-Caveat Lector-
[FLORIDA!?!?!? --MS]
These are the complete state-by-state results for Monday:
Bush Gore Nader Electoral Votes
Florida 40 51 4 25
Illinois 41 47 4 22
Michigan 44 45 4 18
Missouri 46 45 4 11
Ohio 48 43 3 21
Pennsylvania 43 46 3 23
Tennessee 49 45 2 11
Washington 44 45 6 11
Wisconsin 41 49 4 11
-------------------------------------------------------
Monday October 30 6:47 PM ET
Bush Leads in Reuters Poll, But Gore Rises in Key States
By Alan Elsner, Political Correspondent
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Republican George W. Bush kept his
three-point lead over Democrat Al Gore in Monday's Reuters/MSNBC
national daily tracking poll, but separate surveys of nine key
battleground states showed Gore making inroads.
The state polls showed Gore widening his lead in Florida,
overtaking Bush in Pennsylvania and closing the gap in his home
state of Tennessee.
The national survey of 1,213 likely voters in the Nov. 7
election, conducted Friday to Monday by pollster John Zogby,
found the Texas governor with 45 percent and the vice president
with 42 percent, unchanged from Sunday's results. Eight days
remain until the Nov. 7 election.
Green Party nominee Ralph Nader polled 5 percent; Reform Party
candidate Pat Buchanan stayed at 1 percent; Libertarian Harry
Browne had 1 percent, and the rest remained undecided.
The race remained well within the statistical margin of error of
plus or minus three percentage points. A candidate would have to
be more than six points in the lead to be outside that zone of
uncertainty -- something neither man has achieved since the poll
began on Sept. 29.
In the equally tight race for the House of Representatives,
voters preferred the Republicans by one point. The Democrats need
a net gain of seven seats to regain control from the Republicans
after six years in the minority.
In a race this close, national polls cannot predict a winner
because the election is likely to be decided in key swing states.
Reuters and MSNBC are conducting daily tracking polls in nine
such battleground states, polling around 600 likely voters in
each over three days. These state samples each have a margin of
error of plus or minus four percentage points.
The results showed Gore had expanded his lead in the key state of
Florida to 11 percentage points, outside the margin of error.
Many analysts believe that is a must-win state for Bush.
Gore also had an eight-point lead in Wisconsin and a six-point
lead in Illinois. He was ahead by a single point in Washington
state and Michigan and took a three-point lead in Pennsylvania,
reversing a Bush lead of three points the previous day.
Bush's lead in Gore's home state of Tennessee narrowed to four
points from seven. He led by five points in Ohio, and by a single
point in Missouri.
In total, 153 votes in the Electoral College are up for grabs in
those nine states. At the moment, Gore would win 110 and Bush
would take 43 of those votes.
These are the complete state-by-state results for Monday:
Bush Gore Nader Electoral Votes
Florida 40 51 4 25
Illinois 41 47 4 22
Michigan 44 45 4 18
Missouri 46 45 4 11
Ohio 48 43 3 21
Pennsylvania 43 46 3 23
Tennessee 49 45 2 11
Washington 44 45 6 11
Wisconsin 41 49 4 11
A total of 270 electoral votes are needed to be elected
president. Most analysts believe both candidates have definitely
secured about 200, leaving some 138 to be fought over.
The state polls also measured five tough Senate races. It found
Republican Rick Lazio leading first lady Hillary Rodham Clinton
in New York, 48-43 percent.
In Missouri, the late Gov. Mel Carnahan, who died in a plane
crash on Oct. 16 but whose name still appears on the ballot, is
ahead of Republican incumbent Sen. John Ashcroft, 49-43 percent.
His widow said on Monday she would serve in his place if he were
elected.
In Florida, Democrat Bill Nelson was 11 points ahead of
Republican Bill McCollum and seemed poised to capture a
Republican-held seat.
In Michigan, Republican incumbent Spence Abraham trailed
Democratic challenger Debbie Stabenow by two points.
In Washington, Republican incumbent Slade Gorton held a
four-point lead over Democrat Maria Cantwell.
In the national poll, 83 percent said they were unlikely to
change their minds before Election Day. Forty-one percent have
ruled out voting for Bush and 43 percent for Gore.
Men backed Bush, 50-37 percent; women preferred Gore by 47-41
percent as the electorate continued to show a substantial gender
gap.
Reuters and MSNBC will release a new poll every day at 6:30 p.m.
(2330 GMT) until the election.
=================================================================
Kadosh, Kadosh, Kadosh, YHVH, TZEVAOT
FROM THE DESK OF:
*Michael Spitzer* <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
The Best Way To Destroy Enemies Is To Change Them To Friends
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