-Caveat Lector- Friday Polls - 20 October Netanyahu leads Barak 21 points Aaron Lerner Date: 20 October, 2000 Gallup - Ma'ariv The following are the results of a survey of a representative sample of 620 adult Israeli (both Jews and Arabs) carried out by Gallup on the evening of Wednesday 18 October. Sampling error +/- 4.3 percentage points: If elections were held today: 18 Oct. 2000 Barak 27% Netanyahu 48% 11 Oct. 2000 Barak 30% Netanyahu 46% [Israel burning/before lynch] 4 Oct. 2000 Barak 32% Netanyahu 41% [Israel burning] 27 Sept 2000 Barak 38% Netanyahu 42% [case closed on Netanyahu] 13 Sept 2000 Barak 38% Netanyahu 39% 6 Sept 2000 Barak 41% Netanyahu 38% De�eri jail,Min.Religion closing 16 Aug 2000 Barak 38% Netanyahu 43% 2 Aug 2000 Barak 40% Netanyahu 43% 26 Jly 2000 Barak 43% Netanyahu 38% [talks fail] 19 Jly 2000 Barak 39% Netanyahu 40% [talks in stalemate] 12 Jly 2000 Barak 36% Netanyahu 39% 5 July 2000 Barak 39% Netanyahu 41% [talks announced] 28 Jun 2000 Barak 36% Netanyahu 44% 21 Jun 2000 Barak 40% Netanyahu 42% [middle of resignations] 14 Jun 2000 Barak 46% Netanyahu 39% 31 May 2000 Barak 41% Netanyahu 41% 24 May 2000 Barak 42% Netanyahu 37% [just left Lebanon] 19 May 2000 Barak 45% Netanyahu 38% 15 Apr 2000 Barak 42% Netanyahu 39% 05 Apr 2000 Barak 40% Netanyahu 37% 31 Mar 2000 Barak 42.5% Netanyahu 42.4% 1 Mar 2000 Barak 50% Netanyahu 34% 9 Feb 2000 Barak 42% Netanyahu 37% 2 Feb 2000 Barak 45% Netanyahu 36% 19 Nov 1999 Barak 50% Netanyahu 33% 8 Oct 1999 Barak 56% Netanyahu 26% 14 Aug 1999 Barak 50% Netanyahu 29% 25 Jun 1999 Barak 59% Netanyahu 27% 18 Oct 2000 Barak 31% Sharon 41% 11 Oct 2000 Barak 36% Sharon 36% 4 Oct 2000 Barak 37% Sharon 32% 27 Sept 2000 Barak 39% Sharon 34% 13 Sept 2000 Barak 39% Sharon 32% 6 Sept 2000 Barak 43% Sharon 31% 16 Aug 2000 Barak 41% Sharon 38% 2 Aug 2000 Barak 41% Sharon 35% 26 Jly 2000 Barak 45% Sharon 30% 19 Jly 2000 Barak 44% Sharon 36% 19 Jly 2000 Barak 44% Sharon 36% 12 Jly 2000 Barak 42% Sharon 33% 5 July 2000 Barak 44% Sharon 31% 28 Jun 2000 Barak 41% Sharon 37% 21 Jun 2000 Barak 43% Sharon 34% 14 Jun 2000 Barak 50% Sharon 35% 31 May 2000 Barak 44% Sharon 35% 24 May 2000 Barak 43% Sharon 35% 19 May 2000 Barak 43% Sharon 36% 15 Apr 2000 Barak 43% Sharon 31% Three way race: Netanyahu 44% Peres 21% Barak 18% Do you support continuing the peace process with the Palestinians? Yes 62% No 33% Do not know 5% What do you think will happen in the end? 50% The conflict with the Palestinians will worsen 32% The crisis will end and an agreement will be signed 18% Do no know Do you fear that as a result of the conflict with the Palestinians that a regional war will break out? Yes 70% No 26% Do not know 4% What do you prefer? Emergency government 47% New elections 42% Do not know 11% How do you describe yourself? 32% Supported Oslo in 1993 support now 24% Supported in 1993 oppose today 30% Opposed in 1993 oppose today 3% Oppose in 1993 support today 11% Do not know Do you think today that the Oslo agreements were a success or failure? Success 16% Failure 67% Do not know 17% Barak voters: Success 27% Failure 50% Are you satisfied with the outcome of the Sharm summit? Yes 35% No 39% Do not know 26% Do you feel this week fear for your personal and family safety? Yes 68% No 32% Do you feel this week fear for the future of the state? Yes 75% No 25% After the Hizbullah kidnapping on the Northern border, what do you think Israel should do in response? 35% Respond with force even if it endangers the lives of the captives. 53% Negotiate even if it means hurting Israel�s deterrent strength 12% Do not know In light of the kidnapping, and in retrospect, was the unilateral withdrawal from Lebanon a mistake? Yes mistake 31% Not mistake 60% Do not know 9% Ma'ariv 20 October 2000 +++++ Dahaf - Yediot Ahronot The following is a Dahaf Poll of a representative sample of 505 adult Israelis (both Jews and Arabs) the week of 20 October 2000. Survey error of +/- 4.5 percentage points - Week 20 Oct.2000: Barak 38% Netanyahu 50% Undecided/No reply 12% Week 6 Oct. 2000: Barak 39% Netanyahu 48% Undecided/No reply 13% Day 29 Sept 2000: Barak 43% Netanyahu 47% Undecided/No reply 10% Week 25 Aug 2000: Barak 43% Netanyahu 47% Undecided/No reply 10% Week 4 Aug 2000: Barak 42% Netanyahu 46% Undecided/No reply 12% Week 23 June 2000: Barak 45% Netanyahu 45% Undecided/No reply 10% Week 8 June 2000: Barak 44% Netanyahu 39% Undecided/No reply 17% Week 20 Oct.2000: Barak 45% Sharon 41% Undecided/No reply 14% Week 6 Oct. 2000: Barak 43% Sharon 39% Undecided/No reply 18% Day 29 Sept 2000: Barak 48% Sharon 41% Undecided/No reply 11% Do you support returning to negotiations of a peace agreement? Yes 62% No 35% Do not know 3% How would you rate the personal safety of the residents of the country? Good 22% Bad 78% In another 10 days the winter session of the Knesset opens. Would you like the government to fall in a no confidence vote? Yes 47% No 47% No reply 6% Is Ehud Barak a trustworthy prime minister? Yes 48% No 51% No reply 1% Do you count on Barak that he will successfully lead the state? Yes 45% No 55% What grade would you give to Barak for his performance since the outbreak of disturbances? Good 38% Bad 60% No reply 2% Yediot Ahronot 20 October 2000 Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis) <A HREF="http://www.ctrl.org/">www.ctrl.org</A> DECLARATION & DISCLAIMER ========== CTRL is a discussion & informational exchange list. Proselytizing propagandic screeds are unwelcomed. Substance�not soap-boxing�please! These are sordid matters and 'conspiracy theory'�with its many half-truths, mis- directions and outright frauds�is used politically by different groups with major and minor effects spread throughout the spectrum of time and thought. That being said, CTRLgives no endorsement to the validity of posts, and always suggests to readers; be wary of what you read. 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