-Caveat Lector- http://www.insightmag.com/archive/200102275.shtml Global-Warming Theory Steams Ahead Despite Conflicting Evidence By S. Fred Singer With Al Gore�s defeat in the presidential election, global warming has lost its most dedicated governmental sponsor. Gore may not have invented climate change ,but he certainly has been its most zealous advocate. He repeatedly proclaimed a nonexistent scientific consensus, labeling skeptical scientists as naysayers who view global warming, in his words, as the equivalent of the Easter Bunny. Now that he has retreated to the Columbia University School of Journalism in New York City, will the global-warming scare fade from the scene? Don�t bet on it. There are too many now whose perks, power and prestige depend on keeping the myth alive � not to mention the billions of governmental dollars flowing out to these eager recipients. Annual conferences in attractive cities around the world involving some 180 national delegations with committee meetings in high-priced resort hotels in between: It�s a great lifestyle and a full-time career for a growing number of scientists, bureaucrats and politicians � paid for by the hapless taxpayers. Don�t expect these folks to pay any attention to climate science. For them, it is �settled� and �compelling,� to use Bill Clinton�s words. Yet, the U.N. Environment Program (UNEP) science panel keeps coming up with ever more fantastic predictions of coming disasters. Last fall, this group leaked a summary of their findings to influential newspapers, hoping to boost Gore�s chances of being elected and also providing added urgency to negotiations at The Hague on how to put teeth into the Kyoto Protocol on Global Warming. This international accord has not been ratified by any of the industrialized nations; if adopted, it would restrict their energy use by some 30 to 40 percent within the next decade. So, if you like the California power crisis, you�ll love the Kyoto Protocol. The Hague talks last November collapsed over relatively minor disagreements, but Kyoto is not yet dead. Its proponents are not giving up just yet. What will finally stamp out the Kyoto Protocol? The U.S. Senate, which would reject such a treaty once President Bush submits it for ratification. Senators of both parties recognize the economic danger of energy restrictions and are becoming aware of the shakiness of the alleged science that purports to back the Kyoto Protocol. To counteract this trend, the UNEP science panel has rehashed its same old tired predictions of last fall. They managed to get front-page attention from the Washington Post on Jan. 23, which accepted uncritically the not-yet-approved summary of the U.N. climate report. It claimed that the climate had warmed in the last 50 years and that computer models predict an increase of more than 10 degrees Fahrenheit in the next 100 years, with all sorts of dire consequences. Other scientists (including myself) see little or no warming since about 1940 and therefore do not put much faith in these theoretical forecasts. Laymen understandably are confused when scientists disagree. The explanation is simple: The U.N. group gets a warming trend by averaging data from all surface thermometers, including poorly characterized measurements of the sea surface. The so-called skeptics point to the absence of a temperature rise from well-controlled weather stations in the United States and Europe, where the local heating from urban effects can be eliminated. More important, the truly global data from weather satellites show no appreciable warming trend since 1979, and these results are independently confirmed by instruments carried in weather balloons. Finally, we have additional temperature data that don�t rely on instruments at all but come from �proxies� such as tree rings, ice cores and ocean sediment. While they all show evidence of a pre-1940 warming trend � starting in the 19th century, when human influences were minor � they do not show a trend since about 1940. (Melting glaciers, shrinking Arctic sea ice and sea-level rise � while real � are likely the delayed result of an earlier, pre-1940 warming of the world climate that has little to do with human activity.) Hence our conclusion: The balance of evidence suggests that the climate has not warmed appreciably in the last 60 years. We expect future climate effects from human activities to be barely detectable and certainly inconsequential. Let�s see if Gore and the Columbia School of Journalism pick up on this. I am taking bets. S. Fred Singer is professor emeritus of environmental sciences at the University of Virginia and was director of the U.S. Weather Satellite Service (now part of NOAA). ================================================================= Kadosh, Kadosh, Kadosh, YHVH, TZEVAOT FROM THE DESK OF: *Michael Spitzer* <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ The Best Way To Destroy Enemies Is To Change Them To Friends ================================================================= <A HREF="http://www.ctrl.org/">www.ctrl.org</A> DECLARATION & DISCLAIMER ========== CTRL is a discussion & informational exchange list. Proselytizing propagandic screeds are unwelcomed. Substance�not soap-boxing�please! 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