http://www.onlinejournal.com/Commentary/Grant050301/grant050301.html



The empire strikes back


By Chris Grant
 

May 3, 2001—Nope. Not what you're thinking. There's no Luke Skywalker, no
Darth Vader, Han Solo doesn't even get frozen in carbonite. But it does
involve Star Wars.

That steady ticking in the background is the doomsday clock, counting down
from one minute to midnight. Tick, George W. Bush wants to violate the ABM
(Antiballistic Missile) Treaty of 1972. Tock, the United States' allies are
none too pleased. Tick, George W. Bush doesn't care. Tock, the allies are
none too pleased.

It's a broken record. Whatever Bush wants, Bush gets.

I may have been a slight bit harsh when I said that Bush wants to violate the
ABM Treaty. He doesn't. In fact, he doesn't recognize it to even attempt
violating it. Instead, he believes it to be a Cold War antiquity and that it
should be scrapped.

In a previous article, my first here at Online Journal as a matter of fact, I
said that the United States needed a bogeyman amongst the world's nations.
The current bogeyman is China. The EP-3 spy plane incident (note I do not say
accident) saw to that. This incident is now seen as justification, as we all
knew it would be, to start talking Star Wars again.

Paging Dr. Strangelove, Dr. Strangelove. You are wanted in the Pentagon. Oh,
there you are. I didn't see you.

Let's let Deputy Assistant Secretary of State Lucas Fischer explain the Bush
administration's plans, just as he explained them to the Danish Parliament
this past week:

 "We will deploy defenses as soon as possible. Therefore, we believe that the
ABM treaty will have to be replaced, eliminated or changed in a fundamental
way."

The ABM treaty of 1972 states neither the United States nor the Soviet Union
(and later Russia and the various countries that used to make up the
U.S.S.R.) would provide or deploy a base for ABM systems for a defense of the
territory of its country. Nor would they develop, test, or deploy ABM systems
or components that are sea-based, air-based, space-based, or mobile
land-based.

You can kiss that goodbye as American officials (read: Bush administration)
say that they are planning on a multi-layered system that would involve
sea-based radars and interceptors and land and space-based "elements."

As of this writing, Bush has made his speech. He's told all of us that there
bogeymen out there and that without this system online, we don't stand a
chance against them. He's warned us that we ought to dust off the bomb
shelters. Kids, you should be prepared for your new class, Duck-and-Cover.
Your first lesson: find a desk, get under it, and pray your little butts off.
What good the desk will do you if a nuke should make it to you has yet to be
determined.

We're informed that we need to protect ourselves from "rogue states." Among
these "rogue states" are Iran and Iraq. Forgetting that the Bush
administration stole the election in November with the help of the Supreme
Court (which should, in turn, make us a rogue state), the question that no
one asks is how many ICBMs (Intercontinental Ballistic Missiles) either of
these countries have in their arsenals?

Doing a little bit of digging, and with the help of the FAS (Federation of
American Scientists) website, I discovered that Iran has two different kinds
of operational missiles: the Shahab-1, of which they have anywhere from 50 to
300 and the Shahab-2, of which they have anywhere from 50 to 450 in their
inventory. The Shahab-1 is capable of reaching a distance of 300 km
(kilometers) and the Shahab-2, 500 km. Iraq is just as pitiful with their Al
Hussein missiles, holding anywhere from 6 to 50 in storage, with a range of
600 km.

Is it just me or is 600 km nowhere near the United States?

Bush called this a limited-defense package. Yet in order to "protect" our
allies, the very definition of limited is flawed. From downtown Baghdad, you
could hit as far west as Cyprus, as far east as central Iran, as far north as
Turkey, and as far south as Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Limited is not what it used to be.

Let's not stop there.

Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld said Tuesday that, "They [the missile
"defense" systems] need not be 100-percent perfect in my opinion and they are
certainly unlikely to be in their early stages of evolution."

Let me slow this down for you. The missile "defense" system does not, in
Secretary Rumsfeld's eyes, need to be 100-percent accurate in shooting down
incoming missiles. If we are to understand the good secretary, it's okay if
someone is able to toss an ICBM our way and our "defense" missile misses it,
allowing it to hit its intended target: us. And it's okay that our missile,
missing the target, continues on to hit something else, possibly a city that
had no hand in sending the previously mentioned ICBM towards us.

If that doesn't reach out and shake you, I think you need to lay off the
Prozac.

In the previous eight years of the Clinton Administration, the testing of the
system was, as best (and by at best, I mean you need to be living in a
Rumsfeldian fantasy land), mediocre. Missing two out of three attempts is a
33.333333-percent accuracy by my math. Maybe it's fuzzy.

The only country that poses any kind of threat to us, in terms of missile
range capability, is the former Soviet Union, Russia. You know, the men and
women we have (or maybe I should say had) a treaty with to avoid something
just like this.

So is it possible that maybe we shouldn't be talking about recanting on a
treaty that has worked pretty well, thank you, since 1972?

The argument to this is, of course, that the Soviet Union no longer exists
and that the arms that used to be concentrated in the hands of the Soviets
are now spread out all across the globe. Yes, the Soviet Union no longer
exists but Moscow, the people we signed the treaty with, does. This makes
that argument moot.

I would like to leave you with two questions:

What is the definition of limited?

What good does a 33.333333-percent accurate missile "defense" system do us?

Action is split-second. Talk and thought take a little more time.




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