-Caveat Lector-

<http://www.nypostonline.com/postopinion/opedcolumnists/18832.htm>

CAN BUSH GOVERN?

Friday,December 15,2000


CONSUMER ALERT: Don't believe anything you have heard or seen on
television in the past 48 hours! Despite their claims of the end
of partisanship, House and Senate Democrats are going to go after
President Bush II - big time.

Disguising their carnivorous intentions behind smiles of
conciliation, Sens. Tom Daschle, Ted Kennedy and Paul Wellstone;
Reps. Charlie Rangel, Dick Gephardt and David Bonior - all will
do their best to bring George W. Bush down.

Their animus will not be motivated by the close presidential race
or any doubts about the outcome in Florida. The Democrats in
Congress could care less. What matters to them is that they are
within one vote of controlling the Senate and a handful of taking
the House.

Had Al Gore won, they would likely have fallen further back in
the 2002 midterm elections. But now that Bush II is in office,
the Democrats feel they can look forward to the customary gains
of the out-of-power party in the midterm elections.

With control come committee chairmanships, staff allotments,
perks and privilege. Trashing Bush II is a small price to pay for
those kinds of rewards.

The "Republican-run" Congress is largely an illusion. They will
more or less control the House of Representatives by maintaining
party discipline, but the Senate, with its unlimited debate rule,
is quite another matter.

In the past two decades, the Constitution has been gradually
amended, de facto, so that it takes 60 votes - the number needed
to shut down a filibuster - to pass a bill through the Senate
instead of the legally required 51. Trent Lott doesn't have
nearly that many.

In a sense, Bush II faces the same situation Bill Clinton did
when he first took office in 1993. Having won with only 43
percent of the vote, Clinton felt that the Republicans regarded
his presidency as "illegitimate" and refused to deal with him.
"They say that I only won because Perot split their vote and that
they'd rather wait out the four years than work with me," Clinton
complained in 1993.

With a united GOP refusing to do serious business with him,
Clinton chose to try to govern through his Democratic majorities
in each House of Congress. But faced with the need to round up
every last liberal to back his programs, he had to veer far to
the left in his policies and proposals. "I didn't even recognize
myself," he admitted in 1995 as he looked back on the liberalism
of his first year in the presidency.

In the Senate, even with a united party behind him he couldn't
prevail because he could never shut down a filibuster without GOP
help.

In 1995 and 1996, Clinton found the answer - an answer Bush II
needs to emulate. He governed by shoving the GOP agenda down
their throats and passing it into law. Unable to refuse Clinton's
"yes," the Republicans had no choice but to pass their own bills
and watch the Democratic president sign them and take credit for
their passage.

The result was that the Republican Party had no issues for 1996.
Welfare was reformed. The budget was en route to balance. Crime
was down. Tax cuts had passed.

Now Bush II has the chance to take away the agenda of the
Democrats in the 2002 election. By passing a prescription-drug
benefit and a patient's bill of rights that the Democrats have to
accept, he can denude the opposition of its best issues. If he
adds to it by passing a moderate tax cut - only somewhat larger
than the one Clinton proposed - he can steal the entire agenda of
the opposite party.

A president doesn't conciliate the opposition party, he acquires
their cooperation by forcing them to pass their own agenda.

If he does govern by moving to the center, he will retain
Congress - and perhaps acquire a governable majority as well - as
long as the economy doesn't tank. But if he tries to veer right
and govern through the caucus as Clinton did in 1993-94, he will
face two, or if he's lucky, six years of misery with a hostile
Congress on his case, just as Clinton did.


=================================================================
             Kadosh, Kadosh, Kadosh, YHVH, TZEVAOT

  FROM THE DESK OF:
                     *Michael Spitzer*  <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
                      ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
  The Best Way To Destroy Enemies Is To Change Them To Friends
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