserve a missile defense that will defend them, rather than the
mere pretense of one.

<Snip>


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                      *Mike Spitzer*     <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
                         ~~~~~~~~          <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>

   The Best Way To Destroy Enemies Is To Change Them To Friends
       Shalom, A Salaam Aleikum, and to all, A Good Day.
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